Morgan Stanley doubles exposure to Bitcoin through Grayscale shares
Morgan Stanley Buy The Dip! จัด GBTC เพิ่ม มากกว่าสองเท่า ตั้งแต่เดือนเมษา !!
By TURNER WRIGHT
Morgan Stanley investment bank รายใหญ่ของสหรัฐฯ ได้เพิ่มหุ้นของ Grayscale Bitcoin Trust มากกว่าสองเท่า ตั้งแต่เดือนเมษายน
ตามรายงานจาก สำนักงานคณะกรรมการกำกับหลักทรัพย์และตลาดหลักทรัพย์ ของสหรัฐอเมริกาหรือ SEC ที่ยื่นเมื่อวันที่ 27 กันยายน
โดยกองทุน Morgan Stanley Europe Opportunity Fund ซึ่งลงทุนในบริษัทเกิดใหม่ทั่วยุโรป ได้ ถือหุ้น 58,116 หุ้นของ Grayscale Bitcoin Trust หรือ GBTC ณ วันที่ 31 กรกฎาคม
ซึ่งปัจจุบัน ราคาของ GBTC อยู่ที่ 34.28 ดอลลาร์ ทำให้ investment bank’s มีความเสี่ยงต่อ Bitcoin ( BTC ) ประมาณ 2 ล้านดอลลาร์ โดย Morgan Stanley รายงานว่า หุ้นมีมูลค่า 2.4 ล้านดอลลาร์
การยื่นเอกสารก่อนหน้านี้แสดงให้เห็นว่า Morgan Stanley ได้เพิ่มหุ้นของ GBTC มากกว่า 105% ตั้งแต่เดือนเมษายน จากรายงานในเดือนมิถุนายน พบว่า investment bank ถือ 28,298 GBTCมูลค่าประมาณ 1.3 ล้านดอลลาร์ในขณะนั้น
Morgan Stanley ได้โอกาสในการเข้าถึง BTC มากขึ้นในปี 2021โดยกองทุน Europe Opportunity Fund มีเป้าหมายเพื่อเพิ่มมูลค่าของเงินทุนให้สูงที่สุด โดยลงทุนบริษัทในยุโรปที่ “เป็นบริษัทเปิดใหม่และมีคุณภาพสูง” ซึ่งทีมพิจารณาว่า undervalued ณ เวลาที่ซื้อ"
ในเดือนเมษายน investment bank ประกาศว่า จะเพิ่ม Bitcoin ให้กับกองทุนรวม 12 กองทุนผ่าน Grayscale และ cash-settled futures ในเวลาต่อมา ธนาคารได้ระดมทุน 48 ล้านดอลลาร์สำหรับ Securitize
ซึ่งเป็น tokenization platform ที่ได้รับการสนับสนุนจาก Coinbase เป็นการกระทำที่แสดงถึงการลงทุนครั้งแรกของ Morgan Stanley ใน blockchain
ด้าน Ark Invest ภายใต้ CEO Cathie Wood ยังมีการลงทุนที่สำคัญใน Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ในเดือนกรกฎาคม ซึ่งบริษัทรายงานว่า ได้ซื้อหุ้นมากกว่า 450,000 GBTC ในการซื้อทั้งสองครั้ง
โดย Ark Invest และกองทุนสถาบัน ถือหุ้นมากกว่า 8.3 ล้าน GBTC ทำให้ถือ GBTC ประมาณ 0.69% ของพอร์ตการลงทุน
สำหรับนักลงทุนที่ สนใจ ข้อมูลการลงทุนเชิงลึก
จากบทวิเคราะห์ระดับโลก รวมหลักแสนต่อปี
สามารถ สมัครเข้าดูได้ที่ห้องเรียนวงในครับ
สนใจ คอมเม้นใต้บทความได้เลย
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แอดปลา
同時也有1部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過5,140的網紅Ghost Island Media 鬼島之音,也在其Youtube影片中提到,In 2014, IKEA was among the founding members of a global campaign to get the world’s most influential businesses to use 100% renewable power. Known as...
morgan stanley bank 在 貓的成長美股異想世界 Facebook 的最佳貼文
🌻Docusign(DOCU), Crowdstrike(CRWD)財報結果
上週這兩家公司發表財報了.
這兩天看了一下他們的財報結果. Again, 兩家的表現都很好, 但發現分析師給DOCU的調價(往上)幅度比較多, 就好奇研究了一下SaaS公司是怎麼被估值的. 有興趣的話可以看看(從中學習到很多. 非常推薦一讀):
https://makingsenseofusastocks.blogspot.com/2021/09/blog-post.html
(By the way, 分析師對CRWD的價格調幅沒那麼大, 主因是成長趨緩了. 而DOCU的free cash flow佔營收比, 以及顧客黏著力在這季創了新高, 是讓分析師按讚的幾個原因).
關於CRWD: "The Street is already modeling revenue growth deceleration in 2022 to 36%, down from 60% expected in 2021, which on its own might prove a hurdle for a stock already trading at a high multiple," said Bank of America analyst Tal Liani in a report.
分析師對於DOCU的評價:
• 11位buy; 給的價格分別是: $310, $320 (x2), $330 (x2), $340 (x2), $345, $350, $350, $389
• 給Buy的分析師的評語:
o Baird: The analyst continues to view them as a best in class way to play digital transformation trends with strong growth, cash flow and profitability, and a strong competitive position. Power said DocuSign remains one of his top long-term compounding growth ideas.
o Citi: While slightly shy of the double-digit billings beat in recent quarters, DocuSign still delivered a solid 8% beat to Q2 billings, which grew 47% year-over-year, Radke tells investors in a research note.
o Evercore ISI: he calls "another strong quarter." While some may have wanted to see more aggressive Q3 billings guidance, he believes estimates "continue to leave room for upside," Materne said.
o JMP Securities: While revenue growth decelerated to 50% from 58% in Q1, the company is the clear leader in electronic signature and the broader system of agreement having crossed over 1M customers with a $2B run rate this quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note, adding that he sees lots of room for growth as DocuSign targets a $50B total addressable market.
o Needham: The analyst commented, "Docusign reported another strong quarter in 2QF22 with typical DOCU upside to revenue and profitability. Sales metrics and growth decelerated Q/Q, as we expected against a massive pandemic quarter, but at a much slower rate than we believe much of the Street was anticipating. 65k net new customers was lower than the 70k - 90 range of CY20 but was still more than 2x greater than any pre-pandemic quarter, highlighting a strong end-market driving 47% billings growth against a strong comp. Commentary on incremental Agreement Cloud demand was positive, suggesting an additional growth tailwind combined with solid international can further aid 2HF22. Although DOCU shares could be lower near-term due to weak 2H OpMg guidance, we think this guidance is conservative, as the recent OM was greater than the pre-pandemic level even with tough comps."
o RBC Capital: The quarter highlighted the sustainability of the company's tailwinds post-pandemic as most of its underlying metrics such as billings and net revenue retention were solid, the analyst tells investors in a research note, adding that the traction with CLM and Notary was also "impressive".
分析師對於CRWD的評價:
• 12位buy; 給的價格分別是: $300, $310 (x2), $313, $315 (x2) , $305, $320, $325, $330 (x2), $340
• 1位給hold: $280 (from $220 by J.P. Morgan(same))
• 給Buy的分析師的評語:
o Baird: The analyst believes the company has significant room for growth with core modules, opportunities with Humio and in cloud workload security, among others, should help drive a continuation of strong growth over a long time horizon.
o BTIG: The company's "strong" Q2 results "cleared every hurdle", even though the buy-side benchmarks may have been slightly higher, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Powell adds that Crowdstrike is clearly gaining share in its core endpoint security target market at a rapid pace and gaining traction with new products across multiple categories.
o Canaccord: The analyst said the stock is down from its recent highs, and he thinks the re-rating creates a more favorable entry point for longer-oriented investors for a foundational security name. He views Crowdstrike as a long-term secular winner in security due to its native cloud platform advantage versus closely held peers in endpoint security combined with platform expansion into tangential segments to capture greater share of security budgets.
o Goldman Sachs: CrowdStrike last night delivered "another beat and raise quarter as the company benefited from another quarter of elevated demand," Essex said. But it traded lower following net new annual recurring revenue growth guidance that was slightly less than investors had hoped for. Essex, nonetheless, said the quarter demonstrated CrowdStrike's "ability to continue to go down market efficiently."
o JMP Securities: The analyst notes the company's Q2 annualized recurring revenue of $1.34B topping his estimate of $1.30B, with "sustained" 70% ARR and revenue growth along with margin upside seen as key highlights for the quarter. Suppiger adds that the metrics reflect Crowdstrike's "strong execution and robust demand environment".
o Mizuho: "very good" fiscal Q2 results. The annual recurring revenue growth of 70% year-over-year "was strong and still nicely surpassed" the Street's 65%-66% estimate, Moskowitz tells investors in a research note. He believes "strong execution can propel" Crowdstrike's stock higher.
o Piper Sandler: The company's metrics "outperformed across the board" in Q2 with 70% annual recurring revenue and revenue growth and record net new customer adds in the quarter, Owens tells investors in a research note.
o RBC Capital: Hedberg adds that CrowdStrike's record pipeline entering Q3 should continue to fuel the company's "land-and-expand" momentum.
o Stifel: Q2 results that he said "exceeded consensus estimates across all major financial metrics." He continues to believe that Crowdstrike's growth opportunity "remains in the early days" despite the company's scale given continued share capture within its core endpoint security market and incremental module adoption on the Falcon Platform, Reback tells investors.
o UBS: the company reported "pretty good" Q2 results against high expectations.
🌻趨勢: 跨境電商 Cross-border commerce
Morgan Stanley:
From our perspective, we think many are underestimating what the cross-border eCommerce demand could ultimately be, once key friction points like FX rates, tax and duties, shipping, language, etc are smoothed—all issues that Global-E directly addresses.
Cross-border ecommerce brings new, high-yield volume: We think elevated levels of cross-border ecommerce (ex-travel) is a structural shift thathas yet to be fully contemplated in MA (and V)'s long-term forecasts. MA's cross-border CNP ex-travel volume was 69% above 2019's level in 2Q and 63% higher in 1Q. Strength reflects both broader ecommerce adoption plus globalization of commerce, as marketplaces and services that reduce cross-border friction (such as those from GLBE) make international online ordering more readily adopted. Early data at V suggests greater cross-border ecommerce spend is persisting even in areas with pre-pandemic levels of international travel. Cross-border transactions also come at a higher yield, making us more optimistic that the trend can bring incremental long-term growth to the networks.
產業的潮流是有連貫性的. 疫情讓電商更發達後, 接下來應該就是加速電商跨境了. 跨境的話, 有很多問題需要解決(稅率, 語言, etc.) 這就需要有公司來做整合的動作. 這種跨境, 也可以想像是omnichannel的一種呈現.
Harley Finkelstein (President of Shopify): "I mean I think commerce in 2021 is cross-border."
🌻SPAC熱潮退卻,初創市值蒸發750億美元
"SPAC熱潮已經退卻。分析顯示,在2月中旬以前完成合併的137家SPAC的總市值已經蒸發25%,市值回落幅度上個月一度超過1,000億美元。"
"像貝萊德(BlackRock Inc., BLK)和富達投資(Fidelity Investments Inc.)這類企業管理的基金,以及許多對沖基金、養老金管理公司和其他一些投資者,都在SPAC的回落中遭受了衝擊,他們在去年年底開始的熱潮中競相投資SPAC。其中許多基金由於在價格還很低的時候就早早入場,所以現在仍坐擁可觀收益。事實上,SPAC市值仍有約2,500億美元,高於一年前的約1,000億美元,反映出這期間股價上漲和新公司上市的影響。
但即便如此,今年年初令人炫目的回報還是讓許多後來者做了接盤俠,扎堆投資所謂穩賺不賠的領域,其永恆的風險可見一斑。在過去的幾個月裡,一些投資者眼睜睜看著帳面財富縮水。"
"股價下跌會在SPAC領域形成惡性循環,因為投資者有權在併購交易前從空白支票公司撤資。一旦SPAC跌破發行價,投資者就更有可能這樣做,而許多SPAC的股價現在正處於這樣的水平。目前,在尚未宣布併購交易的空白支票公司中,超過95%的公司股價低於發行價。
投資者的大規模撤資會讓已經上市的空白支票公司手上的現金大幅減少,讓其更難實現業務目標,並可能加劇股價跌勢。"
https://on.wsj.com/3n6JznC
🌻BNPL (buy now pay later)
But most BNPL providers including Affirm, Klarna and Afterpay have been losing money despite breakneck revenue growth as they invest heavily in marketing to win share. Sweden-based Klarna’s credit losses more than doubled in the second quarter. Affirm has projected adjusted operating losses of $50m-$55m for the fiscal year that ended June 30.
The path to profitability for many of these companies was to achieve massive scale, analysts said.
https://www.ft.com/content/ca201a37-a16d-4223-b123-04d38350a972
Pictures: 一葉知秋; from EarningsWhispers
morgan stanley bank 在 Joe's investment Facebook 的最佳解答
Joe:「中國股市進入大跌勢,周圍鄰國和美國的股市,也可能被無辜波及,但理論上美國股市的風險是相對短期的影響。」
中國政府對赴美掛牌的中國新創業發動一系列打擊,嚇壞海外投資人,中國相關個股遭全球拋售,一天之內蒸發5,570億美元,外資透過滬港通、深港通拋售的A股淨額多達人民幣128億元(20億美元),創2020年7月24日以來最大單日拋售額,中國2020年11月叫停螞蟻集團(Ant Group)上市計畫,並祭出一連串規管行動,讓科技業噤若寒蟬。補教業成為最新傳出的打擊對象,更使中國股市7月26日蒸發2,940億美元。
問世一週年的恆生科技指數(Hang Seng Tech Index)也在騰訊、美團重挫的影響下,市值驟減1,650億美元。那斯達克金龍中國指數(NasdaqGolden Dragon China Index)由98檔跨入中國市場的企業組成,一夕減損980億美元,紅蟻資本(Atta Capital)投資組合經理人Alan Li說,人們雖對即將祭出的監管措施有些心理準備,卻沒料到規模遠超預期,可以理解為何有人會設法停損、甚至恐懼拋股。
曾任摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)亞洲區董事長的耶魯大學教授Stephen Roach警告,中國當局打擊赴美掛牌的中國企業,恐怕是冷戰的初期暗號,Roach表示,「每當涉及中國,我都是天生的樂觀者,但這些行動實在令人困擾。」,中國經濟如今由新創企業驅動,中國卻對其核心價值及商業模式窮追猛打,中美的緊張關係恐升溫至1970年代初期以來從未見過的地步,4月Roach就曾對美中關係惡化示警,還說兩國已瀕臨冷戰邊緣。如今,Roach暗示界線恐怕已被跨越。他說,「這些行動危及過去數年來中國讓人倍感振奮的核心,這讓我相當憂慮。」
身為中國發展最快的產業之一,科技公司面臨強大的監管風險。馬雲螞蟻集團和NASDAQ上市的滴滴,中國當局以大膽舉措壓制,已讓全球投資者擔心中國數據控制收緊而與華盛頓的關係仍然困難而逃離,荷寶公司(Robeco Hong Kong Ltd.)投資組合經理Joshua Crabb說:「人們一直擔心中期盈利能力可能會因數據更公開化而削弱,隱私成了大問題,這仍是不利因素。」
美國銀行(Bank of America)策略師稱,監管壓力不太可能很快消失,建議投資者轉向中國以外科技公司,如今各路分析均告誡中國科技股買家要當心,指標追蹤30家在港上市的最大科技公司,包括騰訊控股有限公司、阿里巴巴集團控股有限公司、美團點評等,美中關係日益緊張,加上華盛頓強調對美國股市掛牌的中概股會計審核,越來越多中國科技公司尋求在國內和香港上市。
https://m.moneydj.com/f1a.aspx?a=4981b1f2-f965-4de2-b30e-73cf14fd1cab&c=MB010000&fbclid=IwAR0ljaiq24YwOKJV4LmKQ5O4NaNOHPZYLuJSqeU3RtfTUDfvDMQDVAcSSDM
https://technews.tw/2021/07/26/the-impact-of-chinasuppression-of-technology-companies-on-hsi/
morgan stanley bank 在 Ghost Island Media 鬼島之音 Youtube 的最讚貼文
In 2014, IKEA was among the founding members of a global campaign to get the world’s most influential businesses to use 100% renewable power. Known as the RE100, today it’s a consortium of 186 (and counting) companies, including H&M, Nestle, Apple, Google, Facebook, Walmart, Coca Cola, Goldman Sachs, and many more. In total, their electricity demand is approximately 200 terawatts hours - just slightly larger than the electricity demand of Thailand. Today, we talk to Sam Kimmins, head of RE100. Sam has 20 years experience leading sustainability projects in the shipping, aviation, food, construction, and NGO sectors.
This is a podcast about how NOT to save the environment. Hosted by Nature N8 (Nate Maynard), an environmental researcher working on energy, ocean, and waste issues.
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This is a Ghost Island Media production.
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