▋關於差異性,約翰.柏格說⋯
「不要在草堆裡找藏起來的一根針,而是要買下整個草堆。」
(原文:Don't look for the needle in the haystack. Just buy the haystack.)
這句話完整簡述了指數型基金的概念,與其花昂貴的費用請經理人從股市裡大海撈針,不如用最簡單的方法、最少的手續費,投資整個市場。
▋關於手續費,約翰.柏格說⋯
「投資市場的諷刺點在於,我們作為整個經濟體的貢獻者之一,卻沒有拿到回報,反之,我們若不付出反而能拿到回報。」
(原文:The grim irony of investing is that we investors as a group not only don't get what we pay for, we get precisely what we don't pay for.)
換句話來說,今天若拒絕付款請主動經理人操作,每省下一美元的手續費,就是你多賺了一美元。
與銷售者的宣傳語「你付出多少,就得到多少」成對比。
▋關於時機,約翰.柏格說⋯
「真正跟著進場或出場的警鈴去投資是不可能的,在50年的投資生涯裡,我從沒認識任何一個人是真的可以成功且持續地做到這件事。」
(原文:The idea that a bell rings to signal when investors should get into or out of the market is simply not credible. After nearly 50 years in this business, I do not know of anybody who has done it successfully and consistently.)
時機這件事分兩個層面:就心理層面來說,要和整個市場的大情況反向行動,對許多人來說是充滿壓力的;就實際層面來說,如果同時有太多的投資人在進場或出場,那時機這件事就不存在了。要是有這樣系統性的東西存在,差不多也會導致市場崩毀吧。
▋關於指數型基金,約翰.柏格說⋯
「指數型基金是一種明智、可行的管道,既可以花很少的手續費、又可以花很少的心力。它幫我們過濾掉了市場部門和經理人的選擇錯誤,只留下了市場風險需要承擔。」
(原文:The index fund is a sensible, serviceable method for obtaining the market's rate of return with absolutely no effort and minimal expense. Index funds eliminate the risks of individual stocks, market sectors and manager selection, leaving only stock market risk.)
約翰.柏格所提到的一點很重要:在投資市場裡,永遠存在著會給投資人帶來短期巨大損失的風險。
而要克服這一點,就是選擇能長期持有,即使虧損也能透過時間回歸均值進而獲利成長的指數型基金。
▋關於時間與耐性,約翰.柏格說⋯
「時間是你的朋友,而衝動則是你的敵人。」
(原文:Time is your friend; impulse is your enemy.)
享受時間帶來的複利作用,且要避開衝動入市的行為。
最後有一句話很全面,但同樣重要的是:「金融市場是非常複雜的,如同進行一個科學實驗般,很難找出影響市場的單一變數。
過去的紀錄中,並不足以證明可以透過某確切的標準持續地準確預測短期的價格波動。普通股的價格是轉瞬即逝與捉摸難測的。」
(原文:Financial markets are far too complex to isolate any single variable with ease, as if conducting a scientific experiment. The record is utterly bereft of evidence that definitive predictions of short-term fluctuations in stock prices can be made with consistent accuracy. The prices of common stocks are evanescent and illusory.)
http://smart.businessweekly.com.tw/Reading/IndepArticle.aspx?ID=37652
look for a needle in a haystack 在 อาจารย์อดัม Facebook 的精選貼文
An Australian man found a needle in a strawberry.
ชายชาวออสเตรเลียเจอเข็มเย็บผ้าในสตรอว์เบอร์รี่
strawberry (n.) สตรอว์เบอร์รี่
อ่านว่า สตร้อเบะรี (US)
สโตร้เบอะรี (UK)
Don't lie to me!
อย่ามาสตรอว์กับฉัน
This is a very vicious crime and it's a general attack on the public.
นี่เป็นอาชญากรรมร้ายแรงและคุกคามต่อสาธารณะ
vicious (adj.)
ร้ายแรง, ดุร้าย อ่านว่า ฟิเฉิส
vicious crime
อาชญากรรมร้ายแรง
There's a 100,000 dollar reward for information about the culprits.
มีการให้รางวัล 100,000 ดอลลาร์ ให้กับผู้ที่แจ้งเบาะแส
culprit (n.)
ผู้กระทำผิด อ่านว่า เคิ่ลพริท
To look for a needle in a haystack.
งมเข็มในมหาสมุทร
http://ajarnadam.tv/blog/strawberry-vicious-culprit
look for a needle in a haystack 在 Dr Sheikh Muszaphar FanClub Facebook 的最佳解答
Video - Surprising Bella at Islamic School ....
There are times I would drop by to the girls school randomly just to check up what they are doing . And here I am by surprising her to pick her up .
But looking for Bella at an Islamic School is like looking for a needle in a haystack. Everyone is wearing hijab and they all look the same ! Haha ... Remind me to put a tracker on her the next time .
I notice Bella are making friends with students whom are in Standard
4 & 5 which is a good thing . They are like a Kakak to her ! I’m just happy that she’s adapting very well at her school . I will spy on Tasha next who doesn’t seem to like boys very much .
Salam Jumaat Everyone .... 😘
PS - Hope the school doesn’t ban me from coming the next time for screaming Bella”s name ... some do have strict rules . Haha