🌻美國生活
打了疫苗後, 在上週進城了一趟.
許久未出門的感覺很奇妙. 進了城, 也感到大家的生活還是如往常一般, 只是餐廳沒甚麼人(都用電話下單, 或是當場點了東西後就走), 許多人(並不是全部)的臉上也多了個口罩. 旅館的人倒是不多. 但商家停車場的車子應該如往常一樣, 沒有減少.
每次進城, 也一定會到Chipotle打牙祭. 這次試了他們新的飯(參雜了cauliflower花椰菜), 酸酸滋味, 配上原來burrito裡面就有的料, 真的是開胃又好吃, 一口接一口.
最近吃了三家不同的burrito, 還是覺得Chipotle的最好吃. 我想原因之一(不知道我的觀察有沒有誤), 可能是他們把不同口感的配料加在一起時, 有多家一道手續, 讓新鮮脆口的生菜, 烤熟的肉類, sour cream與其他配料均勻地被融合起來, 也讓滋味豐富了起來. 不像其他家的burrito, 一口咬下去, 就是飯, 或是豆類, 分得很清楚, 而沒有不同食材所帶來的多層次的口感.
Anyway. 附上這次進城照的幾張照片在下方.
🌻My happiness project: 年報財報導讀
股市對我來說像戰場; 年報財報就像是兵書. 而一家家公司的年報財報, 對我來說, 就像是故事書一樣, 述說著公司的成長營運軌跡. 做了這些功課後, 持股也會有信心. "Buy and do homework," 是我認為投資該有的態度.
下半年時間比較多, 所以想抽一點時間出來, 跟對看年報財報有興趣的投資人一起來讀資料, 順便藉此分享我是如何抓重點&透過年報財報來做思考的. 也想要藉此來宣揚看年報財報的好處&消除投資人對英文年報財報可能會有的恐懼感. Anyway. 這只是初步的想法. 若要實行也會是九月的事情了.
不過先錄了一段影片, 解釋我是怎麼做財報內容&電話會議內容整理的: https://youtu.be/vvkrs6CiWdw
🌻本周做的功課與閱讀
https://makingsenseofusastocks.blogspot.com/2021/05/blog-post_19.html
這次的閱讀中, 跟成長股比較有關的是這段. 目前成長股也被重新定價中, 所以建議成長股投資人在挑股的時候, 盡量找有現金流, 還有獲利的公司.
"That’s true even for the highflying growth stocks that have been getting hit so hard recently—as long as they have earnings. Adam Parker, founder of Trivariate Research, notes that following large growth selloffs, S&P 500 growth stocks with both free cash flow and expanding margins tend to outperform in the months ahead. That means favoring stocks like ServiceNow (ticker: NOW) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) over shares of Chegg (CHGG) and Twitter (TWTR). “Buy some growth stocks on the selloff, but they have to have positive free cash flow and margin expansion,” Parker says."
🌻投資金句
"I learned that you may be right, but if enough people believe you're wrong the markets can really hurt you." --BlackRock bond chief Rick Rieder
🌻The Future of Work
看到BofA寫的這一段, 覺得挺感動的. 這也是投資的目的之一, 能夠藉著這個方式, 來接觸到世界的脈動.
The Future of Work
Thematic Research
BofA Global Research
bofa.com
May 12: The future of work is not zero-sum between humanity and technology. We believe humans can collaborate with and work alongside robots, rather than be displaced by them, and that technology can create more jobs than it destroys. By 2025 alone, the WEF [World Economic Forum] thinks automation will add 12 million net new jobs, with robots eliminating 85 million jobs but creating 97 million new ones. Other grounds for optimism include: (1) 65% of children starting school today will work in jobs that have not been invented yet; (2) “new” collar jobs will be generated from well-placed thematic sectors like healthcare, renewables, new mobility, or even moonshot technologies; and (3) we might actually be more productive and have more leisure time if robots can relieve us of more mundane, repetitive everyday tasks. We have identified $14 trillion in market cap of enablers for the future of work. Technology, industrials, and medtech are some key beneficiaries. We also see opportunities in education and the upskilling/retraining of workers by corporates. Conversely, commercial real estate/offices and legacy transport are some of the sectors facing headwinds...
So, what are the truly futuristic jobs that could be invented? Data-privacy managers, nanomedicine surgeons, lab-meat scientists, blockchain strategists, space-tourist guides, freelance biohackers, AI avatar designers, 3D food-printer chefs, leisure-time planners, ethical algorithm programmers, and brain simulation specialists, to name but a few.
🌻Dividend Growers’ Allure
這段從股息的角度, 來講解傳統價值股跟成長股的不同處.
Dividend Growers’ Allure
Insights & Commentaries
Washington Crossing Advisors
washingtoncrossingadvisors.com
May 10: Buy quality stocks that increase dividends regularly. This simple strategy takes a long-term view of investing and focuses on the dividend, not the stock price. Passive income generated from dividend growth has two main benefits. First, it focuses your investment strategy on cash-generating, growing companies. Second, it tends to lead to quality businesses that are neither too young nor too old.
Why is this so? Almost by definition, a dividend-growing company tends to cover expenses with rising cash flow. And which companies do these tend to be? They tend to be profitable, established companies in the middle of their corporate life cycle. By contrast, young companies tend to be burning cash, constantly in need of capital, and face a higher risk of failure. Such young firms tend to not pay dividends at all as they are consumed with growth. On the other hand, older companies often funnel most or all cash to investors as dividends because viable investments can no longer be found. These firms are often in decline and offer little growth, often reflected in a high current yield.
Picture:
1. Chipotle內部. 可以看到有個取餐的架子. 餐廳人員也不時在電腦螢幕前, 看進來的訂單, 備菜.
2. 旅館外一區. 面向密西根湖.
3. CSX, Union Pacific的火車廂(這兩家都有上市)
財報是一本故事書 在 Re: [請益] 財務報表- 看板Stock - 批踢踢實業坊 的推薦與評價
本來真想噓爆你這伸手牌的
不過想想前面有d大這種善心人 我也來交流一下想法:
其實投資理財講股市的書
越看越覺得應該反璞歸真 回到財務會計的書籍追尋
理由很簡單:那些操作面的東西 請問有絕對的標準答案嗎?
好比今天A股股價從100元 跌了兩成 變成80元
甲老師/書籍說:這是攤平的好機會 當初買進的理由不變 股價變低 當然要越低越買
什麼三角形買法 微笑曲線 勇敢進場加碼才能獲得更高利潤
乙老師/書籍說:這時候要執行紀律 20%停損 才能避免損失擴大
請問誰對?
還不是要看事後走勢才能馬後炮 當下誰知道是該買還是該賣
那像這種沒有標準答案的東西 還有看書的價值嗎?
書之所以有價值 是因為他要提供權威的資訊
好比以前考聯考 考月考 照課本上的資訊回答 才能考高分 這時候看書有用
若是書上寫的不一定能在股市兌現 你信他幹嘛?
(附帶一提:很多兩性課程/書籍也是一樣 用課程/書籍包裝成知識
事實上在現實生活中不堪一擊 那這種書讀了不僅無益 而且有害啊)
回到會計
我覺得初入手還是從劉順仁跟張明輝的書開始
你自己想想看 如果某個領域有最新的發明與學說
那這要嘛是從業界來的 要嘛就是整天做研究的博士教授(學界)來的
絕不會像是投資理財領域一樣 居然是素人(什麼高中老師啦眼科醫生啦警察啦小資女啦)
在教你投資
所以你第一步要找的就是<財報就像一本故事書><財報就像一本兵法書>
或是張明輝的系列書來看
然後再去讀每個商管學院學生都讀過的初級會計學 有點基本的概念
再來看財務報表吧
不過我猜以你這種伸手牌大概也是隨口問問
本篇分享給其他有興趣於財務報表 基本面分析的朋友 :)
後記:
有些版友提出說:讀懂財報能賺大錢的話 那會計師不就都賺翻了嗎?
我的想法是:有沒有想過會計師可能沒辦法賺大錢 但能有效避開踩地雷賠大錢呢?
就像球隊聘請一名強投
他當然不能打安打全壘打 但可以幫助球隊減少掉分贏得勝利啊
如果會計師查核過程中發現該企業問題重重 他至少不會掉進那個地雷吧
另外 以前看半澤直樹裡面 主管責問下屬"怎麼沒有看破假帳"
奇怪......如果會計師在他的會計師查核報表上蓋章背書
難道看的人能看出那是假帳嗎XD
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※ 編輯: kevinapo (111.71.95.93 臺灣), 09/19/2021 01:03:59
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