[Buy now, pay later]BNPL,金融潮語。其實都潮咗大半年,不過香港咁上下啦。鬼媒講咗年幾兩年Content Creator,都未見香港有乜媒體專門整個beat
1. Buy now, pay later,「屌,咪即係花唄」「有幾撚有創意呀?我中華古已有之」「不過馬雲得罪人之嘛」。其實認真的,唔使括號,花唄都興咗N年,鬼佬而家先開心大現BNPL,完全係reinventing the wheel,不過記住講個英文縮寫就有人覺得好巴閉,Bullshit as a service,Baas.(話時話,Kyle Bass收咗皮未?港紙爆煲冇?)
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一週年!比別人知得多。subscribe now(https://bityl.co/4Y0h)。Ivan Patreon,港美市場評點,專題號外,每日一圖,好文推介。每星期6篇,月費100,已經1900人訂! 畀年費仲有85折,20/40年費VIP 送本人著作一本。
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2. OK,正經,「咪即係信用卡分期,有幾大發現呀?」。又唔係喎
3. 首先,香港人好撚有錢,同埋好有信用,香港人係好好嘅債仔,你見啲友真係斬人打劫呃同事呃老婆穿公司櫃桶底都會供樓的!
4. 當然,除咗香港人有錢,客觀亦因為香港丁屎咁細,你走得去邊?唔似美國或以前大陸(而家有晒監控另一回事),改個名換個車牌去第個城市又一條好漢。
5. 所以你見香港批信用卡成功率極高,私人貸款極易借,仲要供樓利息低。一個普通打工仔,一百幾十萬信用卡額絶對唔係難事。
6. 我想講嗰時我在英國讀書?出咗信用卡(開名啦,匯豐),500英鎊信用額。「喂你係學生冇收入點同,唔好偷換概念」。但你可以睇下普通一個香港大學生銀行批幾錢信用額畀佢?(*)
7. 我知全世界都低息,係呀我唔知呀可?港息大約都跟美息,但,你見美國有冇可能一兩厘供樓?你有冇諗過,香港供樓銀行收你咁平息,賺乜?「cross selling」,「美國唔識cross selling呀?」(咁當然,再三留意返,香港人好撚有錢)。
8. 真相係,香港嘅delinquency rate (拋個英文好似專業啲)極低。即使咩亞洲金融風暴或沙士或乜,你睇報紙咩負資產又跳樓,但,個delinquency rate都係極低—come the 忽on,負資產不等於delinquent!死還死七孔流血還七孔流血!甚至跳樓都不等於delinquent!別傻了星矢,你還有老豆還有老婆!
9. 但認真,咁低嘅delinquency rate,銀行咪圍到數,所以點解香港銀行嘅net interest margin咁低都仲有錢賺。剛睇業績,中銀香港淨息差1.10%,你諗下仲要出糧仲要交租仲要預你啲友燒炭,但居然都仲係賺唔少錢,可見delinquency rate幾咁低。美國?你可以睇下2008嗰時,啲次按有幾多delinquent,求撚其掉低鎖匙就兩腳一伸走人foreclosure,而美國啲銀主盤邊有香港咁正,可以賣原價咁滯(大把銀行拍賣銀主盤有賺添)
10. 同樣原則,你可以應用落去信用卡,私人貸款。
11. 當然仲有,再講一次,香港人好撚有錢。我冇統計過有幾多巴仙嘅人有信用卡,你睇卡數目唔準,因為有啲好似我咁嘅仆街一條友十幾張卡(又如何?)。但,目測香港嘅信用卡滲透率極高,「我Patreon啲讀者好似全部有」(**)
12. 講返,冇去過美國(係呀,我使唔使識整光刻機?ASML NVIDIA又新高啦屌你),但BNPL同信用卡,就真係唔係同一回事。可以係complement 亦可以係substitute (***)
13. Patreon會寫,有啲人只用信用卡,有啲人只用BNPL,有啲兩樣一齊。但,咩人係傾向用BNPL?你估到了:非白人(Hispanic或黑人),低收入人士,同埋……年青人,
14. 拿,學嘢?呢啲就學嘢啦。
15. 不過,「不如講返冧把」,Affirm就升五成啦,一舊水咁滯。「但2月嗰時140蚊」,而家先返返年頭水平,你買隻垃圾中移動941跑贏佢一截。估值都係好重要的。
16. 最重要係,Amazon雖然同Affirm合作,但冇話exclusive 喎。Amazon嘅作風啦喎,就行內皆知了,你做過佢對家都知。
17. 至於其他Fintech嘢?韓國嘅KaKao Bank,一上市大過晒韓國所有銀行嘅市值添,亦令呀大股東變咗富豪,同啲財閥平起平坐。你諗下,韓國喎,幾不可思議?
18. 香港?有!「咪螞蟻金服」,嗰時上市成功嘅,肯定大過晒所有銀行,分分鐘係全世界最大嘅金融股(而全世界最大嘅銀融股唔係銀行啦下)。
(*)話時話,我好想知道,到底唔同大學甚至唔同科嘅學生,信用額會唔會唔同?拿,醒你呀,拎去做final year project啦。理論上呢,「好似醫科生應該信用額高啲」「你點折墮點包尾做個醫管局非合約都五六七皮啦」。不過我估實際上銀行don’t care,同埋費事你話歧視。不過,「如果見到係唔同大學唔同信用額仲好玩」「我覺得教大應該高啲」。同埋,如果真係。拿,真係醒你呀,認真少少拎嚟做MSc dissertation都得(MPhil PhD就未咁求其),「至少認真過我嗰份」又,我份dissertation真係相當垃圾,但我都don’t care,因為我換得去倫敦結算所實習嘅機會,雖然真係坐嗰邊只係幾日。
(**)呢度示範咩係survivorship bias.冇信用卡又點訂你Patreon呢大哥。「其實可以用Paypal」「但冇信用卡又點有Paypal呢老細」「其實係得的」
(***)有啲人讀經濟就讀死書,以為A同B一係complement 一係substitute,或者兩者之間 0-1。錯,同樣兩樣嘢,唔同情況下,可以係complement亦可以係substitute.例如?你一拖二咪知!「你有本事可以搞到變complement的」「重口味啲嘅,老婆同外婆都得」
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一週年!比別人知得多。subscribe now(https://bityl.co/4Y0h)。Ivan Patreon,港美市場評點,專題號外,每日一圖,好文推介。每星期6篇,月費100,已經1900人訂! 畀年費仲有85折,20/40年費VIP 送本人著作一本。
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affirm香港 在 李卓人 Lee Cheuk Yan Facebook 的最佳貼文
(Scroll down for english version)
「歷史將宣判我們無罪!」
李卓人8.31案法庭陳情書
法官閣下,我在此認罪,但我在捍衛人民和平遊行和集會自由上,並沒有做錯任何事。我相信歷史將會宣判我們無罪。在此請讓我向你講述更多我的背景,那樣你就能更理解我為何要為了香港的未來,與人民共同走上街頭。
#新時代由政治犯開創
作為一名基督徒,我在復活節期間聽讀經員閱讀聖經,提醒了我,耶穌為世人犧牲,被釘上十字架,使罪人與神和解。從被捕到被控到被彼拉多(Pilate)判死刑,祂也是一名政治犯,沒有犯罪,但因為服務窮人和傳福音,而威脅到猶太統治階層。
縱觀人類歷史文明,我們現在享有的權利,也是由一眾政治犯,諸如甘地、馬丁路德金和納爾遜·曼德拉所開創的。在80年代,我是「香港反種族隔離運動」的主席,我一直將納爾遜·曼德拉在1963年遭審判所言銘記於心。他說:「願意為我的理想而犧牲自己生命。」他的理想是爭取南非黑人的平權,然後就被判刑27年。我為他在1994年當選南非總統而感到興奮,他給予了全世界受壓逼的人民希望,讓他們知道透過堅持不懈的鬥爭,可以達致公義。
#曼德拉給我的啟發
我花了一些時間去講曼德拉帶給我的啟發,因為我是從1978年起投身到勞工權益和民主運動的。我畢生的理想,就是讓基層和被壓逼者勇於發聲和站起來爭取屬於他們的權利。每當那些被壓逼者起來捍衛他們的權利,為尊嚴而抗爭時,我也會受到鼓舞,並得到力量去繼續面對香港正面臨的艱苦奮鬥和挑戰。我曾問自己,沒有抗爭,我的人生將會是如何?這已是我第43年投身於民主運動,法官閣下,你必須明白當我目睹國家權力如何使用武力鎮壓人民,令香港人受傷、受牢獄之苦或是流亡,以及香港民主倒退,人民的權利遭剝奪之時,心裏的痛苦和折磨。我看到我的理想正在崩潰,但即使被黑暗籠罩,也無阻我繼續為理想奮鬥的決心。為了這一理想,我甘願承受任何懲罰。
法官閣下可能會說,法律就是法律,而我好像沒有就八三一案展露出絲毫悔意。我希望法官閣下明白,我是何等重視人民透過言論和集會所彰顯的自由。這是弱勢和受壓逼者尋求公義的唯一路徑。剝奪了這種權利,形同制度對人民施暴。我不願看見香港人活在建基於制度暴力的管治之中。因此,我會竭盡所能,伸張人們有尊嚴及和平遊行去發達意見的權利。
#最壞的尚未來臨
#法庭要睜開眼睛
我十分尊重法官閣下維護法治的熱誠。在此,我希望能引用已故法官Ruth Bader Ginsburg的話:
「法官們會不斷思考和改變,我希望倘若今日法庭有盲點,明日它將會睜開眼。」
我十分敬佩Ginsburg為了性別平權奮鬥一生,成就斐然。她告訴我們,法官應該與時並進,趕上不斷在變遷的時代。在香港,最壞的尚未來臨,我們需要法律界人士去睜開雙眼,觀看人民的苦難,並反思法律在這個時代的立足點,如何隨時代變遷而轉變,以捍衞人民的尊嚴與權利。
2021年4月7日
"History will absolve us"
Submission of Lee Cheuk Yan to the Court
Your Honour, I plead guilty but I’ve done no wrong in affirming the rights of people to peaceful procession and I believe history will absolve us. May I give you more on my background so as your honour can understand why I decided to march with the people for the future of Hong Kong.
As a Christian, during Easter when the scripture was read, I was reminded how Christ went to meet his fate on the cross, sacrificing for mankind to reconcile sinners with God. From His arrest to his prosecution to his death sentencing by Pilate, he was a political prisoner who committed no crime apart from seen to be a threat to the Jewish Hierarchy by serving the poor and oppressed and preaching the good news.
Throughout history of mankind, the rights that humankind now enjoyed were pioneered by political prisoners from Gandhi to Martin Luther King to Nelson Mandela. I was the Chairman of Hong Kong anti apartheid movement back in the 80s and I always remember the determination of Nelson Mandela when he said during his trial back in 1963: “an ideal for which I am prepared to die for.”. His ideal was the equality for black South African and then he spent 27 years in jail. I was thrilled that in 1994, he was elected President of South Africa, giving hope to oppressed all over the world that justice can be achieve through the persistent struggle of the people.
I went to length about his inspiration to me personally because I started my activism starting 1978 for labour rights and democracy. My lifetime ideal is the empowerment of the poor and oppressed to speak out, to rise up for their rights. Whenever the oppressed assert their rights to fight for their dignity, I feel myself also empowered and inspired to continue the difficult struggle and challenges facing Hong Kong. I asked myself, what is my life without the struggle. The struggle is my life, I cannot imagine my life without it. It had been forty three years of struggle for me and your Honour must understand my deep felt pain and sufferings to see how the State Power had been using brute force against the people and the sacrifices of so many Hongkongers who were injured, jailed or exiled, also to witness the deprivation of the basic rights of the people and the regression in democracy. I saw my ideal crumbling but I will continue the struggle even though darkness is surrounding us. It is an ideal for which I am prepared for any sanction.
Your Honour may say the law is the law, I seems not show any remorse in breaching law in this trial for August 31st. I hope Your Honour understand the utmost importance I put on the rights to freedom of expression through speech or assembly. This is the only avenue the weak and oppressed can have to right the wrongs on them. If deprived, I will call this systemic violence on the people and I do not want to see Hong Kong rule on the basis of such systemic violence. Therefore I would do my utmost to affirm the rights of people to a dignified and peaceful procession to express themselves.
Your Honour must be passionate about upholding the law and I respect your ideal. I hope I can quote from the late Judge Ruth Bader Ginsburg:
“Justices continue to think and can change. I am ever hopeful that if the court has a blind spot today, its eye will be open tomorrow”
I was very impressed with her passion for gender equality and how she fought her whole life for gender equality and was able to achieve so much. Her message was time changes and judges should catch up with time. For Hong Kong, the worst may yet to come, and we need the legal profession to open their eyes to the suffering of the people and reflect on which side the law is with and how to changes with time for the advancement of the rights and dignity of the people.
I humbly submit myself to your sentencing and whatever your sentence, I have no regret for standing up for the rights of the people.
7th April, 2021
affirm香港 在 黃之鋒 Joshua Wong Facebook 的最佳解答
【致Tim Cook 的公開信:促Apple Store停止政治審查員工】
Hongkongers' concerns over workplace censorship at HK Apple Stores
https://twitter.com/joshuawongcf/status/1296731829936902150
Dear Mr Cook,
I am writing on behalf of Hongkongers to express our concerns over Apple’s protection on its employees’ right to free expression after our national security law has been put in place.
Recently I have received several complaints from current workers at Apple Store in Hong Kong, who blasted the company’s managers for imposing restrictive guidelines at the workplace, including banning employees from wearing yellow masks or those printed with “Hong Kong”.
Workers are also required not to decorate their Memojis with yellow or black accessories, the colours that are often interpreted as pro-protest support. Apple store managers even threatened to sack workers who refuse to change their Memoji colours. The incident raises profound concerns over whether Apple introduces censorship at the workplace.
As a global leader in innovation, there is a growing expectation that Apple should be the leading champion of free expression. Especially under the newly enacted national security law in the city, Apple is also expected to play a more active role to push back on Beijing’s censorship, both overt or covert, on free expressions, including Apple’s employees.
As early as in 2013, you stressed that workplace equality is good for business, pledging to create a safe and welcoming workplace for employees and ensuring there is no need to check their identity at the door. After the tragic killing of George Floyd, you also issued an open letter to the company's employees to reiterate the importance of diversity and vow to "build an Apple that is inclusive of everyone." This inspirational message should be the core value that Apple stands for and also applicable to its employees in Hong Kong.
Since the saga will definitely undermine the company’s reputation and raise more doubts on its commitment to liberal values that its customers care most, I hope Apple can affirm its commitment to the principle of freedom of expression and introduce concrete measures to protect employees from future workplace censorship. We look forwards to hearing from you.
All the best,
Joshua Wong
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💪支持我向世界展現香港人頑強抵抗的意志:https://bit.ly/joshuawonghk
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#存亡號召 #絕處逢生
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🌐https://twitter.com/joshuawongcf
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📧joshua@joshuawongcf.com
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affirm香港 在 香港ricky与Affirm... - Affirm Plus Properties- Jeff Khor - Facebook 的推薦與評價
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