關於 quarter note ，我們在網路上蒐集到這些相關的討論、資訊與評價

🌻Docusign(DOCU), Crowdstrike(CRWD)財報結果
上週這兩家公司發表財報了.

這兩天看了一下他們的財報結果. Again, 兩家的表現都很好, 但發現分析師給DOCU的調價(往上)幅度比較多, 就好奇研究了一下SaaS公司是怎麼被估值的. 有興趣的話可以看看(從中學習到很多. 非常推薦一讀):
https://makingsenseofusastocks.blogspot.com/2021/09/blog-post.html

(By the way, 分析師對CRWD的價格調幅沒那麼大, 主因是成長趨緩了. 而DOCU的free cash flow佔營收比, 以及顧客黏著力在這季創了新高, 是讓分析師按讚的幾個原因).

關於CRWD: "The Street is already modeling revenue growth deceleration in 2022 to 36%, down from 60% expected in 2021, which on its own might prove a hurdle for a stock already trading at a high multiple," said Bank of America analyst Tal Liani in a report.

分析師對於DOCU的評價:
• 11位buy; 給的價格分別是: $310, $320 (x2), $330 (x2), $340 (x2), $345, $350, $350, $389
• 給Buy的分析師的評語:
o Baird: The analyst continues to view them as a best in class way to play digital transformation trends with strong growth, cash flow and profitability, and a strong competitive position. Power said DocuSign remains one of his top long-term compounding growth ideas.
o Citi: While slightly shy of the double-digit billings beat in recent quarters, DocuSign still delivered a solid 8% beat to Q2 billings, which grew 47% year-over-year, Radke tells investors in a research note.
o Evercore ISI: he calls "another strong quarter." While some may have wanted to see more aggressive Q3 billings guidance, he believes estimates "continue to leave room for upside," Materne said.
o JMP Securities: While revenue growth decelerated to 50% from 58% in Q1, the company is the clear leader in electronic signature and the broader system of agreement having crossed over 1M customers with a $2B run rate this quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note, adding that he sees lots of room for growth as DocuSign targets a $50B total addressable market.
o Needham: The analyst commented, "Docusign reported another strong quarter in 2QF22 with typical DOCU upside to revenue and profitability. Sales metrics and growth decelerated Q/Q, as we expected against a massive pandemic quarter, but at a much slower rate than we believe much of the Street was anticipating. 65k net new customers was lower than the 70k - 90 range of CY20 but was still more than 2x greater than any pre-pandemic quarter, highlighting a strong end-market driving 47% billings growth against a strong comp. Commentary on incremental Agreement Cloud demand was positive, suggesting an additional growth tailwind combined with solid international can further aid 2HF22. Although DOCU shares could be lower near-term due to weak 2H OpMg guidance, we think this guidance is conservative, as the recent OM was greater than the pre-pandemic level even with tough comps."
o RBC Capital: The quarter highlighted the sustainability of the company's tailwinds post-pandemic as most of its underlying metrics such as billings and net revenue retention were solid, the analyst tells investors in a research note, adding that the traction with CLM and Notary was also "impressive".

分析師對於CRWD的評價:
• 12位buy; 給的價格分別是: $300, $310 (x2), $313, $315 (x2) , $305, $320, $325, $330 (x2), $340
• 1位給hold: $280 (from $220 by J.P. Morgan(same))
• 給Buy的分析師的評語:
o Baird: The analyst believes the company has significant room for growth with core modules, opportunities with Humio and in cloud workload security, among others, should help drive a continuation of strong growth over a long time horizon.
o BTIG: The company's "strong" Q2 results "cleared every hurdle", even though the buy-side benchmarks may have been slightly higher, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Powell adds that Crowdstrike is clearly gaining share in its core endpoint security target market at a rapid pace and gaining traction with new products across multiple categories.
o Canaccord: The analyst said the stock is down from its recent highs, and he thinks the re-rating creates a more favorable entry point for longer-oriented investors for a foundational security name. He views Crowdstrike as a long-term secular winner in security due to its native cloud platform advantage versus closely held peers in endpoint security combined with platform expansion into tangential segments to capture greater share of security budgets.
o Goldman Sachs: CrowdStrike last night delivered "another beat and raise quarter as the company benefited from another quarter of elevated demand," Essex said. But it traded lower following net new annual recurring revenue growth guidance that was slightly less than investors had hoped for. Essex, nonetheless, said the quarter demonstrated CrowdStrike's "ability to continue to go down market efficiently."
o JMP Securities: The analyst notes the company's Q2 annualized recurring revenue of $1.34B topping his estimate of $1.30B, with "sustained" 70% ARR and revenue growth along with margin upside seen as key highlights for the quarter. Suppiger adds that the metrics reflect Crowdstrike's "strong execution and robust demand environment".
o Mizuho: "very good" fiscal Q2 results. The annual recurring revenue growth of 70% year-over-year "was strong and still nicely surpassed" the Street's 65%-66% estimate, Moskowitz tells investors in a research note. He believes "strong execution can propel" Crowdstrike's stock higher.
o Piper Sandler: The company's metrics "outperformed across the board" in Q2 with 70% annual recurring revenue and revenue growth and record net new customer adds in the quarter, Owens tells investors in a research note.
o RBC Capital: Hedberg adds that CrowdStrike's record pipeline entering Q3 should continue to fuel the company's "land-and-expand" momentum.
o Stifel: Q2 results that he said "exceeded consensus estimates across all major financial metrics." He continues to believe that Crowdstrike's growth opportunity "remains in the early days" despite the company's scale given continued share capture within its core endpoint security market and incremental module adoption on the Falcon Platform, Reback tells investors.
o UBS: the company reported "pretty good" Q2 results against high expectations.

🌻趨勢: 跨境電商 Cross-border commerce
Morgan Stanley:
From our perspective, we think many are underestimating what the cross-border eCommerce demand could ultimately be, once key friction points like FX rates, tax and duties, shipping, language, etc are smoothed—all issues that Global-E directly addresses.

Cross-border ecommerce brings new, high-yield volume: We think elevated levels of cross-border ecommerce (ex-travel) is a structural shift thathas yet to be fully contemplated in MA (and V)'s long-term forecasts. MA's cross-border CNP ex-travel volume was 69% above 2019's level in 2Q and 63% higher in 1Q. Strength reflects both broader ecommerce adoption plus globalization of commerce, as marketplaces and services that reduce cross-border friction (such as those from GLBE) make international online ordering more readily adopted. Early data at V suggests greater cross-border ecommerce spend is persisting even in areas with pre-pandemic levels of international travel. Cross-border transactions also come at a higher yield, making us more optimistic that the trend can bring incremental long-term growth to the networks.

產業的潮流是有連貫性的. 疫情讓電商更發達後, 接下來應該就是加速電商跨境了. 跨境的話, 有很多問題需要解決(稅率, 語言, etc.) 這就需要有公司來做整合的動作. 這種跨境, 也可以想像是omnichannel的一種呈現.

Harley Finkelstein (President of Shopify): "I mean I think commerce in 2021 is cross-border."

🌻SPAC熱潮退卻，初創市值蒸發750億美元
"SPAC熱潮已經退卻。分析顯示，在2月中旬以前完成合併的137家SPAC的總市值已經蒸發25%，市值回落幅度上個月一度超過1,000億美元。"

"像貝萊德(BlackRock Inc., BLK)和富達投資(Fidelity Investments Inc.)這類企業管理的基金，以及許多對沖基金、養老金管理公司和其他一些投資者，都在SPAC的回落中遭受了衝擊，他們在去年年底開始的熱潮中競相投資SPAC。其中許多基金由於在價格還很低的時候就早早入場，所以現在仍坐擁可觀收益。事實上，SPAC市值仍有約2,500億美元，高於一年前的約1,000億美元，反映出這期間股價上漲和新公司上市的影響。

但即便如此，今年年初令人炫目的回報還是讓許多後來者做了接盤俠，扎堆投資所謂穩賺不賠的領域，其永恆的風險可見一斑。在過去的幾個月裡，一些投資者眼睜睜看著帳面財富縮水。"

"股價下跌會在SPAC領域形成惡性循環，因為投資者有權在併購交易前從空白支票公司撤資。一旦SPAC跌破發行價，投資者就更有可能這樣做，而許多SPAC的股價現在正處於這樣的水平。目前，在尚未宣布併購交易的空白支票公司中，超過95%的公司股價低於發行價。

投資者的大規模撤資會讓已經上市的空白支票公司手上的現金大幅減少，讓其更難實現業務目標，並可能加劇股價跌勢。"

https://on.wsj.com/3n6JznC

🌻BNPL (buy now pay later)
But most BNPL providers including Affirm, Klarna and Afterpay have been losing money despite breakneck revenue growth as they invest heavily in marketing to win share. Sweden-based Klarna’s credit losses more than doubled in the second quarter. Affirm has projected adjusted operating losses of $50m-$55m for the fiscal year that ended June 30.

The path to profitability for many of these companies was to achieve massive scale, analysts said.

https://www.ft.com/content/ca201a37-a16d-4223-b123-04d38350a972

Pictures: 一葉知秋; from EarningsWhispers

🌻本周做的閱讀與功課:
https://makingsenseofusastocks.blogspot.com/2021/08/blog-post_26.html

這周的功課有些落後. 之後可能會補東西進去. 不過重點就是這兩天的Jackson Hole 會議, 以及下周的非農.

🌻近期整理好的一些財報電話會議內容, 我會陸續放到部落格那邊. 請有興趣的讀者自行去找找. 如果還沒放上, 那就是還在進行中.

🌻Snowflake (SNOW) earnings analysis by Morgan Stanley
這家的熱度很高, 不過我沒有在follow. 下面是Morgan Stanley對於SNOW這次的財報, 所給予的評價. 供有興趣的讀者參考.

Snowflake Delivers a Solid Raise to Go Along With the Beat, as Visibility into Customer Expansion Improves. Another quarter of triple-digit product revenue growth (103% vs. 110% in 1Q22), came in 6% ahead of consensus, enabled by a set of underlying business metrics that remain best-in-class in enterprise software, including: 1) 169% net-revenue retention, which improved from 168% in Q1, 2) 60% YoY growth in total customers and 3) 107% YoY growth in customers spending in excess of $1 million in product revenue. More importantly, for the first time as a public company, management raised guidance in excess of the quarterly beat and ahead of consensus with the high end 3Q/FY22 product revenue guidance coming 5%/3% ahead of consensus. This reflects management's greater visibility into the consumption patterns of large customers – a fact underscored by CFO Mike Scarpelli reiterating expectations for 160%+ net revenue retention for the balance of the year. Furthermore, the company appears to be advancing its position beyond a cloud data warehouse, as evidenced by early traction in new areas including SnowPark (modern data pipelines), security analytics, machine learning and data exchange. The one area of controversy coming out of Q2 results was the sharp deceleration in RPO, which slowed to 122% YoY from 206% the prior quarter. However, we note that RPO growth was negatively impacted by the lapping of longer contract durations and a tough compare from the ~$100 million, 3-year deal with a large customer in the year ago period. Management noted that growth in new annualized contract value accelerated versus 2Q21. Overall, we are encouraged by Snowflake's meaningful beat and raise, and take our PT to $295. However, with shares trading 54x revenue (0.67x rev growth-adjusted), we look for a pull back to generate a better risk/reward profile.

🌻美國很有名的一位"farm-influencer", 鄉村部落客, 專門描述農村&田園的部落客: https://www.instagram.com/hcneeleman/

WSJ前幾天有篇文章, 是講現在的一個美國次文化(鄉村/農村文化farm culture). 加上疫情後, 很多人搬到鄉村或是郊區, 讓這樣的文化更盛行了起來. 相關個股是連鎖零售店Tractor Supply (TSCO)以及鞋店Boot Barn (BOOT).

https://www.wsj.com/articles/instagram-stars-make-farm-life-look-delightfulminus-the-manure-11629733123

Pictures: Tractor Supply內部照片

There’s rhythm in writing! 🎶

這個禮拜Presentality的Andrew來分享英文寫作的節奏!

★★★★★★★★★★★★

我的工作需要看非常多的英文。

其中有英文母語的人寫的，也有非母語的人寫的。最近，我注意到一個兩者之間很明顯的差別。這個差別很少有人提到，因為它無關文法正確，也不是有學問的用語，或是文雅的詞彙。

是句子的長短。

Well，更正確的來說，是長句跟短句的交錯。我發現，非母語人士寫的英文句子，不但比英文母語的人寫的長，而且是大部分句子都很長。

母語的人，尤其是很會寫的人，則是會把長句跟短句混合搭配。
那又怎樣？

★★★★★★★★★★★★

你可能會說 ok，以英文為母語的人比較會用短的句子，那又怎樣？句子的長短，跟我寫作的好壞，有關嗎？

關係可大了。

就像音樂，或是影片，文字也是「內容」。只要是「內容」，就有它的節奏。你可以想像一首曲子，從頭到尾都是很長的音，而且一點變化都沒有嗎？或是一部很長的影片，從頭到尾都是很長的畫面，而且一點節奏的變化都沒有嗎？

Well actually，你應該可以想像，這些就是要幫助我們睡眠的。
如果你不想要你的讀者覺得無聊或甚至睡著，我建議適度變換你文字的節奏。

但我們先看案例。

我拿一篇台灣人寫的文，跟另一篇美國人寫的，來做比較：把每個句子都分拆成不同的段落，句子的長短就一目了然了。

★★★★★★★★★★★★

但我們先看案例。

我拿一篇台灣人寫的文，跟另一篇美國人寫的，來做比較：把每個句子都分拆成不同的段落，句子的長短就一目了然了。

📌 台灣案例：Taipei Times Opinion

1. The TAIEX last month rose above 17,000 points as rallies in steel, shipping and some non-tech stocks offset a weakness in semiconductor and electronics stocks.

2. While news about a cluster of local COVID-19 infections connected with China Airlines cargo pilots and a hotel in Taoyuan fueled selling pressure early this month and pushed the local stock market into consolidation mode, the daily market turnover in the first two trading sessions of this month hit fresh highs.

3. Moreover, Taiwan’s stock trading volume last month began to surpass that of Hong Kong for the first time in 15 years, which was beyond most market participants’ expectations.

4. Taiwan’s daily market turnover exceeding Hong Kong’s might gradually become a new normal from this year, and there are good reasons for this.

5. First, Hong Kong’s stock market has lost its appeal to foreign investors since China last year imposed national security legislation on the territory, triggering a potential flight of capital and talent.

6. Second, many wealthy Taiwanese tend to park their overseas funds in Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Switzerland and the US, but government statistics showed that more than 80 percent of funds repatriated by wealthy individuals last year were from Hong Kong, as they saw the political situation in the territory worsen after its self-governance, human rights and freedom of speech were further suppressed.

7. Third, China’s new NASDAQ-style stock board — the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s STAR board — has emerged as a fast-growing capital markets center for Chinese companies at a time when rising China-US tensions have triggered concerns about their prospects of listing in New York, posing a growing challenge to the Hong Kong stock exchange.

8. On the other hand, Taiwan’s economic fundamentals, the central bank’s adoption of extraordinary monetary easing and the government’s fiscal policies have fueled continued rallies in the nation’s stock market since last year.

9. It might be too early to tell how long the consolidation trend might last, as a resurgent COVID-19 outbreak is coloring the global economic outlook, but some insight can be drawn from the stock market:

10. Taiwan’s GDP grew a larger-than-expected 8.16 percent in the first quarter, as exports and private investment remained healthy.

都是一堆很長的句子對不對？我們來看美國人寫的句子，也是一個主流媒體的 opinion 文。

★★★★★★★★★★★★

📌 美國案例：New York Times Opinion

1. I miss torturing Liz Cheney.

2. But it must be said that the petite blonde from Wyoming suddenly seems like a Valkyrie amid halflings.

3. She is willing to sacrifice her leadership post — and risk her political career — to continue calling out Donald Trump’s Big Lie.

4. She has decided that, if the price of her job is being as unctuous to Trump as Kevin McCarthy is, it isn’t worth it, because McCarthy is totally disgracing himself.

5. It has been a dizzying fall for the scion of one of the most powerful political families in the land, a conservative chip off the old block who was once talked about as a comer, someone who could be the first woman president.

6. How naïve I was to think that Republicans would be eager to change the channel after Trump cost them the Senate and the White House and unleashed a mob on them.

7. I thought the Donald would evaporate in a poof of orange smoke, ending a supremely screwed-up period of history.

8. But the loudest mouth is not shutting up.

9. And Republicans continue to listen, clinging to the idea that the dinosaur is the future.

10. “We can’t grow without him,” Lindsey Graham said.

📌 Note: 即使是比較長的句子，這位作者也會用標點符號拆散它：She is willing to sacrifice her leadership post — and risk her political career — to continue calling out Donald Trump’s Big Lie. 這就好比用句點一樣，讓我們讀起來有點停頓休息的時間。

★★★★★★★★★★★★

📌 注意到了嗎？

台灣人寫的英文，句子都偏長，而且長度都差不多。
美國人寫的就不一樣了：一個只有五個字的句子開頭，然後一堆稍微長一點的句子，然後再來一串短句。

你可能懷疑我故意挑選很極端了例子出來，而且幹嘛專門打台灣人呢？

所以想到這裡，我從我的書架上，隨便挑了兩本跟科技有關的書出來。左邊的，是美國人，矽谷知名投資人 Peter Thiel。右邊的是德國人，但注意了，是一個英文非常好的德國人。他不但是世界經濟論壇的創辦人，研究所也是在哈佛大學唸的。

★★★★★★★★★★★★

📌 兩本書 Introduction 是怎麼寫的？

Klaus Schwab (德國)：

Of the many diverse and fascinating challenges we face today, the most intense and important is how to understand and shape the new technology revolution, which entails nothing less than a transformation of humankind.

We are at the beginning of a revolution that is fundamentally changing the way we live, work, and relate to one another.
In its scale, scope and complexity, what I consider to be the fourth industrial revolution is unlike anything humankind has experienced before.

Peter Thiel (美國)：

Whenever I interview someone for a job, I like to ask this question: "What important truth do very few people agree with you on?"

The question sounds easy because it's straightforward.
Actually, it's very hard to answer.

It's intellectually difficult because the knowledge that everyone is taught in school is by definition agreed upon.

See the difference?

★★★★★★★★★★★★

📌 如何變換節奏呢？

需要Andrew的完整分享請留言「There’s rhythm in writing~」。

Follow Presentality for more!
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All the Philadelphia 76ers had to do was win, and
home-court advantage was theirs for at least the first round of the
playoffs.

Instead, the 76ers had one of their worst first quarters of the
season and never quite recovered. Now home-court advantage rides on
the very last game of the season.

"I never thought it would come to the last game to decide our
playoff spot," Allen Iverson said after the 76ers lost to the
Chicago Bulls 115-106 Tuesday night.

The 76ers' third straight loss dropped them into a tie with
Indiana for third place in the Eastern Conference, and it also
clinched the Atlantic Division title for the New Jersey Nets. Both
teams wrap up their regular seasons Wednesday night.

A loss could drop Philadelphia to as low as fifth in the East.

"When you lose a ballgame, especially to a team not going to
the playoffs, and we're trying to get home-court advantage, that
opens the window to say a lot of negative things about your own
team," Iverson said.

Actually, nothing more really needed to be said. The box score
summed it up: The 76ers fell behind 35-18 in the first quarter,
when they shot 24 percent from the floor.

"That's about as bad a first quarter as we played," coach
Larry Brown said. ``We had no energy, and took awful shots."

Though Iverson matched his season high with 42 points,
Philadelphia shot 38 percent. Eric Snow was the only other starter
in double figures, with 17. The final score might have been even
worse if the 76ers hadn't gone 40-of-44 from the line, including
17-of-18 by Iverson.

They couldn't find an answer for Eddy Curry, either. Curry made
his first eight shots on his way to a career-high 31 points. He
might have scored 40 if he hadn't been in foul trouble.

The Bulls finished the season 30-52; Curry ended up shooting
.580 from the field, the highest percentage for the Bulls since
1982-83, when Orlando Woolridge put up the same figure.

Jamal Crawford matched his career best with 33, and the Bulls
shot 63 percent, including 10-of-15 from 3-point range. The team's
30 victories are nine more than last season, and just six fewer
than it managed in the two previous seasons combined.

"As a team, we just wanted to end on a good note and get our
goal of 30 wins," said Crawford, who also had eight assists.
"It's exciting for us."

The Bulls have Curry and Crawford to thank for this one. The two
opened the game with their own 13-4 run, and the 76ers were
overwhelmed. Curry had a monster first quarter, going 8-for-8 and
matching the entire Philadelphia squad with 18 points. He didn't
miss a shot until there was 6:30 left in the first half, and he
finished the half with 24 points on 11-of-12 shooting.

"When you are out of the playoffs, it is easy to come in and
not give your best effort," Bulls coach Bill Cartwright said. "I
thought our guys have been terrific and showed a lot of character.
They showed great spirit."

Philadelphia trailed by as much as 17 early in the third, but
Iverson scored six straight points to pull them to 94-90 with 7:24
left in the game.

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.
อัปเดทข่าวสารวงการไอที อาทิตย์แรกของปี 2020 ~~~
หิวข่าว ep.26 ประจำวันที่ 4 มกราคม 2563 ครับผม
.
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.
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.
ไม่หมดเท่านี้ยังมีข่าวอื่นอีกเพียบ สามารถกดกดอ่านข่าวทั้งหมดได้ตามลิงก์ด้านล่าง หรือ เข้าไปอ่านข่าวใหม่ๆเพิ่มเติมได้ทาง drodisans.com เลยจ้า แน่นๆ จุกๆ มีให้อ่านทุกวัน
แต่ถ้าใครอ่านไม่ทัน ก็มาเจอกันได้ที่นี่ กับ หิวข่าว ทุกวันเสาร์ครับผม ~~

? Lenovo บุกตลาด Gming Phone https://droidsans.com/lenovo-legion-gaming-phone-coming-soon/

? Galaxy Note10 Lite / Galaxy S10 Lite เปิดตัวการในงาน CES 2020
https://droidsans.com/samsung-official-launch-galaxy-s10-lite-note-10-lite-ces-2020/

? Oneplus น่าจะโชว์จอพับ 5G รองรับาร์จไว 100W ที่ CES
https://droidsans.com/oneplus-concept-one-might-be-foldable-phone/

? iPhone XR ขายดีที่สุด
https://droidsans.com/iphone-xr-smart-phone-best-selling-every-quarter-2019/

? สเปค Huawei P40 Pro
https://droidsans.com/huawei-p40-pro-camera-specs-leaked-might-come-with-selfie-pop-up/

? ภาพเรนเดอร์ Pixel 4a
https://droidsans.com/google-pixel-4a-renders-revealed/

? แอพธนาคาร ห้ามใช้กับมือถือ OS เก่า เครื่องรูท / เจลเบรก
https://droidsans.com/bank-of-thailand-app-must-os-update/

? Apple, Google, Microsoft, Tesla, Dell เจอข้อหาหนัก! ประเด็นใช้แรงงานเด็ก
https://droidsans.com/apple-google-microsoft-tesla-dell-sued-over-child-labor-abuse-over-cobalt-mine-for-battery/

? OPPO เปิดตัวหูฟัง Enco กันน้ำ IPX4 มี AI ตัดเสียง
https://droidsans.com/oppo-enco-free-tws-headphone-specs-features/

? Xiaomi Haylou เปิดราคา 430 บาท
https://droidsans.com/xiaomi-launches-haylou-smart-watch-on-youpin-crowdfunding-platform/

? Mi 10 Pro ชาร์จไว 66W
https://droidsans.com/xiaomi-mi-10-pro-with-66w-fast-charging-said-to-charge-in-around-35-minutes/

? Moto Macro ราคาไทย
https://droidsans.com/motorola-one-macro-thailand-launched/

? มือถือผ่าน กสทช.เมื่อธันวา
https://droidsans.com/nbtc-new-phone-dec-2019/

チェゴのミニアルバム「Don’t miss it」の予約はこちらから
https://linkco.re/VAE9cM7A

【チェゴライブ情報】
2019年12月8日（日）
新大久保Quarter Note
～なるたんのおたんじょうび。～
開場 16:30/開演 17:00
前売/￥3,000（1drink別）
当日/￥3,500（1drink別）
チケット販売はこちら↓
https://tiget.net/events/73197


2019年12月21日(土)
今池リフレクトホール
NO-LMIT 2Days One Man Live
OPEN 18:00/START 18:30
前売り/￥2000
前日/￥3000
チケット販売はこちら↓
https://www.ticketpay.jp/booking/?event_id=23935

Dance reference 👀 [ ]
Music🎶 [ ]
Dancer💃 - チェゴ(Chego)(체고) 【 haruka 琴音(kotone) maho 】
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