วิกฤติอาร์เจนตินา ที่รัฐบาลผิดนัดชำระหนี้ /โดย ลงทุนแมน
พันธบัตรรัฐบาลดูเหมือนเป็นสินทรัพย์ที่ปราศจากความเสี่ยง (Risk-free asset)
แต่ในตอนนี้มีอยู่ประเทศหนึ่ง ที่รัฐบาลไม่สามารถหาเงินมาชำระหนี้ได้
ประเทศนั้นชื่อ อาร์เจนตินา
เรื่องนี้มีที่มาเป็นอย่างไร...
Continue ReadingThe Argentina crisis that the government defaults to pay debt / invest manly.
Government bonds seem like risk free assets (Risk-free asset)
But now there is one country where the government can't afford to pay the debt.
That country is Argentina
How does this come to be?
Investing man will tell you about it.
╔═══════════╗
If you want to know the way of the world economy, you need to understand
World economy 1,000 years. 6th typing.
Order at (get 10 % discount from the cover price of 350 baht)
Lazada: https://www.lazada.co.th/products/1000-i714570154-s1368712682.html
Shopee: https://shopee.co.th/product/116732911/6716121161
╚═══════════╝
Year of July. Prof. 2010 Argentina's public debt is at 4.9 trillion baht.
Or about 44 % of GDP
Year of July. Prof. 2019 Argentina's public debt is at 11 trillion baht.
Or about 93 % of GDP
Increasing public debt is creating a heavy problem for Argentina now called Argentina the sick people of South America.
Some may not know that once in the early 20th century, Argentina was one of the world's most wealthy countries.
Because Argentina's farming industry is growing greatly from lands, fertile and climate suitable for agriculture sector.
This story is made in July. B.E. 1913 Argentina is addicted to 1 of the 10 countries with the world's highest population income.
However, time has passed 106 years
In the year. B.E. 2019 Argentina's per capita income falls to 66 of the world.
The beginning of economic fragility of a country is born from 2 main causes.
1. Political unrest, which comes from the Revolution of the military and corruption of cuddle Politicians.
2. Policy implementation of many leaders in the past who wanted to create a nationalist and bring in printing and budget spending, large amounts of balance.
When things are like this, it causes financial burden to the country.
Argentina has experienced various problems like a strong patient.
So how does this affect Argentina?
Year of July. Prof. 2019 The country's inflation rate is at 54 % highest in almost 30 years.
And the 5th highest in the world
During the year of July B.E. 2009-2019 Argentina has a budget deficit every year, making Argentina one of the world's longest budgeted countries.
The government's debt burden is increasingly composed to high-level inflation. This is why the Argentine peso goes down quickly.
If we exchanged $ 1 for Argentina pesos
Year of July. B.E. 2009 will exchange for 3.8 Argentina pesos
Year of July. B.E. 2019 will exchange for 60 Argentina pesos
The country's money is almost 1,480 % weaker. Many people may think that one side of peso money should help the export sector of the country, but it doesn't seem like much. Because today, the export sector is just 14 % of the country's exports. GDP value only
Peso's weakening of money makes the central bank have to use the reserve to keep the money from severely weakening.
But this has reduced the central bank reserve substantially from 2.1 trillion baht in July. B.E. 2018
Only 1.2 trillion baht left now.
Argentina needs help from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) worth over 1.8 trillion baht, which is the most critical country's subsidy in IMF history.
However, another bad joke is
Currently, the public debt burden that the Argentina government has is 80 % in foreign debt and most are in the picture of US dollars.
The weakness of Argentina peso compared to US dollars makes the country's debt increase because more Argentina peso is required to pay the same debt.
We can imagine that 10 years ago
If we owe $ 1
We will spend just 3.8 Argentina pesos to exchange $ 1 to pay back debt.
But come today, we're spending 60 Argentina pesos to exchange $ 1 to pay back debt.
This kind of thing has happened to Thailand in July. Prof. 1997 Many people remember that we need to spend 2 times more money to pay the same debt.
But Argentina is now not 2 times more debt, but ten times more debt..
The Argentina government currently has foreign debt for over 2 trillion baht and recently, the Argentina government has just defaulted to pay the debt (Default). Pay interest in stock loan amounts of over 16,000 million baht.
The government has previously negotiated restructuring debt with creditors to pay down interest and delay debt repayment, but it is rejected by creditors. Now the Argentine government needs to revisit the new offer to negotiate with creditors again.
Which now doesn't know what the final conclusion of this story will be.
But for sure, if the Argentina government can't afford to pay debt to the creditors, the story may be worse than we see now.
While Argentina's debts pay interest for the 9th Argentina in country history after Argentina has experienced total 8 moratorium defaults since Spain independence in July. Prof. 1816 or 204 years ago
This may be a lesson for many countries to learn things from countries that have experienced problems in order to avoid and not follow those countries.
Thailand now seems far from being Argentina
But be careful because everything, if careless, it can always happen..
╔═══════════╗
If you want to know the way of the world economy, you need to understand
World economy 1,000 years. 6th typing.
Order at (get 10 % discount from the cover price of 350 baht)
Lazada: https://www.lazada.co.th/products/1000-i714570154-s1368712682.html
Shopee: https://shopee.co.th/product/116732911/6716121161
╚═══════════╝
Follow to invest in man at
Website - longtunman.com
Blockdit-blockdit.com/longtunman
Facebook-@[113397052526245:274: lngthun mæn]
Twitter - twitter.com/longtunman
Instagram-instagram.com/longtunman
Line - page.line.me/longtunman
YouTube - youtube.com/longtunman
References
-https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/government-debt-to-gdp
-https://www.statista.com/statistics/316929/national-debt-of-argentina-in-relation-to-gross-domestic-product-gdp/
-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_history_of_Argentina
-https://www.statista.com/statistics/316750/inflation-rate-in-argentina/
-https://www.reuters.com/article/us-argentina-economy/argentinas-economic-crisis-explained-in-five-charts-idUSKCN1LD1S7
-https://www.ft.com/content/e6f5c436-37d2-11ea-a6d3-9a26f8c3cba4
-https://www.statista.com/statistics/316916/argentinas-budget-balance-in-relation-to-gdp/
-https://www.bbc.com/news/business-49429361
-https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/07/argentinas-government-appears-set-to-default-citing-covid-19-pandemic.html
-https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/22/argentina-set-for-default-as-bondholders-reject-new-terms
-https://www.dw.com/en/argentina-in-default-for-second-time-this-century/a-53542302Translated
同時也有1部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過22萬的網紅香港花生,也在其Youtube影片中提到,來源視頻 和 金融原理解釋,見本頁頁底。 ----------- 網上討論會 (請在本視頻的議論欄發言。有見地的內容,我會抄貼到這裏下面。) 討論會題目﹕ 假如郭文貴關於港幣貶值的預言屬實,港府(如突然敢冒大不諱行駛基本法賦與的高度自治權)可以做什麼,來挽救廣大市民,避免或減少損失? ^^^^^^^...
argentina economic crisis 在 外交部 Ministry of Foreign Affairs, ROC(Taiwan) Facebook 的最佳貼文
【台灣防疫成效 #國際政要 都肯定👍👍👍】
第二波移入疫情強勢回流 🌀
看到確診人數增加
相信有在追指揮中心記者會的大家
內心不免七上八下
但只要我們 #謹慎應對 持續落實 #防疫工作
相信還是有機會守住J一波‼️
雖然還是會擔心
但蒐集癖小編決定要再發一篇落落長的文
讓各位看看世界各國的政要大咖
如何讚 #台灣 目前為止的防疫模式 👏👏👏
#我們不害怕雨淋
#因為我們知道大雨之後會有彩虹 🌈
#團結一心 #正向防疫
#台灣加油 💪
As the coronavirus pandemic continues, we'll endeavour to remain prudent in our epidemic prevention measures. We believe we can stem the tide.
To reinstill some confidence, we've collected a series of quotes from politicians and ministers around the world, praising the #TaiwanModel as part of the fight against the #COVID19 #WuhanCoronavirus. Read what they had to say below!
《亞太地區》
#紐西蘭 New Zealand 🇳🇿
3/15 ─ 紐西蘭總理阿爾登:「我們將緊密遵循相當接近於台灣的模式,他們(台灣政府)針對公眾集會所建立的因應架構,是相當成功的。我們將以它為根據,來設定我們的標準。」
March 15 - Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said, in a Q+A interview on Sunday, that officials were looking at tailored criteria for events that may need to be cancelled, such as whether people would be in close proximity to one another.
“We're going to follow, pretty closely, the Taiwanese model. They worked up a framework for mass gatherings that's been quite successful,” she said.
#日本 Japan 🇯🇵
3/12 ─ 日本台灣交流協會代表泉裕泰:「我相信台灣的真知灼見可與世界各國廣泛共享,並對苦於遭受傳染蔓延的其他國家與地區做出巨大的貢獻。」
March 12 - Japan's chief representative in Taiwan, Hiroyasu Izumi, stated that he believes Taiwan's insights can be widely shared with other countries in the world and make great contributions to other countries and regions suffering from the spread of infection.
《亞非地區》
#以色列 Israel 🇮🇱
3/14 ─ 以色列總理尼坦雅胡:「順帶一提,這個方法已經在台灣試過了,可能很成功。以色列是少數國家當中,有這個能力做的。我們將採用這個方法。」
March 14 - Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said it was not an easy choice to make and described the virus as an “invisible enemy that must be located.” He said Israel would follow similar methods used by Taiwan.
3/14 ─ 以色列前總理巴拉克:「以色列可以對抗新冠病毒,但必須像台灣一樣反應快速。」
March 14 - Former prime minister Ehud Barak stated that Israel can fight against the novel coronovirus, but that it must react as swiftly as Taiwan.
《拉美地區》
#尼加拉瓜 Nicaragua🇳🇮
3/11 ─ 尼加拉瓜副總統穆麗優:「我們得知台灣政府及人民實行了成功的防疫模式,我們已向台灣駐尼大使提出請求,期盼台灣與我們分享經驗,因為台灣不僅成功防制傳染,且維持人民秩序免於慌亂,確實值得學習。」
March 11 - La vicepresidenta de Nicaragua, Rosario Murillo, declaró: "Nosotros hemos conocido el Modelo exitoso de contención que puso en práctica el Gobierno y el Pueblo de la República de China(Taiwán), y hemos pedido a su Embajador aquí, que nos presenten ese Modelo exitoso, porque han logrado no solo contener, sino también mantener a la población en un estado que no esté de pánico." (The vice president of Nicaragua, Rosario Murillo, stated, "We are aware of the successful model of prevention that the government and the people of Taiwan have put into practice, and we've asked the Taiwanese ambassador to make a presentation on this successful model, because they've not only managed to contain the virus, but they've kept their population from panicking.")
#聖文森 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines🇻🇨
3/12 ─ 聖文森衛生部長布朗:「台灣因『一個中國』原則不被承認為獨立國家,因此未被納入參與「世界衛生大會」(WHA),台灣距離中國僅為海峽之隔,然而疫情爆發至今卻僅有少數確診病例,我已正式致函何大使尋求台灣的協助以對抗聖國疫情。」
March 12 - "It’s quite remarkable that they’re just 81 miles from mainland China and whereas coronavirus in mainland China has been spiralling out of control...That’s incredible,” Health minister Luke Brown said. Taiwan is not a part of the World Health Assembly as it is not recognised as being an independent country under the One-China policy. Browne said the ambassador has mentioned some of the measures that Taiwan has taken, some of which he believes will work in the Vincentian context while others may not.
#聖露西亞 Saint Lucia🇱🇨
3/11 ─ 聖露西亞衛生部長艾瑟柯:「目前全球正共同對抗來自中國武漢的新型冠狀病毒,聖露西亞政府藉此機會讚許臺灣採取有效率且具成效的防疫措施,並提議與露國緊密合作防疫。」
March 11 - “As the world is fighting the COVID-19 Coronavirus originated from Wuhan, China, the Government of Saint Lucia wishes to take this opportunity to commend Taiwan for its efficient and efficacious measures, and its offer to work closely with Saint Lucia to contain the pandemic,” said Health Minister Mary Isaac.
#貝里斯 Belize🇧🇿
2/4 ─ 貝里斯衛生部長馬林:「貝國政府及衛生部肯定台灣關鍵的公衛措施,包括對隔離案例進行電子監控、口罩及其他物資供應,強化防疫工作。」
Feb. 4 - Minister of Health, Hon. Pablo Marin: “The Government of Belize, and by extension the Ministry of Health, applauds Taiwan’s key public health measures that include electronic monitoring of quarantined cases and the provision of masks and other items to support the prevention efforts.”
#巴拉圭 Paraguay🇵🇾
3/17 ─ 巴拉圭參議員法切提:「儘管與WHO無任何合作關係,台灣仍向前行…台灣也因此能夠成功防堵新冠病毒。」
March 17 - Fernando Silva Facetti, Paraguayan politician: "A PESAR DE LA NULA COOPERACIÓN DE LA @opsoms, #TAIWAN SIGUE ADELANTE... Así es como Taiwán logró contener el brote de #coronavirus" (Despite the lack of cooperation from the WHO, Taiwan continues to progress... This is how Taiwan managed to contain the coronavirus.)
#委內瑞拉 Venezuela🇻🇪
3/13 ─ 委內瑞拉臨時政府代表楊杰斯議員:「感謝情同手足的台灣人民贈交我們防疫所需的口罩及酒精。Taiwan Can Help!」
March 13 - Jesús M. Yánez M., Venezuelan politician: "Gracias a el hermano pueblo de Taiwan nos encontramos entregando tapa boca y kits de alcohol, denunciando la falta de prevención y de medidas acordes contra el COVIDー19 Taiwan Can Help" (Thanks to our brothers and sisters in Taiwan, we find ourselves with face masks and alcohol kits, denouncing the lack of prevention and appropriate measures against COVID-19. Taiwan Can Help.)
3/15 ─ 委內瑞拉駐西班牙大使艾卡利:「台灣及早警覺,並已阻擋了疫情擴散。」
March 15 - Antonio Ecarri B., Ambassador of Venezuela in Spain: "Taiwan se alarmó y frenó su expansión." (Taiwan was alarmed and curbed the spread.)
#阿根廷 Argentina 🇦🇷
3/11 ─ 阿根廷國會議員康帕紐利:「台灣是成功控制疫情的模範。」
March 11 - Marcela Campagnoli, National Deputy in Argentina: "Taiwan es un ejemplo de como lo han controlado." (Taiwan is an example of how to control it.)
3/16 ─ 阿根廷國際關係委員會秘書長桑提巴聶茲:「認為威權政府防疫工作做得比民主國家好,這個想法是錯的。台灣、韓國及新加坡做得非常好,他們都是民主國家。」
March 16 - Francisco de Santibañes, Secretary General of the Argentine Council for International Relations: "Sería un error pensar que los gobiernos autoritarios actuaron mejor que las democracias a la hora de controlar el coronavirus. Corea del Sur, Singapur y Taiwán lo hicieron muy bien y son democracias." (It would be a mistake to think that authoritarian governments act better than democracies in curbing the coronavirus. South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan did it very well and they're democracies.)
#哥倫比亞 Colombia🇨🇴
3/12 ─ 哥倫比亞內科醫師學會前主席希尼爾:「看看台灣,從全球確診統計圖表中漸漸消失,並對照其他亞洲國家防疫進展。他們比其他國家聰明嗎?不,是因為他們比較有組織、守紀律!」
March 12 - Juan Senior, ex-president of the Colombian Association of Internal Medicine: "Miren la evolución de Taiwán, desaparece del panorama y como evoluciona la epidemia en países asiáticos. Son más inteligentes que todos? No, son más organizados y disciplinados!!!" (Look how things have gone in Taiwan, they're out of the picture now and how the epidemic has developed in asian countries. Are they smarter than everyone else? No, they're more organized and more disciplined!!!)
#巴拿馬 Panama 🇵🇦
3/11 ─ 巴拿馬前駐台大使馬締斯:「台灣向世界展現,他們運用2003年抗煞所學到的經驗,準備好對抗新冠疫情。」
March 11 - Dr. Alfredo Martiz, former Ambassador of Panama in Taiwan: "Lo que Taiwán puede enseñar al mundo sobre la lucha contra el coronavirus Análisis: Taiwán aprovechó las lecciones aprendidas durante el brote de SARS de 2003, y esta vez su gobierno y su pueblo estaban preparados" (What Taiwan can teach the world about the fight against the coronavirus. Analysis: Taiwan took the lessons learned during the SARS outbreak of 2003 and this time its government and its people were ready.)
《歐洲》
#捷克 Czech Republic🇨🇿
3/15 ─ 捷克總理巴比斯:「政府決定改變中央危機應變中心的定位及人員調度,仿照如同媒體所報導台灣的因應做法。」 March 15 - Prime Minister Andrej Babis: “The government decided to change the status of the Central Crisis Staff, where the crisis staff will be modeled, as we read in the media and it was in Taiwan.”
#丹麥 Denmark🇩🇰
3/18 ─ 丹麥前總理拉斯穆森:「台灣利用大數據、透明、由中央指揮的防疫作為奏效,值得世界各國學習。現在是時候告訴中國,確有地方可以討論地緣政治的,但不是在世界衛生組織。」 March 18 - In his March 18 piece in Time Magazine, former prime minister of Denmark Anders Fogh Rasmussen, stated "After the first notifications at the end of 2019, Taipei swiftly deployed a combination of measures to identify and contain the virus, including the use of big data to help contain potential cases."
#法國 France🇫🇷
3/5 ─ 前法國衛生部長及外交部長杜斯特:「檢視中央集權與非中央集權國家決策模式的差異十分有意思。台灣雖緊鄰中國卻可能是受武漢肺炎死亡率最低及受影響最輕的國家,其防疫成果完全令人難以置信,是為出色的危機管理。」
March 5 - Former French health and foreign minister Philippe Douste-Blazy said, "Ce qui est très intéressant en regardant les différents pays, c’est la centralisation ou la non-centralisation des décisions. Et on s’aperçoit que par exemple Taiwan est probablement le pays où il y a le moins de létalité et le pays le moins touché alors que c’est extrêmement près de la Chine. Le résultat est absolument invraisemblable. C’est une magnifique gestion de crise." (What is quite interesting with different countries, is centralization vs non-centralization of decisions. And one realizes that, for example, Taiwan is probably the country where the mortality rate is the lowest and the least affected country despite its extreme proximity to China. The result is absolutely implausible. It’s wonderful crisis management.)
3/7 ─ 法國國民議會友臺小組主席瑟賽希尼:「臺灣是處理武漢肺炎疫情的典範。」
March 7 - The chair of the French National Assembly's France-Taiwan Parliamentary Friendship Group, Jean François Cesarini, stated "Taïwan : Exemplaire dans sa gestion de l’épidémie du Coronavirus." (Taiwan: an excellent model for the management of the coronavirus epidemic.)
3/6 ─ 法國國民議會友臺小組副主席拉赫迪耶:「臺灣堪稱處理武漢肺炎危機的典範。」
March 6 - The deputy chair of the French National Assembly's France-Taiwan Parliamentary Friendship Group, Laure de La Raudière, stated "Gestion exemplaire de Taiwan de la crise du Coronavirus." (Taiwan's exemplary management of the coronavirus crisis.)
#義大利 Italy🇮🇹
3/16 ─ 義大利前外交部長德爾其:「台灣可能是第一個向WHO報告新冠病毒人傳人的國家,而且早在中國和WHO承認之前。顯然地,台灣因為北京施壓,被排除在世衛組織之外已有兩年之久。」
March 16 - Former foreign minister, Giulio Terzi: "Taiwan potrebber esser stato primo Paese a comunicare alla OMS che coronavirus COVID19 si stava trasmettendo da uomo a uomo.Molto prima che Cina e OMS lo ammettessero. Ovviamente, per volere Pechino, Taipei subisce esclusione da OMS da due anni." (Taiwan may have been the first country to report to WHO that coronavirus COVID19 was spreading from amongst humans, long before China and WHO admitted it. Obviously, at the behest of Beijing, Taipei has been excluded from WHO for two years.)
3/19 ─ 義大利北聯黨外交事務首席法拉利,轉推蔡總統「台美簽署防疫聯合夥伴關係聲明」推文:「這是向中國,也是向世界傳達的重要訊息。」
March 19: Lega Nord head of foreign affairs in Lombardy, Max Ferrari: "Coronavirus. Importante messaggio alla Cina e al mondo da Taiwan e Usa." (Coronavirus. Important message to China and the world from Taiwan and the USA.)
#歐盟 EU🇪🇺
3/14 ─ 歐洲議會議員暨中國關係代表團團長包瑞翰:「在這次疫情危機中,台灣在拯救生命方面做得很好。為什麼不邀請他們充分參與國際呢? 為什麼WHO不這樣做?因為北京玩弄民族主義政治,犧牲人民的利益。」
March 14 - “Taiwan is doing a great job with saving lives in this corona crisis. Why not acknowledge that and invite them to participate fully in international efforts? Why doesn't WHO do it? Because Beijing is playing nationalist politics at people's expense,” said Reinhard Bütikofer
#英國 UK 🇬🇧
3/13 ─ 英國前衛生大臣杭特表示,政府應採取更積極的行動,包括禁止探視養老院的長者。他認為,英國應該像是泰國和台灣等已控制住疫情的國家一樣,採取行動。
March 13 - Jeremy Hunt, the UK former health secretary: "Countries like Thailand and Taiwan had controlled the outbreak by taking such action. People will be concerned we are not moving sooner on social distancing."
#瑞典 Sweden🇸🇪
2/18 ─ 瑞典國會議員溫和黨主席席德斐:「從長遠來看,世衛組織不願將台灣納入扼止新冠病毒傳播及由該病毒所引起的傳播的任務,是完全站不住腳的,並且從很多面向來看是適得其反,例如從醫學和經濟角度。」
Feb. 18 - Moderate Party MP Margareta Cederfelt pointed out that “WHO’s unwillingness to include Taiwan in its work with limiting the spread of the coronavirus and stopping infections caused by the virus in the long-run, is indefensible and counterproductive seen from several perspectives, for example from a medical and economic perspective.”
#德國 Germany🇩🇪
3/13 ─ 德國自民黨主席國會議員布本多弗:「有一個國家在抗疫上脫穎而出,運用明確的策略及冷靜的態度有效對抗新冠肺炎,這個國家就是臺灣。」
March 13 - Chair of the district association Mühldorf am Inn of the FDP Bavaria Sandra Maria Bubendorfe: "Bei meiner 3. Rede im Deutschen Bundestag zum Thema Zivil und Katastrophenschutz in Deutschland vergangen Freitag, war es mir ein besonderes Bedürfnis Taiwan hervorzuheben, das gezeigt hat wie man mit klaren Strategien und kühlen Kopf auf die Gefahr des Corona Virus antworten kann und damit die Ausbreitung deutlich erschwert und verlangsamt wird." (During my third speech in the German Bundestag on civil and civil protection in Germany last Friday, I felt a need to highlight Taiwan, which showed how to respond to the dangers of the coronavirus with a clear strategy and a cool head, and thus significantly slowed its spread.)
#荷蘭 The Netherlands🇳🇱
3/18 ─ 荷蘭前中央銀行主席維林克:「臺灣防疫預警作為,是這個擁有約2400萬居民,且每年接受約300萬中國旅客往訪的國家,迄今得以有效控制疫情的關鍵作為。」
March 18 - The former head of the Dutch central bank stated that with its 24 million strong population and 3 million annual tourists from China, Taiwan has unrolled effective key measures to curb the spread of the epidemic.
3/18 ─ 荷蘭50 Plus黨眾議員兼主席克羅及民主論壇黨眾議員兼主席伯德特:「台灣是成功例子」 無黨籍眾議員哈加:「台灣大量檢測與居家隔離,成功控制疫情,為何荷蘭不學習?」
March 18 - The leaders of the 50PLUS party and the Forum for Democracy, Henk Krol and Thierry Beaudet, stated that Taiwan has provided a successful model. Independent Dutch MP Wybren van Haga stated that Taiwan has been testing on a large scale and enforcing home quarantines, successful measures in curbing the epidemic and asked why the Netherlands wasn't learning from their example.
#瑞士 Switzerland 🇨🇭
3/10 ─ 瑞士國會下議員瓦爾德:「臺灣對抗新冠病毒具特別成效。」 March 10 - Swiss National Councillor Nicolas Walder said Taiwan's response to the novel coronavirus has been particularly effective.
#葡萄牙 Portugal🇵🇹
3/15 ─ 葡萄牙前人民黨黨揆暨資深媒體評論家波塔斯:「台灣承襲2003年對抗SARS經驗,成功壓抑疫情曲線峰值,值得葡國作為借鏡。」
March 15 - Former Deputy Prime Minister of Portugal and media personality Paulo Portas stated that Taiwan's experience in fighting SARS in 2003 allowed it to be successful in flattening the curve, providing a model Portugal can learn from.
3/18 ─ 葡萄牙國會友臺小組歐利維拉:「台灣病例出現雖早,卻在努力下獲得很好的控制,台灣防疫措施值得肯定及學習。」
March 18 - Chair of the Portugal-Taiwan Parliamentary Friendship Group Paulo Rios de Oliveira stated that although cases in Taiwan started to appear quite early on, they've controlled it very well with a lot of effort. Taiwan's epidemic control measures should be praised and studied.
#西班牙 Spain🇪🇸
3/13 ─ 西班牙前國會議員瓦紐費瑞:「這些措施證明台灣公衛模式有效,包括世界上最先進的醫衛系統、自2003年抗煞以來所累積的廣泛防疫經驗等。」
March 13 - Francisco Vañó Ferre, a former member of the Spanish Parliament: "Estas y otras medidas prueban la eficacia del modelo sanitario de Taiwán, que cuenta con uno de los más avanzados sistemas de salud del mundo y con amplia experiencia en la lucha contra enfermedades contagiosas tras haber sufrido la epidemia del SARS en 2003." (These and other measures prove the efficacy of the health model of Taiwan, which has one of the most advanced health systems in the world and a wealth of experience in the fight against contagious diseases, after having suffered from the SARS epidemic in 2003.)
#匈牙利 Hungary🇭🇺
3/15 ─ 匈牙利醫師學會:「在中國其他省份和其他亞洲國家,例如台灣和新加坡等,已經能夠預防感染的傳播。」
March 15 - The Hungarian Medical Chamber stated “In other provinces of China and other Asian countries (eg Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore) have been able to prevent the spread of the infection.”
北美:
#美國 US🇺🇸
2/5 ─ 美國前衛生部長派司:「台灣已經證明其防疫行動極為負責且透明,特別是在醫學和科學領域。最近有幸到訪台灣,台灣協助研發疫苗或以其他方式協助拯救生命,並促進人類對抗病毒的能力及情報,此刻尤顯出色。」
Feb. 5 – US former secretary of health and human services Tom Price: "Taiwan has shown itself to be extremely responsible and transparent in its actions, especially in the area of medicine and science. Having had the privilege of visiting recently, the capacity of Taiwan to help formulate a vaccine or assist in other ways to help save lives and advance human engagement and intelligence at this time is remarkable."
#加拿大 Canada🇨🇦
3/6 ─ 加拿大前國務部長契爾格:「將台灣排除在世衛組織之外,會讓新冠病毒對其國民和世界其他地區變得更加危險。」
March 6 - Canadian former secretary of state David Kilgour: “Excluding Taiwan from contact with WHO makes COVID-19 more dangerous for its nationals and the rest of the world.”
argentina economic crisis 在 黃色書刊 Facebook 的精選貼文
高雄原創VR單元:Program 1
〈星際大騙局 之 登月計畫〉
Great Hoax: The Moon Landing
這次很榮幸被邀請擔任這部作品的人物與插畫設定,
當初一看到徐漢強導演的點子和劇本就覺得很荒謬、
很棒!
很喜歡這個既諷刺又十分歡樂的故事,
預告片出來的時候也讓我非常感動,
真的很開心能參與這部作品,
有興趣的讀者希望也可以找機會去看看!
高雄電影節 Kaohsiung Film FestivalX公視粉絲團X
Serendipity 綺影映畫XAFK PL@YERS X黃色書刊
聯手打造
黃色書刊
AFK PL@YERS
Serendipity 綺影映畫
有. IP - 授權/經紀
公視粉絲團
高雄電影節 Kaohsiung Film Festivalsti
高雄原創VR單元:Program 1〈星際大騙局 之 登月計畫〉Great Hoax: The Moon Landing
#2019威尼斯影展創投單元
#高雄電影節世界首映
#徐漢強:「2019年的台灣,正處於一個被大量假新聞和傳言所包圍的恐慌之中。我們亟欲透過救世主和所謂『台灣之光』的偶像來拯救我們的民生、經濟、認同,甚至存在,而偶像的背後卻又總是充滿了漏洞和破綻。我希望能透過這部諷刺喜劇作品,讓觀者親身參與月球登陸造假的過程,透過互動式VR能達到的『在場』特性,讓觀者自己踩上那一小步。接著再讓他們成為電視機前的觀眾,去體會那『一大步』誕生的造神時刻。」
John HSU: I want to make an interactive political satire about the Taiwanese government faking our own moon landing, to show its people and the world that we can be “great” too. You, the audience, are going to become “the first Taiwanese astronaut landing on the moon” and help them do the fake landing. If we cannot solve the actual problems on Earth, we can always stun everyone with a spectacular show.
高雄電影節 Kaohsiung Film FestivalX公視粉絲團XSerendipity 綺影映畫XAFK PL@YERS X黃色書刊聯手打造
準備好一起找長頸鹿嗎🦒
-\-\
▎購票連結 Tickets
http://bit.ly/2QbxMWx
▎XR單元場次表 Schedule
https://bit.ly/2Lpm7yF
▎場次預約 Online Reservation System
https://vrfilmlab.simplybook.asia/
▎XR 單場票
早鳥Early Bird Ticket $150
全票Regular Ticket $200
愛心票 $100
▎XR駁二P3一日票 $599
XR One-Day Pass at The Pier-2 Art Center Warehouse P3
10/10(四)~10/20(日) 期間僅限影展現場售票處購買
Available from 10th Oct.(THU) to 20th Oct.(SUN), only available on-site
▎XR VIP Pass $3000
-\-\
Taiwan, Argentina|2019|Interactive|Colour|15-20min|Mandarin, English|No subtitle
1969年,阿波羅11號登陸了月球。在登月50週年的今日,全球持續討論著登月陰謀論,同時,台灣人民處於身分認同的困境,人們渴望著一個契機來拯救整個局面,於是一個「登陸月球」的影片拍攝計畫因應而生。體驗者將扮演片中登陸月球的角色,並透過互動VR技術與片中人員、物件進行互動。當影片終於完成後,終將發現這一切的背後是更大的騙局⋯⋯。
In 1969, Apollo 11 landed on the moon. 50 years later, people in Taiwan are struggling between an identity crisis and economic fluctuations, hoping for a juncture would save the day. This desire is why you are hired to be a national hero - the very first Taiwanese who lands on the moon. Finally, comes the release day, you wait for the broadcast in your dingy apartment, only to realize it’s not about a moon-landing anymore...
導演 Director
徐漢強 John HSU
導演、AFK PL@YERS團隊創辦人。擅於以諷刺幽默的奇幻喜劇形式敘事,其作品形式涵蓋電視單元劇、短片、VR與電影長片,獲金鐘獎、柏林影展、鹿特丹影展等多項肯定。更以首部VR作品〈全能元神宮改造王〉入選日舞影展,並於世界四十餘個影展巡迴。首部電影長片《返校》改編自人氣同名遊戲,於2019年9月上映。
A short film, VR and feature film director. John is interested in digital culture, comedy and sci-fi film genres, with a fun and satirical sense of humor, his films have awarded by several international film festivals. Your Spiritual Temple Sucks, John’s first VR work, has selected by Sundance Film Festival and won the Best Innovative Storytelling award of World VR Forum.
聯合導演 Co-Director
馬可洛可可 Marco LOCOCO
擁有豐富的遊戲與動畫經驗,曾執導VR影集Water Bear與Dessert Island,也是3dar工作室獲獎原創VR動畫Shave It和Uncanny Valley的重要幕後團隊。洛可可參與製作的美國知名饒舌歌手Lily Dicky的動畫MV Earth更在YouTube上擁有超過一億瀏覽人次。
Lococo directed two VR Series titles of major reach called “Water Bear”, and “Dessert Island”. He was part of the team behind multi-award winner “Shave it” and “Uncanny Valley”, 3Dar’s originals short films. He was part of the team that created Lil Dicky’s “Earth” video clip as Animation Producer. As to this date it has more than 100 million views on Youtube.
argentina economic crisis 在 香港花生 Youtube 的最佳貼文
來源視頻 和 金融原理解釋,見本頁頁底。
-----------
網上討論會
(請在本視頻的議論欄發言。有見地的內容,我會抄貼到這裏下面。)
討論會題目﹕
假如郭文貴關於港幣貶值的預言屬實,港府(如突然敢冒大不諱行駛基本法賦與的高度自治權)可以做什麼,來挽救廣大市民,避免或減少損失?
^^^^^^^^^^今後, 以上管叫[總題目]^^^^^^^^^^
F (Zen Gong指 1. 中國銀行發鈔,有可能背後的美元儲備有水份。2. 發鈔量是美元儲備的4.2倍。 )
1. Money Supply M2 in Hong Kong is $14,063 billion HKD in August 2018. HK's Foreign Exchange Reserves is $424.8 billion USD in August.
https://tradingeconomics.com/hong-kon...
https://tradingeconomics.com/hong-kon...
The problem is: the figures are provided by all banks based on a honest system. HSBC & HK Chartered Bank are British banks they would play by the rule. But China Bank (HK)'s $USD reserve is in HK or Beijin? as part of China's $USD? i.e. they can have no $USD at all in HK. M1 are bank notes, bank credit & plastic monies, M2/M3 include short/long term credit. They can switch between easily that make auditing extremely difficult.
2. In HK's Foreign Exchange Reserve basket the composition mainly (80+% by IMF rule) is $USD, rest are Euro, Yen and Yuan. The fixed rate is a 7.8. The $USD reserve is USD$424.8 billion and HK's M2 money supply is HK$14,063 billion in August. The variable/unpegged rate should be HK$14,063/US$424.8=33.1 not 7.8 today. Or, USD $424.8B x 7.8= HK $3,313 billion its USD reserve can support, not HK$14, 063 billion M2. HK printed 4.2 times monies it should, not including M3 (long term credit) and figures provided by banks might be grossly exaggerated.
E (KIU WAI LAM 提供一些具體數字)
香港最新外匯儲備資產數字
香港金融管理局(金管局)2018年10月5日(星期五)公布,香港於2018年9月底的官方外匯儲備資產為4,264億美元(2018年8月底為4,248億美元)(附件)。
連同未交收外匯合約在內,香港於2018年9月底的外匯儲備資產為4,188億美元(2018年8月底為4,172億美元)。
為數4,264億美元的外匯儲備資產總額,相當於香港流通貨幣約7倍,或港元貨幣供應M3約46%。
D (原來“ 路德社”頻道有更專業和深入的討論,我請你請參考)
連結: https://youtu.be/Tx7oY042u7g
10/13/2018 路德时评(对冲基金大佬良心小哥):这几天大量突增的对港币维稳的洗脑文章,以及12日港财政司司长突赴京与央行行长商讨对策,港币是否能夠撐的住?(普通話)
點題:
1. 設郭文貴說白港幣將貶值的(中國日期)10月10日是day 1; days 2 & 3 立刻發生幾件事:(i)國內有貌似專業的長文講港元不會同美元脱鈎, 被容許發表;但列舉了香港M0, M1, M3的數字, 偏偏不提最相關的M2。(ii)財政司司長陳茂波赴京見中央銀行行長易綱, 但報導非常簡短,耐人尋味; 可能反映他們要暗示中央會為港元托底, 但又不敢說白有危機。
2. 全面回顧了1997年索羅斯狙擊港元的歷史, 及其意義, 又指出事前事後北京可都視索羅斯為"中國的老朋友", 貴為上賓。
3. 嘉賓講者特別提出, 索羅斯狙擊英鎊和其他金融操作佳績連年, 當年狙擊港元卻要敗退, 是中共津津樂道的威水史, 但是, 剛剛以非法交易罪宣判郭文貴的政泉公司案罰款600億人民幣破了全球有史以來最高罰金的紀錄, 卻無大吹大擂, 是盜國賊自知理虧, 底氣不足, 缺乏自信, 末日近矣。
4. 1:21:00有網友問港府可不可以禁止做空港幣, 算是對下面A貼的[總題目]的一個回答, 嘉賓講者以A3的邏輯回答。從路德的總結, 又可推算即使港府敢開徵「炒港幣稅」, 中共也麻煩,因為暴露了盜國賊違法造成港幣超發來吸金,將斷了這條吸金的通道,配合當世界出現其他反共招數的時候, 中共少了這金融“後援”, 會加速潰敗。這也局部回答了A5的道德兩難的困惑。
C (明杜志可算是回應以下的A4點)
1. hk foreign reserve got only 300 billion us dollars
2. 沖唔到港元架,香港有2萬億港元再加銀行體糸可以回撥,金管局可以下令唔借港元比外資沽空,其實97金融風暴已經沖過,佢地沽港股抽高個息再沽港元,結果佢地都係輸住走,如果甘易沽到港元脫勾,港元一早脫左啦
B (Eric Chan 可算是回應以下的A5點)
身為香港人, 雖然唔情願港紙遭受狙擊, 但若一時陣痛換來長治久安, 香港人亦唯有默默承受!!
[從這裏開始,... 的符號表示原文已大幅刪節,因為Youtube說明欄的上限是5000字符,業已超過。請到Tsui Hon Kwong頻道和花生台本視頻的留言欄閱讀全文。]
A (我自己來開個頭)
Tsui Hon Kwong: 港府可以宣佈徵收「炒港幣稅」!細節如下。
1. 把正常經濟活動和炒買炒賣港幣兩種行為分開。再細節,1.1 例如,...如能開具證明,是正常經濟活動所需,不在規管範圍之內。...1.2 怎樣防止假證明?...尤其是,盜國賊最清楚是他們自己造假或行賄造成港幣超發的,...他們深知加入炒賣必賺,就會出盡法寶假扮是正常經濟活動;...。在個難題上,仍有待大家...。
2. 把炒港幣的潛在利潤,用稅收抽走。再細節,2.1 某個銀碼以下的兌換,保留免稅,...。那麼,界線該劃在哪裏好呢?我認為在一千萬美元左右較恰當。...。2.2 稅率多少才好?至少要同潛在利潤掛鈎,...。
3. 徵收「炒港幣稅」會不會沾污香港是自由貿易港的美名,影響到經濟步向蕭條?...
4. 「炒港幣稅」是否有效?是不是有重大缺失,根本不可行?...
5. 道德兩難問題﹕一方面,郭文貴認為港幣貶值將在中共倒台、全國實現民主法治的過程中起得到關鍵作用,...。另一方面,最避不開港幣大貶值的是...基層人民...;整體經濟、民生發展、方方面面都會出現極大困難;再...漫延到全國,以致郭文貴都說﹕「...我心裏很難受,我跨不過那個坎,因為我看到這些行動真的在實踐中,我真的很難受。...,好幾次我在陽台...,眼淚就掉下來,受不了呀。」...這,就是道德兩難:找方法避免貶值或減弱貶值及其帶來的損失,是道德的嗎?...
-----------
詞語解釋(出場序)
CCP ----- 中國共產黨, China Communist Party
Kayle Bass ----- 美國對沖基金經理人。Wikipedia: In 2008, Bass successfully predicted and effectively bet against the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis by purchasing credit default swaps on subprime securities which, in turn, increased in value when the real estate bubble burst.
Bass has made prominent bets on Japan, European sovereign debt and, most recently, China. He has also given his expectations regarding the economic future of Japan and Argentina.
P2P ----- peer to peer, 一種網路借貸平臺,由非政府、非銀行的機構集資,答應投資人優厚利率,然後貸款給需要資金的企業或個人。幾年前中共許多官員為這些新興的金融機構站台,從民間圈到許多資金。數月前國內大量P2P公司倒閉或負責人挾款失蹤,令投資者血本無歸。論者認為都是被貪官掠去了。
泛亞 ----- 如上,也是國內一間集資公司,許多官員向全國公眾推薦,說既安全、回報又高。幾年前又倒閉,令許多投資者賠上畢生積蓄。論者認為都是被貪官掠去了。
民族證券 ----- 郭文貴在國內的公司之一。損害郭的利益的目標之一。盜國賊殘害其員工,掠奪其資產;都是為了要脅郭就範,迫他停止點名揭露諸如王歧山等盜國賊的違法網絡和罪行。
徐明 ---- 冤案主角, 大連實德集團董事長, 2013年因涉薄熙來案,獲刑入獄, 作為污點證人指證薄熙來貪腐, 獄中表現良好, 提前釋放, 但在即將獲釋前猝死
李明 ----- 冤案主角, 著名影视公司小马奔腾董事长,涉公安部副部长李东生案被带走协助调查,官方说李明在询问中情绪激动,注射了镇静剂之后不治身亡。
雷洋 ----- 冤案主角, 北京便衣警察懷疑市民雷洋有嫖娼行為,在拘捕過程中雷洋逃脫後被再次拘捕,押解途中雷洋死亡。次日,該事件發布到網絡,引起了輿論的廣泛關注。官方說他是因為自瀆而死
「我的弟弟」----- 郭文貴、他弟弟和另一個女性家人(可能是嫂嫂)是1989年支持天安門學生運動的北京市民之中的三個。三人被捕,警局中有警員拔槍要殺女家人,他弟弟撲過去保護她,中彈,失救而死。
孟建柱 ----- 郭文貴揭露違法罪行的四名頭號盜國賊之一。
王樂泉 ----- 中共官員,官至中共中央政治局委员,新疆維吾爾自治區黨委書記。2010年被中共免去在新疆的所有職務。现任中国法学会会长。
----------------------------------------------------------
來源視頻﹕
https://youtu.be/rwttNTC0Izo
10月9号:C C P如果攻击台湾,美国会不会出兵?为什么说港币和人民币会垮掉?保护台湾香港极为重要!
(郭文貴頻道,美國日期2018.10.9) (普通話)
金融原理﹕
https://youtu.be/YPC6bhJv760
为什么说香港也会存在货币超发?为什么历史上阻击做空港币比较困难?为什么此次上万亿美元阻击港币加上金融大杀器一定能够成功?
(路德社直播台,美國日期2018.10.9) (普通話)
argentina economic crisis 在 Be Wary of Argentina's Latest Economic "Miracle" - Americas ... 的相關結果
BUENOS AIRES – As a candidate for president in 2019, Alberto Fernández referred often to Argentina's economic crisis of the early 2000s. ... <看更多>
argentina economic crisis 在 Growth,instability and the convertibility crisis in Argentina 的相關結果
The financial crisis, the fall in national income and political uncertainty gave rise to powerful destabilizing forces. Without significant offsetting. ... <看更多>
argentina economic crisis 在 Economic history of Argentina - Wikipedia 的相關結果
However, a sustained recession at the turn of the 21st century culminated in a default, and the government again devalued the ... ... <看更多>