I have recently perused Nicholas Kristof’s NYT piece “China’s Man in Washington, Named Trump”(https://nyti.ms/3h2JXh8). One paragraph in particular caught my attention: “A joke in China suggests that Trump’s Chinese name is Chuan Jianguo, or “Build-the-Country Trump.” That’s because Build-the-Country is a common revolutionary name among Communist patriots, and it’s mockingly suggested that Trump’s misrule of the United States is actually bolstering Xi’s regime.”
Kristoff also avows that since Trump’s ascension to presidency, the American nation became highly polarized. This is reflected in the current administration’s policies on climate change, foreign relations with established U.S. allies, and COVID-19 prevention, all of which are rather ineffective. It also seems like Mr. Trump and his team diverged from the traditional priorities, including promoting free trade, human rights, and other quintessentially American values. As described thoroughly by John Bolton, all these factors contributed to the declining standing of the U.S. in global politics.
What is more, many people fall prey to CCP’s propaganda and its interpretations of Trump’s actions, which only enhances China’s reputation.
But that might not exactly be the case.
The CCP apparently failed to utilize the window of opportunity created by the ineptness of the Trump administration, as China could have grown to the position of a leader by filling in the void left by the U.S.
During the 2016 APEC Ministerial Meeting in Lima, Peru, Xi Jinping and his team actively supported the plans to establish the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and a Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific, or FTAAP. In contrast, the United States withdrew its signature from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) in early 2017. Coupled with China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the establishment of the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank (AIIB), this move bolstered China’s capacity to influence global investments and trade, high-tech mergers and acquisitions, and, overall, expand its geostrategic influence on the entire globe.
At the same time, various propaganda films about great power competition, military industry, and science and technology surged all at once, and gained remarkable following around the world.
All this provided a window of opportunity for the CCP to slowly change its course. Around the same time, the distrust for POTUS among U.S. allies’ reached its apex. According to polls conducted by the Pew Research Center, the distrust for the U.S. president in the U.K. reached 75%, 72% in Japan, 70% in Australia, and stunning 86% in France.
Had the C.C.P,. begun to open up at that time, or at least resumed the governance style of the Hu-Wen administration, it could have reaped the benefits of promoting liberalism where the U.S. failed to deliver. It was the time for Beijing to gradually enhance freedom of speech domestically, pursue sustainable infrastructural projects, gradually reform unfair barriers to trade, transform its S.O.E.s, strengthen protections for private ownership, and vitalize its start-ups and enterprises.
Moreover, were China to cease the genocide in East Turkestan and refrain from cracking down on Hong Kong's semi-autonomy, it would have greatly enhanced its global international image. Additionally, if paired with slow but steady reforms, Beijing’s respect for sovereignty of its peoples would have attracted a large amount of foreign investment, which in turn would have continued to buttress the country’s growth.
It is China prerogative to remain idle.
It might still be possible for Chinese “Dream” to come true.
Yet, a historic window of opportunity is now closed.
Xi assumed the tools of proscribing and stalling, which are completely antithetical to the aforementioned window of opportunity.
Today, China is more authoritarian, less flexible, and fully deprived of horizontal accountability. Its reliance on wolf warrior diplomacy backfired: for example, the Swedish parliament sought to expel the Chinese ambassador to Stockholm. Also, Prague, the capital of Czechia, terminated its sister-city agreement with Shanghai and instead signed a new one with Taipei. Last but not least, we ought not to forget about the recent fiasco in the relations with the United States who ordered the shutdown of China’s consulate in Houston. All of this took its toll on China’s reputation.
Its international standing and inability to replace the U.S. as the major global power are not the only issues China is currently facing.
As it experiences multiple domestic and international shocks, China struggles to combat the COVID-19 pandemic and tame the disastrous floods of Yangtze River. The swarm of locusts of biblical proportions is also crippling Beijing’s institutional capacity and may soon lead to food shortages. In fact, the precarity of food supply further diminishes the level of trust for Chinese authorities.
In 2019, the Pew Research Center conducted a public opinion survey to examine the international views of China. In the U.S., Argentina, the U.K., Canada, Germany, and Ukraine, only about 30% of respondents claim a favorable view of China.
As the COVID-19 pandemic rages in the U.S., as many as 73% of U.S. respondents view China unfavorably.
Recently, the C.C.P. is losing its focus by continuously shifting targets. In fact, I believe there is no need for the C.C.P.to rely on nationalistic appeals, since in this new century values, business relations, and fair competition are all far more important than greater than delusive blood ties.
China lies only 130 kilometers away from us. Of course, we welcome dialogue and seek to avoid misjudgments. But we also distinguish between the C.C.P. and China. While we do welcome dialogue, but we will not be coerced to talk under unjust preconditions or in fear.
The only fair prerequisites are those of reciprocity, mutual respect as well as fairness and openness with respect for the rule of law.
Source: Pew Research Center
最近看到紐約時報中文版的一篇文章
<美國的川普,中國的「川建國」>,其中一小段是這樣的
「在中國,人們戲稱川普的中文名字是川建國。那是因為建國是共產黨愛國者中一個普遍的革命人名。它在諷刺地暗示川普對美國的治理不當實際上是在鞏固習近平的政權。」
裡面也提到,川普在任的幾年,國家更分裂,對於氣候變遷,傳統美國盟友,乃至於疫情處理等都相當拙劣,對於美國傳統的自由貿易、人權等價值也基本上都沒有太大興趣。這些方針,導致美國在世界的評價降低,波頓的新書也多有描述。
除此之外,許多不幸相信中共宣傳,又或者是中共圈養的小粉紅,特別故意愛宣傳川普增強中國的威望。
但這不是真的。
中共完全沒有掌握美國做得不夠好的地方,去增強其在世界的領導力。
在2016年時,秘魯的亞太峰會舉行期間,習近平政權爭取(RCEP)及亞太自由貿易區(FTAAP)談判;對比2017年初,美國剛宣布退出TPP,加上中國到「一帶一路」和亞洲基礎設施投資銀行,中國當時在世界全面發揮投資貿易、高科技併購還有其地緣戰略的影響力。
也是那個時候,各種的大國崛起、大國軍工、大國科技的宣傳影片此起彼落,似乎正準備要在世界舞台發光發熱。
這曾經是中共慢慢轉向的一個機會之窗。彼時(2017)美國盟友對美國總統的不信任度達到歷史新高,根據皮尤研究中心的資訊,英國對於美國總統的不信任度達到75%、日本72% 澳洲70% 法國更高達86%
如果那時中共開始有限度的改革,對內放寬言論自由,或者至少維持在胡溫當時的水中,對外追求有責任的基礎建設,逐步緩慢減低不公平的貿易壁壘,對於國有企業改革,增強私營企業、新創企業的活力。
停止對新疆迫害,不干預香港自治,不僅國際形象會大幅改善,哪怕是緩慢但是穩健的改革,也會讓大量吸引外資,讓中國的活力持續前進。
哪怕是什麼都不做也好
那或許有這麽一點可能性,中國「夢」是可以前行的
但是歷史機緣的大門已經關上。
習、禁、停、放棄了這個機會之窗,徹底的走向相反的方向。
更專制、更沒有彈性,更沒有任何制衡的力量。各種戰狼外交,讓瑞典議員提案驅逐中國大使,捷克布拉格市長與台北簽訂姊妹是,就解散上海與該市關係、被美國關閉領事館、各種讓中國形象低下的事情,中共都沒有少做。
中共不但完全沒有辦法取代美國,在多重國內外的衝擊之下,又是瘟疫,又是超大水患,緊接著蝗害,還有進來的糧食不足問題,正在面臨巨大的瓶頸。
而糧食的命脈,卻恰恰又在對他最不信任,對中共價值最反對的國家聯盟
根據皮尤研究中心:Pew Research Center2019調查各國對中國的喜好度,美國、阿根廷、英國、加拿大、德國、烏克蘭等,對於中國的喜好度都在30%上下
而2020疫情後美國對於中國的不信任度,更高達73%。
最近中共在演習,又要玩轉移目標的手段,對於中共,其實不必再有民族主義的同情,因為新的世紀,價值、商業模式、公平競爭的制度大於血緣幻想。
中國離我們只有130公里的距離,我們當然歡迎對話,避免誤判。但我們同時也區分中共與中國,歡迎對話,但不在前提、條件、恐懼之下對話。
如果真的要有前提,那就是對等、尊重,還有公平公開法治的方式會晤。
資料來源:皮尤研究中心:Pew Research Center
(美國著名的民調機構和智庫機構,https://www.pewresearch.org/)
「flexible相反」的推薦目錄:
- 關於flexible相反 在 陳冠廷 Kuan-Ting Chen Facebook 的精選貼文
- 關於flexible相反 在 Lab 11 Full Lift - Joanne Ng Facebook 的最佳貼文
- 關於flexible相反 在 叛逆中女 Facebook 的精選貼文
- 關於flexible相反 在 flexible相反的問題包括PTT、Dcard、Mobile01,我們都能挖掘 ... 的評價
- 關於flexible相反 在 flexible相反的問題包括PTT、Dcard、Mobile01,我們都能挖掘 ... 的評價
- 關於flexible相反 在 flexible相反的問題包括PTT、Dcard、Mobile01,我們都能挖掘 ... 的評價
- 關於flexible相反 在 Zombie 到底是Stiff 還是Rigid? 最近殭屍電影影集大為盛行 的評價
flexible相反 在 Lab 11 Full Lift - Joanne Ng Facebook 的最佳貼文
【想拥有蓬松饱满的卷发🆙,现在只需1个方法!】
也许你觉得头发是否蓬松对你而言不是那么重要,但是你知道蓬松头发会看了更饱满及有型🆒❗
如果想给别人留下一个好印象,那么自然浓密富有弹性的秀发👩🏻🦱~ 就显得必不可少了 ❤
相反的,扁塌的头发看了有点秃,而且头发显得稀少。
更重要的是LAB11 Full-Lift 里含有很高的维生素E,帮助无数顾客改善了脱发多年的困扰,让顾客用有一头浓密蓬松的秀发。别让秃头👩🏻🦲影响了你漂亮的脸蛋。
LAB11 Full-Lift 能够清理阻塞的毛囊,从你日常洗头去保养去护理你的头发,是改善发根的最好的清道夫!毛囊健康了,脱发问题自然解决啦。这么好的产品不值得你拥有吗?
Lab11 Full-Lift 为你的美丽加分✨养发的同时也为你打造发型🥰
🔔🔔🔔
想要有一头健康秀发,欢迎来询问我们:
📱 Facebook: www.facebook.com/Lab11international/
📱 Instagram: www.instagram.com/lab11_international/
📱 Whatsapp: wa.me/+60102200783
🔔🔔🔔
[Desire for a fluffy looking curly hair? Let us provide you the one and only solution!]
You may think that hair is just one part of your outlook, but think twice as they can be turned into your best accessory to showcase your charm and charisma.
In bringing good impression of yourself, an outlook of naturally thick yet flexible hair is a must have as flattened hair may look bald and dull.
LAB11 Full-Lift that contains high levels of vitamin E, had assisted countless customers in improving hair look matters over years and promotes healthy yet thick looking hair. LAB11 Full-Lift also able to clean up blocked hair follicles during daily wash, being the the best scavenger to improve hair roots!
So when the hair follicle is healthy, any problem causing hair loss would be naturally solved. Is it a good product worth to have?
Let Lab11 Full-Lift add points to your hair beauty now!
flexible相反 在 叛逆中女 Facebook 的精選貼文
繼 Pocari Sweat HK (Official) 同活色生香之後,連Pizza Hut都 #撤回 或暫停咗喺TVB嘅廣告。
坦白講,喺染紅嚴重嘅環境下,我唔相信有咁多「良心企業」,做生意嘅(特別係大公司)只會睇盤數,但事實係香港現時群情洶湧,即使商家無明確歸邊,在商言商,從傳統宣傳渠道退場實在喺明智之舉(淨係一大堆唔同範疇嘅KOL作無償宣傳已經值回票價,仲有大量市民喺短時間內瘋狂share達至嘅連鎖反應,背後嘅數字啲老細一定好滿意)。
同五年前相比,香港人真係進步咗好多,又或者咁講,新一代比我哋想像中更有腦、更flexible,我哋呢啲廢中仲未可以跳出舊有框架,都只係能夠跟住大隊做助力。
事情已經唔經唔覺發生咗成個月,令我驚嘆嘅唔止係香港人嘅創意,仲有耐性!畀著以前畀政府咁hea法?好多人都會不了了之返去繼續做不聞不問嘅港豬,但係原來香港人認真團結起嚟,嗰股共生效應係可以咁厲害!
我知好多同我哋持相反立場嘅人屌鳩我哋阻住嗰地球轉,但係如果有一個正確而且不容許半點灰色地帶存在嘅信念需要時間、堅持、耐性同恆心先維持到,我哋一定要繼續用呢種香港人獨有嘅「港式不合作運動」去推動唔同階層嘅人一齊反思!
#無一個人可以擺脫政治 #港式不合作活動 #叛逆中女 #手寫 #文字 #寫字 #書道 #繁體字 #廣東話 #calligraphy #handwriting #brushcalligraphy #inkdrawing #watercolor #brushlettering #brushpen
flexible相反 在 flexible相反的問題包括PTT、Dcard、Mobile01,我們都能挖掘 ... 的推薦與評價
為了解決 flexible相反 的問題,作者WilliamN.Bender 這樣論述:. 利用最新的研究成果,將差異化教學帶進當今的融合班級中這本書包羅萬象,針對翻轉教室、介入 ... ... <看更多>
flexible相反 在 flexible相反的問題包括PTT、Dcard、Mobile01,我們都能挖掘 ... 的推薦與評價
為了解決 flexible相反 的問題,作者WilliamN.Bender 這樣論述:. 利用最新的研究成果,將差異化教學帶進當今的融合班級中這本書包羅萬象,針對翻轉教室、介入&nbsp;... ... <看更多>
flexible相反 在 flexible相反的問題包括PTT、Dcard、Mobile01,我們都能挖掘 ... 的推薦與評價
為了解決 flexible相反 的問題,作者WilliamN.Bender 這樣論述:. 利用最新的研究成果,將差異化教學帶進當今的融合班級中這本書包羅萬象,針對翻轉教室、介入 ... ... <看更多>