🌻美國生活
打了疫苗後, 在上週進城了一趟.
許久未出門的感覺很奇妙. 進了城, 也感到大家的生活還是如往常一般, 只是餐廳沒甚麼人(都用電話下單, 或是當場點了東西後就走), 許多人(並不是全部)的臉上也多了個口罩. 旅館的人倒是不多. 但商家停車場的車子應該如往常一樣, 沒有減少.
每次進城, 也一定會到Chipotle打牙祭. 這次試了他們新的飯(參雜了cauliflower花椰菜), 酸酸滋味, 配上原來burrito裡面就有的料, 真的是開胃又好吃, 一口接一口.
最近吃了三家不同的burrito, 還是覺得Chipotle的最好吃. 我想原因之一(不知道我的觀察有沒有誤), 可能是他們把不同口感的配料加在一起時, 有多家一道手續, 讓新鮮脆口的生菜, 烤熟的肉類, sour cream與其他配料均勻地被融合起來, 也讓滋味豐富了起來. 不像其他家的burrito, 一口咬下去, 就是飯, 或是豆類, 分得很清楚, 而沒有不同食材所帶來的多層次的口感.
Anyway. 附上這次進城照的幾張照片在下方.
🌻My happiness project: 年報財報導讀
股市對我來說像戰場; 年報財報就像是兵書. 而一家家公司的年報財報, 對我來說, 就像是故事書一樣, 述說著公司的成長營運軌跡. 做了這些功課後, 持股也會有信心. "Buy and do homework," 是我認為投資該有的態度.
下半年時間比較多, 所以想抽一點時間出來, 跟對看年報財報有興趣的投資人一起來讀資料, 順便藉此分享我是如何抓重點&透過年報財報來做思考的. 也想要藉此來宣揚看年報財報的好處&消除投資人對英文年報財報可能會有的恐懼感. Anyway. 這只是初步的想法. 若要實行也會是九月的事情了.
不過先錄了一段影片, 解釋我是怎麼做財報內容&電話會議內容整理的: https://youtu.be/vvkrs6CiWdw
🌻本周做的功課與閱讀
https://makingsenseofusastocks.blogspot.com/2021/05/blog-post_19.html
這次的閱讀中, 跟成長股比較有關的是這段. 目前成長股也被重新定價中, 所以建議成長股投資人在挑股的時候, 盡量找有現金流, 還有獲利的公司.
"That’s true even for the highflying growth stocks that have been getting hit so hard recently—as long as they have earnings. Adam Parker, founder of Trivariate Research, notes that following large growth selloffs, S&P 500 growth stocks with both free cash flow and expanding margins tend to outperform in the months ahead. That means favoring stocks like ServiceNow (ticker: NOW) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) over shares of Chegg (CHGG) and Twitter (TWTR). “Buy some growth stocks on the selloff, but they have to have positive free cash flow and margin expansion,” Parker says."
🌻投資金句
"I learned that you may be right, but if enough people believe you're wrong the markets can really hurt you." --BlackRock bond chief Rick Rieder
🌻The Future of Work
看到BofA寫的這一段, 覺得挺感動的. 這也是投資的目的之一, 能夠藉著這個方式, 來接觸到世界的脈動.
The Future of Work
Thematic Research
BofA Global Research
bofa.com
May 12: The future of work is not zero-sum between humanity and technology. We believe humans can collaborate with and work alongside robots, rather than be displaced by them, and that technology can create more jobs than it destroys. By 2025 alone, the WEF [World Economic Forum] thinks automation will add 12 million net new jobs, with robots eliminating 85 million jobs but creating 97 million new ones. Other grounds for optimism include: (1) 65% of children starting school today will work in jobs that have not been invented yet; (2) “new” collar jobs will be generated from well-placed thematic sectors like healthcare, renewables, new mobility, or even moonshot technologies; and (3) we might actually be more productive and have more leisure time if robots can relieve us of more mundane, repetitive everyday tasks. We have identified $14 trillion in market cap of enablers for the future of work. Technology, industrials, and medtech are some key beneficiaries. We also see opportunities in education and the upskilling/retraining of workers by corporates. Conversely, commercial real estate/offices and legacy transport are some of the sectors facing headwinds...
So, what are the truly futuristic jobs that could be invented? Data-privacy managers, nanomedicine surgeons, lab-meat scientists, blockchain strategists, space-tourist guides, freelance biohackers, AI avatar designers, 3D food-printer chefs, leisure-time planners, ethical algorithm programmers, and brain simulation specialists, to name but a few.
🌻Dividend Growers’ Allure
這段從股息的角度, 來講解傳統價值股跟成長股的不同處.
Dividend Growers’ Allure
Insights & Commentaries
Washington Crossing Advisors
washingtoncrossingadvisors.com
May 10: Buy quality stocks that increase dividends regularly. This simple strategy takes a long-term view of investing and focuses on the dividend, not the stock price. Passive income generated from dividend growth has two main benefits. First, it focuses your investment strategy on cash-generating, growing companies. Second, it tends to lead to quality businesses that are neither too young nor too old.
Why is this so? Almost by definition, a dividend-growing company tends to cover expenses with rising cash flow. And which companies do these tend to be? They tend to be profitable, established companies in the middle of their corporate life cycle. By contrast, young companies tend to be burning cash, constantly in need of capital, and face a higher risk of failure. Such young firms tend to not pay dividends at all as they are consumed with growth. On the other hand, older companies often funnel most or all cash to investors as dividends because viable investments can no longer be found. These firms are often in decline and offer little growth, often reflected in a high current yield.
Picture:
1. Chipotle內部. 可以看到有個取餐的架子. 餐廳人員也不時在電腦螢幕前, 看進來的訂單, 備菜.
2. 旅館外一區. 面向密西根湖.
3. CSX, Union Pacific的火車廂(這兩家都有上市)
同時也有1部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過75萬的網紅志祺七七 X 圖文不符,也在其Youtube影片中提到,#記得打開CC字幕 #DIGI #人工智慧會搶走我們的工作嗎? ✔︎ 成為志祺七七會員:http://bit.ly/join_shasha77 ✔︎ 訂閱志祺七七頻道: http://bit.ly/shasha77_subscribe ✔︎ 追蹤志祺 の IG :https://www.instag...
「ethical jobs」的推薦目錄:
- 關於ethical jobs 在 貓的成長美股異想世界 Facebook 的最佳貼文
- 關於ethical jobs 在 君子馬蘭頭 - Ivan Li 李聲揚 Facebook 的最佳貼文
- 關於ethical jobs 在 Sarah May Low Tarot Academy Facebook 的精選貼文
- 關於ethical jobs 在 志祺七七 X 圖文不符 Youtube 的精選貼文
- 關於ethical jobs 在 Ethical Jobs - Home | Facebook 的評價
- 關於ethical jobs 在 Ethical Jobs in Careers - Meta Stack Overflow 的評價
- 關於ethical jobs 在 EthicalJobs.com.au - GitHub 的評價
- 關於ethical jobs 在 How To Become Ethical Hacker In 2022 的評價
ethical jobs 在 君子馬蘭頭 - Ivan Li 李聲揚 Facebook 的最佳貼文
[Michael Sandel很忙]TL:DR – 疫苗公司話:成本價?食慒你。股東要賺錢的。股價當然即升。兩日升5倍咁咯。
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Ivan Patreon 狼耳街華人,一個星期至少三篇,一個月一舊水唔使,一星期已近400人訂,仲有兩篇免費試睇:https://bit.ly/31QmYj7
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1. 呢間公司CureVac (CVAC),聽聞就快搞得掂疫苗。但已經講到明,免費?痴線啦,開善堂咩。成本價?一樣睬你有味。唔使賺乎?講明,不能成本價賣出去。咱們上市公司,上市公司最大目的是甚麼?賺錢?(*)錯!係shareholder wealth maximization。
2. 新聞一出?股價即時升。一升就40%。唔止,上星期五已經升咗250%。上星期五16美金,昨晚(星期一)見過85蚊。股價歷史?冇喎,就係得呢兩日,新股嚟的。睇漏咗。
3. 呢隻嘢堅。我都睇漏咗,開頭仲想講香港傳媒冇乜報,只見台灣。後來發現明明信報就有,但我miss咗。鬼咩,一日睇咁多嘢。昨晚(星期日)我一晚清晒過去一個星期嘅Bloomberg Newsletter,唔係好多啫,好似兩百幾三個email,俄羅斯方塊咁,一路積住越嚟越高。好彩我昨晚再返返去Inbox Zero嘅目標
4. 其實啲人講咩「成本價」,我有時都好R頭。亦都令啲記者有時對住我扯火。因為我真係問佢,「咩係成本價」?如果你係Trading 之類,都好似仲易啲,我上網訂件波衫四百蚊,你唔識上網我五舊水賣畀你,大約咁玩。可以計埋我啲郵費車錢之類。
5. 但真實企業邊有咁簡單?你一杯星巴克「成本」幾錢?我都唔知。只計啲咖啡粉?咁租呢人工呢?果啲都係value add,否則你自己買包粉返屋企沖啦—你去茶餐廳飲好立克都係開粉之嘛,睇下收你幾錢?但基本常識都知,租呀人工呀呢啲,好大程度上fixed(with respect to 量)。起碼一定範圍內係。你一日賣得一杯咖啡,都係交咁多租架啦(如果冇分成),你賣得一杯,都要出咁多糧架啦。咁明顯地你呢啲average cost 係隨住個量會跌落去嘛。
6. 所以啲人問「成本價」,而我不知道咩係「成本」。你用易乾講,咪可能講所有成本都係機會成本,highest value 科乾。咁我寫呢篇文嘅成本價幾多?我都唔知。我拎去幫人補數學好,定寫篇Patreon好?而更重要係,啲成本同你個售價無關嘛。我寫到嘔血,你都絶對可以一個仙都唔畀,甚至要我貼錢你先肯睇。你付出幾多同個市場肯畀幾多,可以冇乜關係。全部都基本經濟嘢。
7. 咁疫苗我唔識啦,但好似都係啲化學嘢,蛋白質,加啲咩DNA—可以有幾貴?咁但,當然啦,研發成本喎。而我又唔知啲「研發成本」可以點attribute 落去。我研發失敗嗰啲又點計?冇失敗又點有成功?仲有坐冷氣房班肥佬,啲人工往往一個頂十幾廿個研發人員,但又計唔計成本?(一般計gross profit就唔計嘅)
8. 所以其實公司話計要拎返個「ethical margin」,我都唔係好知幾多先叫ethical。不過主要都係即使我們錯,不比他們多。醒目嘅,咪拎啲同業出嚟鞭屍。拿,隔離檔嘢,賣偉哥之嘛,都咁高利錢呀。喂,扯唔起之嘛,死得人咩?叫啲肥佬食清啲啦。我地賣嘢救世人喎,唔係更有貢獻?掂晒。
9. 如果要justify自己嘅margin高過人?仲簡單。唏,你唔好睇我地margin高人地成倍。人地大藥廠幾百億喎,我地幾億真係勉強夠交租架咋。仲有,成咗一隻唔知幾時先有下隻嘛,係咪咁講?
10. 藥廠之類啦喎,其實未有呢啲疫情已經極其惹火,拗足幾十年。一方面會講藥廠唔應該謀暴利應該有社會責任之類。另一方面又話你知沒有錢研乜鬼發?有錢先有人做呢啲嘢。藥廠冒幾大風險呀搞幾多年先中一隻藥呀啲PhD幾貴呀如果一出嚟又畀人抄咁阿水仲同你去做研發咩齊齊搽精油攬炒周兆祥算啦。最後都係中間落墨,你見到藥廠依好然賺錢,但又唔係去到科技股果種呼風喚雨了。
11. 講到尾(拿,右翼呀),個世界話你知,多數都係錢能通神。你總唔見啲NGO研發到呢啲東西,十居其九都係商業機構,incentive唔同。你總唔見有班人唔順超我要改變呢個生態我自己搞間藥廠唔賺錢唔拎專利 — 因為你根本請唔到人。請到人研發到都冇人幫你賣。講真的,你大可以政府牽頭國營研發,但你見多數都唔多成功。人性如此。我拎你公務員人工,咪交公務員嘅貨。Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Steve Jobs全部都係變態老細迫到啲下屬發癲。但點解人地肯同佢癲?
12. 隨住肺炎疫苗好似真係有希望短期面世(*),呢啲爭議只會越嚟越多。畢竟邊個發明到而又批到,就真係好過印銀紙。反正而家印銀紙都唔係好值錢(?),因為銀紙都唔係好值錢。
13. 但,發明到又過到各種測試後,又應該點?你諗下口罩最初都搶到癲,但口罩明明係low tech嘢(相對啦,唔好叫我自己整個),因為供應咁樣搶上去,你啲產能都要一排先跟得上。順帶一提,人人得以誅之嘅「坐地起價」,其實又一次見到係提供咗誘因畀啲生產商去開機。如果係疫情前嗰啲價錢先冇咁多人睬你,唔係加咗價,邊有咁快人人有口罩?嗰時唔敢講,而家就可以講。
14. 而疫苗?係咪可以快速量產架呢?似乎都應該係。不過,畀咩人先?自己國家優先?定價高者得?定抽獎?畀唔畀轉售?可以嘅,咁肯定好多窮人,或者啲疫苗撚(**),實會轉賣畀人,反正自己都用唔著或者想執返一千幾百多啲。唔可以嘅,你點防止?實名制?定好似美砂酮咁要望住你打?咁你最多只係防止到埃汾賣畀第二個,但你防止唔到窮國賣去富國
15. 呢啲咁深嘅問題,就真係叫Michael Sandel講兩句了。其實眾多眾多嘅機制,都係資源分配。買口罩係,買疫苗係,入大學都係。你可以用市場機制機高者得,可以混合少少(例如有補貼,或者限買幾多),又可以純抽獎,或者只畀青年人(因為預期壽命更正),或者只畀老嘢(因為佢地更需要),甚至逆向地只畀窮人都得。冇話邊個選擇一定啱,睇你背後嘅價值觀係乜—不幸地現實就九成九都係本人優先,屁股指揮腦袋。「你畀埃汾去定規則就梗係鬥快打倉頡」。
16. 最後要講,德國公司,但美國上市呀。你懂的。其實之前好多篇文都講過,嚟緊都會講。歐洲大陸有極之源遠流長嘅反金融肥貓傳統—所以啲人才係去晒外國的。所以點解歐洲一路都冇啲好嘅科技,唔係冇人,而係冇發達嘅,搞嚟把托?你睇添曲,完全江山人地打落,做個普通CEO 食下老本(講就易),都係咁意10億美金身家啦。(後來見到好似歐洲都有上市,但你懂的)
17. 香港其實都差不多,覺得金融撚冇貢獻,不事生產。我造就你發達,咪就係貢獻。人地以為金融撚賣產品,錯了。咱們賣嘅係夢想,貪婪。呢啲需要同性愛一樣,遠古人類已經有,我唔覺得幾千年有變過,所以同娼妓一樣,金融業實在好難被淘汰。
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Ivan Patreon 狼耳街華人,一個星期至少三篇,一個月一舊水唔使,一星期已近400人訂,仲有兩篇免費試睇:https://bit.ly/31QmYj7
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(*)典型corp fin問題。上市公司唔係要profit maximization,否則你斬晒啲R&D嘅友咪得。而係要shareholder wealth maximization。所以蘋果唔使盈利新高,但年年回購股票,就幫到每股盈利,就幫到股價。呢個遊戲都未識嘅—你就真係要睇Ivan Patreon 學多啲嘢,講真的(https://bit.ly/31QmYj7)
(**)對,我同你都好似真係希望短期發達,我都幾乎入咗高盛,你都幾乎10年前買咗騰訊。
(***)中文真係博大精深,「疫苗撚」同「反疫苗撚」其實係指同一班人。因為重點唔係疫苗,係撚。
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最新收費影片:點解買金?點樣買金?點解港紙好快會下試7.85?咩公司20年冇減過派息?仲有咩疫情受惠公司少人講?
簡介及以前嘅片(未睇可訂):https://bit.ly/3iYMD0F
報名嘅,課程編號CC007:https://bit.ly/3ahugA3
報完名交咗錢,呢度log in:https://bit.ly/3gYXu9e
之後按最頂「按此觀看」就得
仲搞唔掂嘅,睇埋下面,或者搵客服,或者PM我。
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內容:
*美元弱勢,港紙將更弱勢
*紙將將由7.75趺落7.85
*買黃金:美元受壓銀紙亂印
*買黃金的四個實戰方法
*另類疫情受惠股
本星期內特惠售價: $80
課程編號:CC007
觀看期限:首次播放後一星期及限每影片4次
客服whatsapp: 63832145
ethical jobs 在 Sarah May Low Tarot Academy Facebook 的精選貼文
I've been receiving A LOT of emails and private messages the entire day telling me that my interview inspired them to go after their dreams! (I will reply to you all over the weekend, ya!) 🃏🃏🃏
We live in the day and age where anything goes, and EVERY SINGLE idea is a possibility. Considering so many businesses closed down, many people who lost their jobs, got a pay cut and people worldwide facing anxieties during this COVID-19 pandemic, isn't it interesting how it's so hard for parents and teachers to give career advice anymore? Be an engineer. But so many engineers got retrenched the past ten years. Be a banker. Banks are retrenching too. Be a doctor. My doctor clients have parents worrying about them throughout this crisis.
In this day and age, NO one job will ensure your success in life, the best part of living in this era is that the sky is the limits when it comes to career possibilities and MIRACLES do happen!
People have a misconception on Tarot and divination arts because of the "over-dramatisation" in films and dramas that we watch, but most (ethical) readers are just life coaches who merely use the tarot cards as a tool - plain and simple. Whatever your dreams are, hold on to it and BELIEVE. 💃
ethical jobs 在 志祺七七 X 圖文不符 Youtube 的精選貼文
#記得打開CC字幕 #DIGI #人工智慧會搶走我們的工作嗎?
✔︎ 成為志祺七七會員:http://bit.ly/join_shasha77
✔︎ 訂閱志祺七七頻道: http://bit.ly/shasha77_subscribe
✔︎ 追蹤志祺 の IG :https://www.instagram.com/shasha77.daily
✔︎ 志祺七七 の 粉專 :http://bit.ly/shasha77_fb
各節重點:
00:49 人類對 AI 最深層的恐懼
02:01 AI 即將害我們失去工作?
03:22 當 AI 開始管理人類
04:52 AI 可以撫慰人心?甚至還可以當老師?
05:59 對 AI 感興趣的人有福了?
07:19 我們的觀點
08:20 提問TIME
08:33 掰比~別忘了訂閱
【 製作團隊 】
|企劃:鯉鼬
|腳本:鯉鼬
|剪輯後製:絲繡
|剪輯助理:絲繡 & 范范
|演出:志祺
——
【 本集參考資料 】
→ 維基百科:魔鬼終結者:https://reurl.cc/lrOK6
→ 了解人工智慧的第一本書:機器人和人工智慧能否取代人類?:https://reurl.cc/QAoQ2
→ 維基百科:2001太空漫遊:https://reurl.cc/QAoQq
→ 維基百科:機械公敵:https://reurl.cc/5WNAM
→ 維基百科:全面進化:https://reurl.cc/Elv9v
→ Kurzweil Accelerates Immortality Pledge From 2045 to 2029:https://reurl.cc/kYW6d
→ 工商社論》面對AI時代,個人、企業與國家都應轉型:https://reurl.cc/qAqEE
→ 機器取代人力!5年內7千萬人恐丟飯碗 世界經濟論壇:機器人創造雙倍就業機會!:https://reurl.cc/vOxYL
→ The Future of Jobs Report 2018:https://reurl.cc/AmlVY
→ 人工智慧對勞動就業的影響:https://reurl.cc/M5oav
→ These Are The Jobs That Will Be Safe From The Imminent Invasion Of Robots:https://reurl.cc/1AWdW
→ The Future Of Jobs: The Onrushing Wave:https://reurl.cc/eloej
→ 亞馬遜用AI判定:該開除哪位員工?:https://reurl.cc/zRkxQ
→ 動作慢就掰掰!Amazon建AI監視員工 效率未達標直接被開除:https://reurl.cc/vOxVj
→ 從同事變身績效主管》AI打考績的人性考驗:https://reurl.cc/XMboe
→ 不只陪伴病人、幫推手術車 AI機器人還能開解護理師!:https://reurl.cc/qAqyn
→ 抒發負面情緒!北榮首創關懷平台「N天使」護理師用手機也可紓壓:https://reurl.cc/rGVpO
→ 導入AI智慧 北榮首創護理關懷平台N天使:https://www.vghtpe.gov.tw/Index.action
→ AI機器人狂潮席捲全球 人工智慧時代正式來臨 T觀點 20170226 (1/4):https://reurl.cc/Lrov4
→ 台灣「AI 原生世代」來了,政府攜手 Google、微軟推動高中職生 AI 扎根活動:https://reurl.cc/M5m1L
→ AI人才向下扎根 經濟部推動「高中職生AI扎根系列活動」 偕同台灣微軟與Google培育全臺千名高中職學生:https://reurl.cc/qAbzy
→ 臉書專頁:高中職生 AI 扎根系列活動:https://2030.tw/2kkflQ7
→ 和機器人共學 南市2年要設50間創新智慧學習教室:https://reurl.cc/Lrx1L
→ 自由時報照片:https://reurl.cc/QAlpM
→ 中小學首部AI教材 教案下月公布:https://reurl.cc/jZ47p
→ 南科AI_ROBOT自造基地.營造創新自造生態系:https://reurl.cc/O3a1y
→ 影/台灣第一 南科實中獲頒夏威夷學生大使殊榮:https://reurl.cc/O3aqX
→ 南科 AI_ROBOT 自造基地:https://reurl.cc/YN56n
→ Top 9 ethical issues in artificial intelligence:https://reurl.cc/4eDm2
→ 歐盟公布初步 AI 道德準則,執委會副主席:只有獲得信賴,社會才能充分受益於技術:https://reurl.cc/m5bqM
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