【法政匯思就社會進一步動盪的聲明】
【Statement on Further Escalation of Social Unrest】
// 當體制構建不能保障市民應有的追索權,暴力兼「私了」必如落山流水跟著來,這已清晰可見。僅說無諾,何能「止暴制亂」?
// Where the system fails to provide proper recourse, vigilantism and violence proclaiming self-defence arise as simple cause and effect. Without any real commitment by the Government to de-escalate and defuse the political crisis, verbal condemnation and physical crackdown will do nothing to ‘stop violence and curb disorder’.
https://www.facebook.com/…/a.455221741311…/1474268236073377/
【法政匯思就社會進一步動盪的聲明】
【Statement on Further Escalation of Social Unrest】(Scroll for English)
1. 近日,警隊的行為就如國際特赦組織所言越見低劣。[1] 這皆因政府漠視其專家提供的建議,並以歇斯底里、毫無章法可言的策略回應持續的動盪。
2. 五個月來,政府持續容許以下情況發生,對警政問題及根本的政治危機藥石亂投:
a. 阻礙救護人員前往現場拯救傷者;[2]
b. 偏頗地處理強姦或酷刑對待被拘留人士的指控;[3]
c. 肆無忌憚地濫用武力;[4]
d. 以諸多藉口為警察的失控或報復行為辯解。[5]
3. 法政匯思強烈譴責警隊濫用武力,及其本末倒置、往往為社區添煩添亂的驅散示威者行動。警方在十一月十一日於香港中文大學(「中大」)、香港理工大學及香港大學等驅散非法集結及/或堵路行為的行動,指稱的事實根據惹人非議。[6] 在撰寫此聲明之時,警方甚至以催淚彈及橡膠子彈回應中大校長的善意,與學生發生激烈衝突,造成最少60人受傷及多人被捕。[7]
4. 歸根究底,現有的制度未能公正地調查涉及警務人員的刑事指控,乃是警民衝突的源頭。樂觀地看,這可能只是個別調查人員的疏忽;悲觀地看,這反映一種互相包庇的文化,可能已由員佐級警員到警務處處長、保安局局長甚至特首,滲透警隊及政府上下。無論是哪一個情況,這種警察橫行無忌的觀感已經令公眾對負責調查大部分罪行的警察的信任蕩然無存。這個缺口一開,刑事司法制度剩下非常有限的能力,處理失職警員。
5. 法政匯思繼續呼籲香港政府成立獨立調查委員會,調查包括六月份以來政府的治安管理手段。除了將肇事者繩之於法外,更重要的是全面檢閱香港警隊以達至結構上的改革。至今,特區政府對於這個明顯又實際的選擇不屑一顧,堅持讓一個缺乏監察權力的獨立監察警方處理投訴委員會(「監警會」)[8] 去調查警察投訴及內部調查科。這正正就是問題根源所在。
6. 監警會委派的國際專家組就這個問題發表《進展報告》。國際專家組與政府持相反意見。他們批評監警會在結構上欠缺全面調查權力,對監警會這一個輕型、監管式的體制是否能夠做出決定性的貢獻表示懷疑,更指出下一步的可能性諸如「委派一個享有所需權力的獨立調查機構以作更深程度及更廣泛的調查」,意味著一個獨立調查委員會。[9]
7. 對於近數星期暴力頻頻,政府沒有採取任何行動,只是堅拒示威者的訴求(包括成立獨立調查委員會),更稱他們為「人民的敵人」。[10] 警員們多月來非人化地濫稱示威者為「曱甴」。[11]
8. 法政匯思絕對不認同法外制裁。此立場於七月二十五日之聲明已表明。然而,當體制構建不能保障市民應有的追索權,暴力兼「私了」必如落山流水跟著來,這已清晰可見。僅說無諾,何能「止暴制亂」?
法政匯思
2019年11月15日
(PDF: https://tinyurl.com/tt2nzmr)
1. Police conduct has seen, in the words of Amnesty International, ‘another shocking low’ [1] in recent days as the Government ignored constructive feedback by its own experts and hysterically responded to the ongoing unrest without any rational strategy.
2. In particular, these allegations point to a wanton failure on the part of the Government to properly approach policing and the underlying political crisis, now in its 5th month:
a. Obstructing rescuers and ambulances from accessing the injured; [2]
b. Unfair handling of allegations of rape and torture in custody; [3]
c. Unapologetic excesses in its use of force; [4] and
d. Evasive defence of police officers acting impulsively or in retaliation. [5]
3. The Progressive Lawyers Group (the ‘PLG’) vehemently condemns the Police regarding their excessive use of force and dispersal operations which often create the chaos sought to be quelled. On 11 November, the police conducted operations in, amongst others, the Chinese University of Hong Kong (‘CUHK’), the Polytechnic University of Hong Kong and the University of Hong Kong to disperse unlawful assemblies and/or obstruction of traffic, [6] the factual basis of which has been doubted by many. As at the drafting of this Statement, as riot police responded to an olive branch by the CUHK Vice-Chancellor with tear gas and rubber bullets, severe clashes between students and riot police at CUHK are ongoing with at least 60 injured and dozens arrested. [7]
4. Nonetheless, the crux of the problem remains in the institutional failure to investigate criminal allegations involving police officers impartially. At best, it could be an omission by individual police officers in their execution of duty. At worst, it could be a culture that acquiesces and conceals wrongdoings affecting grassroot constables, the Commissioner of Police, the Secretary for Security and the Chief Executive alike. Whichever the case may be, this perception of impunity breaches the trust and confidence the public reposes in the police who are tasked with investigating most offences. With this link broken, there remains very limited recourse in the criminal justice system against rogue officers.
5. The PLG continues to call on the Hong Kong Government to appoint a Commission of Inquiry regarding, amongst others, the current approach to policing social unrest since June. Bringing wrongdoers to justice aside, the more important task is a holistic review on the Police Force and a roadmap to structural reforms. So far, the Government brushed aside this obvious and pragmatic option, insisting upon an inquiry by the Independent Police Complaints Council (‘IPCC’) [8] whose (lack of) oversight over the Complaints Against Police Office (‘CAPO’) is the very issue at the heart of the current saga.
6. Curiously, the International Expert Panel of the IPCC appointed for advice on that very inquiry seems to hold a contrary view. In their Position Statement Report of Progress, the experts pointed out ‘structural limitations in the scope and powers of the IPCC Inquiry’ and noted that ‘it remains to be seen whether a light touch, oversight body like the IPCC, can make sufficient progress to produce any decisive contribution…’ It also identified a possible next step such as ‘a deeper more comprehensive inquiry in a number of respects by an independent body with requisite powers’, alluding to a Commission of Inquiry. [9]
7. In response to the extraordinary brutalities these few weeks, the Government did nothing but maintain that it will not yield to the protesters’ demands (including an independent Commission of Inquiry) and call them ‘enemies of the people’. [10] It has not helped that the police have for months been blatantly using such a dehumanising term as ‘cockroaches’ to refer to protesters [11].
8. The PLG stands by our Statement on 25 July 2019 and does not encourage citizens to take justice into their own hands. However, it is obvious by now that where the system fails to provide proper recourse, vigilantism and violence proclaiming self-defence arise as simple cause and effect. Without any real commitment by the Government to de-escalate and defuse the political crisis, verbal condemnation and physical crackdown will do nothing to ‘stop violence and curb disorder’.
The Progressive Lawyers Group
15 November 2019
(PDF version: https://tinyurl.com/tt2nzmr)
同時也有10000部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過2,910的網紅コバにゃんチャンネル,也在其Youtube影片中提到,...
「omission commission」的推薦目錄:
omission commission 在 阿堯投資筆記 Facebook 的最佳解答
巴菲特說過他犯的最大錯誤不是做錯了甚麼,而是沒有做甚麼 (greatest errors being those of omission rather than commission)
他錯過了 Wal-Mart 錯過了 Google
直到半小時前我都認為巴菲特說的是對的,但再往下想一下,就覺得好像不是這麼回事(甚麼?竟敢質疑巴菲特)
一小時前,我例行滑追蹤股的新聞,看到一家我這兩周在關注的公司發了預期中的公告。看到的當下反應滿激動的,因為感覺就像看到錢飛走了
恩我看到了價值但沒有行動,就像巴菲特說的犯了最大的錯誤
但再想想,不對阿,為什麼我會沒有行動呢?
仔細回想,在看這家公司的時候沒有興奮的感覺,不像其他買進的公司,感覺不一樣。這是不是代表我下意識覺得沒那麼有把握或者缺了某個東西(雖然也說不清缺的是甚麼)
巴菲特會沒有買 Wal-Mart 和 Google,是不是也是因為他感覺少了甚麼。不管是還不夠便宜或是有潛在風險...而這種錯過的能力可能反而是他最大的優勢
巴菲特說了另一句話:投資最重要的是性格。他夠有耐心,真的等到擊球點才出手。蒙格也說波克夏的財富是等出來的
所以這個等的功夫,這個錯過的功夫,其實不知道幫助巴菲特排除了多少潛在虧損。大腦會把注意力放在錯過投資標的讓我們少賺了多少,而不是錯過投資標的讓我們少虧多少
也有人寫過相關的文章討論同一個問題,附連結給大家參考
https://goo.gl/6NiUS7
omission commission 在 普通人的自由主義 Facebook 的精選貼文
錯過還是犯錯
矽谷創投名人Marc Andreessen最近在史丹佛的一場座談,談到一個觀念很耐人尋味。他說,創投業者有兩種錯誤,error of commission(做了事,但犯錯)和error of omission(沒做而錯失機會),error of commission就是投資了,最多血本無歸,賠了一倍的錢,但error of omission失去的機會確是百倍、千倍的投資成本。矽谷的每個創投,都有類似Facebook這樣的機會找上門,而不願投資,最後痛心疾首的過去。對Andreessen這些人而言,「錯過」是遠比「犯錯」來得嚴重。所以創投這一行,幹的事是撒網捕魚,網撒得越大越好,寧可錯殺一百,也盡量不要錯放一人。
但這觀念和股神巴菲特完全相反。巴非特年輕的時候,買過一個加油站,他說那加油站讓他虧大了,不是說不賺錢,而是說被綁在加油站的時間和機會成本太大了,他原本可以把那筆投資拿到別的地方錢滾錢,但白白浪費了。他一直覺得「犯錯」是比「錯過」來得嚴重,他曾說過他一輩子投資上犯的最大錯誤,就是把他之前所有的投資事業,都灌在Berkshire Hathaway這紡織公司上,本來就該讓它倒閉和其它事業切割,但因為意氣用事,而浪費了許多機會成本。對巴非特而言,他寧可錯放一百,也不要錯殺一人。
這到底是怎麼回事,怎麼兩個投資專家,講的方法,南轅北轍?
追根究底,還是這兩個人處的行業不同。巴非特做的是靠時間,讓複利作功的事業,只要選對了標的,剩下的事就交給時間,時間會給他百倍、千倍的報酬,而且他有的是時間和耐性。他說,投資這行,像打棒球,他只要穩穩地把飛往他好球帶的球,打好就好,好球帶以外,他的核心競爭力以外的地方,讓它過去,不要理它,畢竟到頭來,投資又不會因為不揮棒而被主審判三振,套一句九把刀說的話,「慢慢來,比較快」。但Andreessen的創投業不一樣,慢慢來,午餐就被別人吃了。創投有的是錢,沒的是時間,因為他們用的是別人的錢,雖然很多,但時間壓力很大。 而且資金周轉速度很快,不但金主來去很快,拿錢的創業家那方面也是,成敗一翻兩瞪眼,而且成敗差距很大。所以創投的百倍、千倍報酬率來自下大注,不是來自時間複利。兩者性質不同,投資策略當然不同。
「錯過」還是「犯錯」的取捨,也在人生的很多面向顯現。
比如說事業的選擇。如果想要在大公司、大組織求聞達,那就要選對行業,選對公司,因為如果選對,時間就會是你最好的朋友,選錯,時間就會是你最大的敵人。但如果想要幹大事,求大富大貴,那就要多冒險,盡量試,錯了沒關係,跌倒了,趕快再爬起來就好,要快、要下大注,因為富貴險中求。
又比如說愛情和婚姻。談情說愛的時候,找對象要像創投,寧可錯殺一百,但不要錯放一人。但談婚論嫁的時候,找對象要像股神,寧可錯過,也不要犯錯,一旦錯了,時間就會是你最大的敵人,你將痛苦一生,但找對了人,這一輩子就穩了,準備上天堂了。豈能不慎乎?