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Phillies-Braves position-by-position breakdown
https://reurl.cc/Zb65g3
Catcher
Travis d’Arnaud had a solid season for Atlanta, hitting 18 home runs with 60 RB
Is and a .791 OPS in 107 games. The 33-year-old is making his fifth postseason a
ppearance and third straight with the Braves, for whom he posted an .875 OPS wit
h two homers in last year’s World Series. d’Arnaud also ranked third in the Ma
jors in pitch framing in 2022, giving him great value behind the plate.
J.T. Realmuto posted an .820 OPS with 22 homers and 84 RBIs in the regular seaso
n, leading all big league catchers with a 6.5 fWAR. Playing in his first postsea
son, Realmuto went 1-for-6 with two walks in the Phillies’ two-game Wild Card S
eries sweep of the Cardinals.
Slight advantage: Phillies
捕手費城稍微有優勢
First base
Matt Olson hasn’t caused Braves fans to forget about Freddie Freeman, but the 2
8-year-old had an excellent debut season for Atlanta. Olson hit 34 home runs wit
h a team-high 103 RBIs during the regular season, playing all 162 games.
Rhys Hoskins was just as durable this season, hitting 30 homers with 79 RBIs in
156 games. Playing in his first postseason, Hoskins went 0-for-9 with three stri
keouts against St. Louis in the NL Wild Card Series.
Advantage: Braves
一壘手勇士有優勢
Second base
Orlando Arcia played well while filling in for the injured Ozzie Albies, hitting
nine home runs with 30 RBIs and a .733 OPS in 68 games. Arcia had only five pla
te appearances in last year’s postseason, but he thrived in his three Octobers
with the Brewers, posting an .879 OPS with four home runs in 13 games. Arcia sho
uld get the bulk of the starts in the NLDS, though rookie Vaughn Grissom could s
tart against lefty Ranger Suárez.
Jean Segura’s regular season was interrupted by injury, as he hit 10 homers wit
h 33 RBIs in 98 games. After a decade and more than 1,300 games in the Majors, t
he 32-year-old is finally getting his first crack at the postseason. While he we
nt just 1-for-5 against St. Louis, that one hit keyed Philadelphia’s Game 1 com
eback win.
Slight advantage: Phillies
二壘手費城稍微有優勢
Shortstop
Dansby Swanson was an All-Star for the first time this season, hitting 25 home r
uns with 96 RBIs, 99 runs scored and a .776 OPS while playing all 162 games. The
impending free agent struggled during the first two rounds of the postseason la
st fall, but he hit a pair of homers in the World Series against the Astros, bri
nging his postseason career home run total to five.
Bryson Stott had his ups and downs during his rookie season, showing flashes of
power (10 home runs) despite a subpar slash line (.234/.295/.358) in 127 games.
The 25-year-old went 0-for-4 in the Wild Card Series, though he drew three walks
and drove in an insurance run in the Phillies’ wild Game 1 comeback win.
Advantage: Braves
游擊手勇士有優勢
Third base
Austin Riley should earn some NL MVP votes after leading the Braves in home runs
(38) and OPS (.878) this season. Riley homered in each of the first two rounds
in last year’s postseason, posting a .908 OPS in the NLDS against the Brewers.
Alec Bohm hit 13 home runs with 72 RBIs and a .713 OPS in 152 games this season,
ranking 34th out of 36 qualified third basemen in Outs Above Average (-8). Bohm
was 2-for-5 with two walks in this year’s Wild Card Series, belting a pair of
doubles.
Advantage: Braves
三壘手勇士有優勢
Left field
Eddie Rosario should get the nod against the Phillies’ righties, though Robbie
Grossman could start against Suárez in Game 1. Rosario will be looking to make
up for a difficult regular season marred by vision problems and inconsistency, h
oping to find the October magic that helped him win NLCS MVP honors a year ago.
Kyle Schwarber led the NL with 46 home runs, though he also paced the Majors wit
h 200 strikeouts. Schwarber -- who was 0-for-7 with two RBIs in the Wild Card Se
ries -- has played in the postseason in seven of his eight years in the Majors,
posting an .823 OPS with nine homers and 19 RBIs in 37 postseason games.
Advantage: Phillies
左外野手費城有優勢
Center field
Michael Harris II had an impressive debut season that should land him NL Rookie
of the Year honors, as he slashed .297/.339/.514 with 19 homers, 64 RBIs and 20
stolen bases in 114 games. The 21-year-old Harris also displayed tremendous defe
nse; his 7 Outs Above Average was tied for eighth-best in the Majors among cente
r fielders.
Brandon Marsh was an under-the-radar acquisition this summer, especially after p
osting a .637 OPS in 93 games with the Angels to open the season. Since joining
the Phillies, Marsh -- who was 2-for-5 in the Wild Card series -- has a .774 OPS
in 41 games, helping solidify the position for Philadelphia.
Advantage: Braves
中外野手勇士有優勢
Right field
Ronald Acuña Jr. wasn’t a part of the World Series run last fall thanks to a t
orn ACL, but the 24-year-old returned to All-Star form this season. Acuña hit 1
5 homers with 50 RBIs and 29 steals in 119 games, though his .764 OPS was well s
hort of his .925 mark through the first four years of his career.
Nick Castellanos’ first season in Philadelphia did not go particularly well for
the slugger, who managed just 13 homers, 62 RBIs and a .694 OPS in 136 games. H
is Wild Card Series didn’t go any better; Castellanos was 0-for-7 with a walk a
gainst the Cardinals.
Advantage: Braves
右外野手勇士有優勢
Starting pitching
After earning the first-round bye, the Braves have the advantage of lining up th
eir rotation. Max Fried and Kyle Wright won 35 games between them in 2022, formi
ng one of the best 1-2 punches in the league. Rookie Spencer Strider was very im
pressive in his 131 2/3 innings (86 hits, 202 strikeouts, 2.67 ERA), but a left
oblique injury cut his September short. If Strider is available, it could be as
an opener-type starter. Veteran Charlie Morton -- who has two World Series rings
and a 3.35 ERA in 17 career postseason outings -- should start Game 3 or 4.
The Phillies started Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola in their Wild Card Series sweep
of the Cardinals, as the two combined for 13 shutout innings. Now they won’t b
e able to start until Games 2 and 3, leaving the Game 1 start to Ranger Suárez,
who posted a 3.65 ERA in 29 starts this season. A Game 4 start could go to Noah
Syndergaard or Bailey Falter.
Advantage: Braves
先發投手勇士有優勢
Designated hitter
Marcell Ozuna served as Atlanta’s DH in the final two games of the Braves’ big
series against the Mets last week, so he’s likely to see most of the action in
the NLDS. William Contreras -- who had a 1.036 OPS against lefties in the regul
ar season -- should get the nod in Game 1 against Suárez.
Bryce Harper is playing in his fifth postseason, though the Wild Card Series vic
tory over the Cardinals was his first-ever postseason series win. Harper was 2-f
or-7 with a home run against St. Louis, helping erase the frustration of his inj
ury-plagued season in which he hit 18 homers with an .878 OPS in 99 games.
Advantage: Phillies
指定打擊費城有優勢
Bullpen
Kenley Jansen led the NL with 41 saves this season, his first in Atlanta. The cl
oser has pitched well in his nine postseasons with the Dodgers, posting a 2.13 E
RA and 19 saves in 57 playoff appearances. Raisel Iglesias has been nearly unhit
table since being acquired by the Braves at the Trade Deadline, allowing one ear
ned run in 28 appearances for a minuscule 0.34 ERA with Atlanta. A.J. Minter, Dy
lan Lee and Collin McHugh will also be called upon to get big outs.
Zach Eflin has been very effective in a relief role since returning from a knee
injury in September, so much so that the Phillies handed him the ball in the nin
th inning of both Wild Card Series games against the Cardinals. Setting him up w
ill be José Alvarado, who also pitched in both games against St. Louis, along w
ith Seranthony Domínguez and David Robertson, the latter of whom has a wealth o
f postseason experience.
Advantage: Braves
牛棚勇士有優勢
總結:11個位置，勇士7個位置有優勢
Prediction
The Phillies shocked the Cardinals with their two-game Wild Card Series sweep, b
ut the Braves aren’t about to be surprised by anybody as they begin their title
defense. Atlanta has been the hottest team in the game for the past four-plus m
onths, so while we won’t count the Phillies out -- Philadelphia did win eight g
ames against the champs this season -- it would be a surprise if the Braves didn
’t return to the NLCS for the third consecutive year.
官網預測:雖然費城不是沒機會，但如果勇士沒能連三年打進國聯冠軍戰的話，會讓人感到
驚訝
—
NLDS這兩組對戰組合
感覺實力間都有一段差距
--
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※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/MLB/M.1665386072.A.346.html
※ 編輯: zxc906383 (220.129.197.210 臺灣), 10/10/2022 15:16:03
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