🌻
美國聯準會(Fed)在美東時間22日下午2時(台灣23日凌晨2時)宣布利率維持在趨近零的水準,但暗示升息可能會比預期來得快一些,同時也大幅下修今年的經濟展望。
https://udn.com/news/story/6811/5764746
🌻Adobe(ADBE)電話會議內容讀後感
ADBE前兩天發表財報了.
這次ADBE在財報後下跌, 主要是兩個原因(如下). 不過個人覺得是瑕不掩瑜:
1. 因為之前已經漲了不少(投資人期望太高)
2. 因為Digital Marketing這部分的業務受到季節性的影響, 所以表現不是很突出(沒有比預期高出很多)
a. net new Digital Media ARR (3% beat vs guide, vs 15% beat in 2Q21 vs 35% beat in 3Q20).
b. 有分析師在問(“Maybe just -- can we double-click on the seasonality commentary in the quarter? Because if we look at the beat versus guidance on net new digital media ARR, it looks, at the same time you had the weakest beat, but then the strongest guide in the last three years, which kind of speaks to and confirm some of those seasonality comments that you made.)
i. 高層對此的回答是, 主要是疫情後, 加上正值夏季, 大家的日子回復到正常&放假外出, 所以這部分的業務有受到影響(I think going into the quarter, we had expected that the consumer with a little bit more return to normalcy as what's happening in the environment.)
ii. 高層又說了一些話, 不過重點就是他不認為這是甚麼大事”So, net-net, I would say that the growth prospects for that particular business and the growth drivers remain intact. But again, very much in line. And this is what we feel good about the insights that we're getting on the business.”
iii. 也提到, Q4通常會是digital marketing業務的旺季(表現會不俗的意思)
另外, 覺得這次令我印象深刻的是, 當高層與分析師提到這些事情:
• 常在一些公司的電話會議中提到omnichannel這個字(疫情後, 更明顯了). 這次高層也有提到. ADBE可說是omnichannel概念股:
o “I mean, a big part of that is more and more companies are thirdly doing the multi-channel omnichannel, whatever they want to call it. And I think that's only going to continue to be a driver of our Digital Experience Solutions. Because today that stable stakes and so we just look at it and say whether you're shopping in-store over they are shopping online. You need a solution that treats you like a customer that we know of.”
• 網路上影片(video)的興起, 以及串流影音, 有提高了Adobe的營收天花板(用句分析師的術語, 就是TAM (total addressable market) expansion.
• 當使用者製作了越來越多的內容, 內容管理(content management)的能力就越顯重要, 內容上的流程管理(workflow)也越顯重要. Adobe的產品能夠幫內容製作者解決這樣的問題.
• 而Adobe各產品間的相容性, 標準化, 整合能力, 是它的競爭優勢之一:
o And one of the things we did really well is what we called our named user deployment and how, you know, when we have these enterprise licensing agreements, we offer enterprises the ability to download and distribute within the companies. And the more we do training and evangelism of the products, that leads to adoption. So, I would say there's an element of standardization, there's an element of more content.
而最近ADBE有個新聞, 引起了我的注意, 就是它即將在自己的平台上, 提供付款服務(payment service). 根據之前研究SHOP的經驗, 這有可能會對股價造成一定的漲幅:
On Sept. 15, Adobe announced that it will add payment services to its e-commerce platform this year to help merchants accept credit cards and other ways of paying. The move will deepen Adobe's rivalry with e-commerce firm Shopify (SHOP).
For the service, Adobe has partnered with PayPal (PYPL), which will process a variety of payment types, including credit and debit cards as well as PayPal's own payment and buy-now-pay-later offerings.
https://www.investors.com/news/technology/adbe-stock-adobe-beats-fiscal-q3-targets/
接下來該怎麼辦? 對於基本面良好的公司如ADBE, 我能說的就是buy the dip(逢低買進)了. 供參.
🌻The Facebook Files
一個星期前, WSJ上面有個關於FB的大篇幅調查報導. 有興趣的可以看看.
The Facebook Files
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-facebook-files-11631713039
這篇文章挺長, 也沒有看到華爾街中文版本的完整翻譯, 不過可以看看這篇:
https://on.wsj.com/2ZmFimp
"《華爾街日報》的相關調查顯示,這家社交媒體巨頭心知肚明,其平台會傷害用戶,而且是以該公司常常完全了解的方式造成傷害。目前,全球近半數人口都是Facebook旗下平台的用戶。其中一些證據尤其令人不安:據《華爾街日報》報導,Facebook的內部研究顯示,在報告稱有過自殺念頭的青少年中當中,有13%的英國用戶和6%的美國用戶把這種念頭歸結於Instagram。"
另一篇相關新聞:
https://www.thenewslens.com/article/156683
"《華爾街日報》於13日揭露Facebook的XCheck系統,也就是內部系統中的VIP名單,數百萬名人、政治人物與記者等知名公眾人物都在特別的一份「白名單」之內。"
"這些「貴賓」在社群上發布的內容可以躲過一般的審查系統,即使發布明顯的不當內容,也不會立即被刪除。《衛報》報導,Facebook的獨立監督委員會表示,在閱讀該篇報導後,決定要審查XCheck系統,並要求Facebook對其進行報告與解釋。"
🌻我喜歡的Apple TV影集, "Ted Lasso", 是這次艾美獎的大贏家, 很多主要演員都得獎了.
很高興這兩年, 因為有這部戲的陪伴, 讓我撐過了疫情, 家人離世, 以及一些烏煙瘴氣的事情.
前幾天看演員的得獎影片, 一位娛樂記者問得獎的男配角(也是編劇之一)說, 你覺得這部片的核心思想是甚麼. 他說, be curious, not judgemental.
就像得獎的女演員在劇中一開始是很鴨霸很壞心的球隊主人, 但這樣做是因為被前夫傷透了心, 所以想要弄垮離婚後分到的財產(也是前夫的最愛--球隊); 外表看起來永遠陽光燦爛做啦啦隊的男主角, 在青少年時父親自殺, 造成了他心裡永遠的痛&障礙(讓他在球賽時, 會有突發恐懼症).
我們每個人其實都有很多面, 很多個故事. 尤其在社群, 大家都是萍水相逢, 對彼此的了解都是非常片面的; 而有時候在社群裡, 看到有人會因為只看到一個面向, 就去下斷語. 這其實是人之常情很難避免, 所以我們需要常用第二層思考去提醒自己. 社群裡需要更多的同理心.
“Be curious, not judgmental” – Walt Whitman(惠特曼)(美國詩人)
Picture來源:
https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2021/09/apples-global-hit-comedy-series-ted-lasso-sweeps-the-2021-primetime-emmy-awards-scoring-history-making-win-for-outstanding-comedy-series/
同時也有10000部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過2,910的網紅コバにゃんチャンネル,也在其Youtube影片中提到,...
「deployment process」的推薦目錄:
deployment process 在 VOP Facebook 的最佳貼文
#新刊出版 New release!!!
Voices of Photography 攝影之聲
Issue 30:美援視覺性──農復會影像專題
U.S. Aid Visuality: The JCRR Issue
本期我們重返影響台灣戰後發展至關重要的美援年代,尋索過往在台灣影像歷史視野中遺落、但卻十分關鍵的美援時期台灣視覺歷程──「農復會」的影像檔案。
成立於1948年、以推行「三七五減租」和「耕者有其田」等土地改革與農業政策聞名的農復會(中國農村復興聯合委員會,JCRR),被認為是奠定二十世紀「台灣經驗」基礎的重要推手。然而很少人留意,這一農經專業的美援機構,在1950至60年代拍攝了大量的照片、幻燈、電影,並生產各種圖像、圖表、圖冊與海報,在冷戰年代與美援宣傳機制緊密連結,深深參與了戰後「台灣(視覺)經驗」的構成,影響著我們的視覺文化發展。
冷戰與美援如何形塑台灣的影像與視覺感知?本期專題透過採集考察眾多第一手的農復會早期攝影檔案、底片、圖像、影片與文獻資料,揭載鮮為人知的美援年代視覺工作,追尋這一段逐漸隱沒的戰後台灣攝影與美援視覺性的重要經歷。
其中,李威儀考掘農復會的歷史線索與視覺文本,探查美援的攝影檔案製程、「農復會攝影組」的成員蹤跡,以及文化冷戰期間從圖像、攝影到電影中的美援視覺路徑;蔡明諺分析1951年由農復會、美國經合分署與美國新聞處共同創辦的《豐年》半月刊,從語言、歌謠與漫畫等多元的視覺表現中,重新閱讀這份戰後最具代表性的台灣農村刊物潛在的意識形態構成與政治角力;楊子樵回看多部早期農教與政策宣傳影片,析論農復會在戰後台灣發展中的言說機制與感官部署,並從陳耀圻參與農復會出資拍攝的紀錄片計畫所採取的影音策略,一探冷戰時期「前衛」紀錄影像的可能形式;黃同弘訪查農復會在1950年代為進行土地與森林調查所展開的航空攝影,解析早期台灣航攝史的源起與美援關聯,揭開多張難得一見的戰後台灣地景航照檔案。
此外,我們也尋訪生於日治時期、曾任農復會與《豐年》攝影師的楊基炘(1923-2005)的攝影檔案,首度開啟他封存逾半世紀、收藏農復會攝影底片與文件的軍用彈藥箱和相紙盒,呈現楊基炘於農復會工作期間的重要文獻,並收錄他拍攝於美援年代、從未公開的攝影遺作與文字,重新探看他稱為「時代膠囊」的視覺檔案,展現楊基炘攝影生涯更為多樣的面向,同時反思「美援攝影」複雜的歷史情愁。
本期專欄中,李立鈞延續科學攝影的探討,從十九世紀末天文攝影的觀測技術,思考可見與不可見在認識論上的交互辨證;謝佩君關注影像的遠端傳輸技術史,檢視當代數位視覺政權中的權力、知識與美學機制。「攝影書製作現場」系列則由以珂羅版印刷著稱的日本「便利堂」印刷職人帶領,分享古典印刷傳承的工藝秘技。
在本期呈現的大量影像檔案中,讀者將會發現關於美援攝影的經歷與台灣歷史中的各種視覺經驗,還有許多故事值得我們深入訪查。感謝讀者這十年來與《攝影之聲》同行,希望下個十年裡,我們繼續一起探索影像的世界。
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● 本期揭載未曾曝光的美援攝影工作底片、檔案與文件!
購書 Order | https://vopbookshop.cashier.ecpay.com.tw/
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In this issue of VOP, we revisit the era of U.S. aid, a period that was of utmost importance to Taiwan’s post-war social and economic development, and explore Taiwan’s much forgotten but crucial visual journey during this era ── the visual archives of the JCRR.
Established in 1948, the Chinese-American Joint Commission on Rural Reconstruction, or the JCRR, is widely known for the implementation of various land reform and agricultural policies, such as the “375 rent reduction” and “Land-to-the-tiller” programs. Hence, the Commission is considered an important cornerstone to laying the foundations of the “Taiwan Experience” in the 20th century. That said, very few are aware that this U.S. aid organization specializing in agricultural economics was also closely associated with the American propaganda mechanism during the Cold War, and had in its possession countless photos, slides and movies, and produced various images, charts, pamphlets and posters. All these contributed to the formation of the post-war “Taiwan (Visual) Experience”, deeply influencing the development of our visual culture.
How exactly did the Cold War and U.S. aid shape Taiwan’s image and visual perception? This issue’s special feature uncovers the little-known visual activities from the U.S. aid era by investigating the collection of JCRR’s first-hand photo files, negatives, images, films and documents, and traces this important journey of post-war Taiwan photography and U.S. aid visuality that has gradually faded from people’s minds.
Among them, Lee Wei-I examines the historical clues and visual texts of the JCRR, and explores the production of the U.S. aid photographic archives, following the traces of the members of the “JCRR Photography Unit” and the trails of U.S. aid visuals during the Cold War from images and photography to films. Tsai Ming-Yen analyzes the diverse visual manifestations, such as languages, ballads and comics, contained in the semimonthly publication Harvest, which was co-founded by the JCRR, the U.S. Economic Cooperation Administration, and the U.S. Information Service in 1951, presenting a new take on the ideological and political struggles that were hidden beneath the pages of this agricultural publication that could also be said to be the most representative publication of the post-war era. Yang Zi-Qiao looks back at the early agricultural education and propaganda films, and analyzes the discourse and sensory deployment utilized by the JCRR in the development of a post-war Taiwan and the possibilities of the “avant garde” documentary films from the Cold War period through the audio-visual strategies gleaned from director Chen Yao-Chi’s documentary project that was funded by the JCRR. At the same time, Houng Tung-Hung checks out the aerial photography taken by the JCRR in the 1950s for land and forest surveys, and uncovers the origins of Taiwan’s aerial photography with U.S. aid, giving readers a rare glimpse at post-War Taiwan’s aerial landscape photographic archives.
In addition, we will explore the photographic archives of Yang Chih-Hsin (1923-2005), a former photographer who was born during the Japanese colonial period and worked for the JCRR and Harvest, unearthing negatives and documents kept away in the ammunition and photo-paper box that had stayed sealed for more than half a century. This feature presents important files of Yang during his time with JCRR, and photographs taken and written texts produced during the U.S. aid era but were never made public. We go through the visual archives enclosed in what he called a “time capsule”, shedding light on the diversity of his photography career, while reflecting on the complex historial sentiments towards “U.S. aid photography” at the same time.
Lee Li-Chun continues the discussion on scientific photography in his column, exploring the interactive dialectics between the seen and the unseen through the observation technology of astrophotography in the late nineteenth century. Hsieh Pei-Chun focuses on the history of the technology behind remote transmission of visuals and examines the power, knowledge and aesthetics that underlies contemporary digital visual regime. Finally, this issue’s “Photobook Making Case Study” is led by the printing experts at Japan’s Benrido, a workshop that is renowned for its mastery of the collotype printing technique.
Through the large collection of photographic archives presented in this issue, readers will see that there remain many stories on the photography process in the U.S. aid era and various types of visual experiences in Taiwan’s history that are waiting to be unearthed. We thank our readers for staying with VOP for the past decade and we look forward to another ten years of exploring the world of images with you.
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Voices of Photography 攝影之聲
vopmagazine.com
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#美援 #農復會 #冷戰 #台灣 #攝影
#USAID #JCRR #ColdWar
#Taiwan #photography
#攝影之聲 #影言社
deployment process 在 拿督雷智雄博士 Dato' Tony Looi Chee Hong Facebook 的最讚貼文
🔥🔥 10 Points in Response to the Prime Minister's "Recovery Plan". Window Dressing Is Not Going To Cut It This Time | Industries Unite
(1) The fact that we have a one-pager after enduring the pandemic for 15months, speaks volumes of the perceived indecisiveness, inefficiency and lack of a cohesive idea on the part of the Government on how and when we are going to come out of this. Contain the pandemic and have a structured economic recovery.. There are too many if's and variables in play for the plan to actually spur the confidence of the #Rakyat.
(2) Weren't we at these levels last year? Unless we have a clear and defined path forward the idea that we will come out of this in September or October 2021, is not convincing; amongst others as the whole plan is entirely based on the accuracy of purported numbers of infected persons and the availability of vaccinations on time. Many analysts have openly stated serious doubts on this.
(3) There are serious doubts about the absolute numbers that the government is resting the substratum of the 'Recovery Plan' on. Limited and variable testing numbers and testings may mean that there are flaws in the absolute numbers being relied upon here. This appears to be supported by the Code-Blue stats.
(4) Where is the tracking data on clusters and contact tracing?
Without this, we are fighting with eyes closed. In any case, most of the cases appear to be asymptomatic, so are the numbers correct?
(5) What if this doesn't work? We simply cannot afford to get it wrong now, the fear is that the projection put forward by you, is not based on any data that has been made available to be scrutinised and verified. Just a blanket wish-list. With the current numbers of new cases and the projection of average positivity rate. With the data, We will be able to see the real numbers (projected forecast) and tabulate a much more concrete plan. However, is the government not doing this because as the numbers are bad? These are serious questions that we have.
(6) Increasing the capacity to vaccinate should be the priority moving forward. Delay and bureaucracy are issues ignored here. Private practitioners who have been inoculating children and adults for decades are not being fully mobilised , these private practitioners, who are by law allowed to vaccinate the public are frustrated by the process of having to register and by trained by a private company #ProtectHealth. The Government's refusal to fully utilise the existing infrastructure of the many #Klinik #Kesihatan and government hospital out-patient facilities, preferring them to mega #PPVs is not optimising the capacity to vaccinate. They have not taken into account that many people especially in the rural areas do not have smart phones or connectivity, yet we insist on deployment of a RM70 million application that has shown itself to crash twice! A manual system was used to great effect in the USA and UK to great effect in simplifying the process and increasing capacity.
(7) The idea of employers being allowed to pay to vaccinate raises the question of allocation of vaccines and a two class system of vaccination process.
(8 ) There is no indication of how and when the vaccination are going to be distributed to the states. Why are we not involving the individual state health apparatus. Surely, they are already set up and are better positioned to roll it out .
(9) Where are the dollars and cents in numbers, in-terms of assistance and Aid to the #public and #businesses to stabilise their economic position for the duration that there are restrictions on movement (#FMCO). Where is the Plan B, in case the targets as stated are not met? What is the plan? Can the government be sure?
(10) Surely a recovery plan should include a plan for Economic Recovery over at least 3 years. If there is One, Where is it?
(11) Do we have an adequate safety net for the public? There is no indication of when people will get back jobs and when, businesses will get back to normal. One cannot assume economically everything will be ok, once we reach October 2021.
It will take many months thereafter to get back to employability and profitability. So whats the plan for that? What are the projections? What are the solutions? What is the plan ?
WE SIMPLY CANNOT AFRORD TO GET THIS WRONG THIS TIME.
PEOPLE ARE DYING. BUSINESSES ARE FOLDING. WE NEED MORE.
Dato' David Gurupatham
Datuk Irwin SW Cheong
On-behalf of #IndustriesUnite.
#OneVoice #kitajagakita #ManaPelan #JabatanPerdanaMenteri #RecoveryPlan #MOFMalaysia #KementerianKewanganMalaysia #KKM #covid19 #PKP3 #MCO3 #RintihanRakyat