【Joshua Wong speaking to the Italian Senate】#意大利國會研討會演說 —— 呼籲世界在大學保衛戰一週年後與香港人站在同一陣線
中文、意大利文演說全文:https://www.patreon.com/posts/44167118
感謝開創未來基金會(Fondazione Farefuturo)邀請,讓我透過視像方式在意大利國會裡舉辦的研討會發言,呼籲世界繼續關注香港,與香港人站在同一陣線。
意大利作為絕無僅有參與一帶一路發展的國家,理應對中共打壓有更全面的理解,如今正值大學保衛戰一週年,以致大搜捕的時刻,當打壓更為嚴峻,香港更需要世界與我們同行。
為了讓各地朋友也能更了解香港狀況,我已在Patreon發佈當天演說的中文、英文和意大利文發言稿,盼望在如此困難的時勢裡,繼續讓世界知道我們未曾心息的反抗意志。
【The Value of Freedom: Burning Questions for Hong Kongers】
Good morning. I have the privilege today to share some of my thoughts and reflections about freedom, after taking part in social activism for eight years in Hong Kong. A movement calling for the withdrawal of the extradition law starting from last year had escalated into a demand for democracy and freedom. This city used to be prestigious for being the world’s most liberal economy, but now the infamous authoritarian government took away our freedom to election, freedom of assembly, freedom of expression and ideas.
Sometimes, we cannot avoid questioning the cause we are fighting for, the value of freedom. Despite a rather bleak prospect, why do we have to continue in this struggle? Why do we have to cherish freedom? What can we do to safeguard freedom at home and stay alert to attacks on freedom? In answering these questions, I hope to walk through three episodes in the previous year.
Turning to 2020, protests are not seen as frequently as they used to be on the media lens, partly because of the pandemic, but more importantly for the authoritarian rule. While the world is busy fighting the pandemic, our government took advantage of the virus to exert a tighter grip over our freedom. Putting the emergency laws in place, public assemblies in Hong Kong were banned. Most recently, a rally to support press freedom organized by journalists was also forbidden. While many people may ask if it is the end of street activism, ahead of us in the fight for freedom is another battleground: the court and the prison.
Freedom Fighters in Courtrooms and in Jail
Part of the huge cost incurred in the fight for freedom and democracy in Hong Kong is the increasing judicial casualties. As of today, more than 10 thousand people have been arrested since the movement broke out, more than a hundred of them are already locked up in prison. Among the 2,300 protestors who are prosecuted, 700 of them may be sentenced up to ten years for rioting charges.
Putting these figures into context, I wish to tell you what life is like, as a youngster in today’s Hong Kong. I was humbled by a lot of younger protestors and students whose exceptional maturity are demonstrated in courtrooms and in prison. What is thought to be normal university life is completely out of the question because very likely the neighbour next door or the roommate who cooked you lunch today will be thrown to jail on the next.
I do prison visits a few times a month to talk to activists who are facing criminal charges or serving sentences for their involvement in the movement. It is not just a routine of my political work, but it becomes my life as an activist. Since the movement, prison visits has also become the daily lives of many families.
But it is always an unpleasant experience passing through the iron gates one after one to enter the visitors’ room, speaking to someone who is deprived of liberty, for a selflessly noble cause. As an activist serving three brief jail terms, I understand that the banality of the four walls is not the most difficult to endure in jail. What is more unbearable is the control of thought and ideas in every single part of our daily routine enforced by the prison system. It will diminish your ability to think critically and the worst of it will persuade you to give up on what you are fighting for, if you have not prepared it well. Three years ago when I wrote on the first page of prison letters, which later turned into a publication called the ‘Unfree Speech’, I was alarmed at the environment of the prison cell. Those letters were written in a state in which freedom was deprived of and in which censorship was obvious. It brings us to question ourselves: other than physical constraints like prison bars, what makes us continue in the fight for freedom and democracy?
Mutual Support to activists behind-the-scene
The support for this movement is undiminished over these 17 months. There are many beautiful parts in the movement that continue to revitalise the ways we contribute to this city, instead of making money on our own in the so-called global financial centre. In particular, it is the fraternity, the mutual assistance among protestors that I cherished the most.
As more protestors are arrested, people offer help and assistance wholeheartedly -- we sit in court hearings even if we don’t know each other, and do frequent prison visits and write letters to protesters in detention. In major festivals and holidays, people gathered outside the prison to chant slogans so that they won’t feel alone and disconnected. This is the most touching part to me for I also experienced life in jail.
The cohesion, the connection and bonding among protestors are the cornerstone to the movement. At the same time, these virtues gave so much empowerment to the mass public who might not be able to fight bravely in the escalating protests. These scenes are not able to be captured by cameras, but I’m sure it is some of the most important parts of Hong Kong’s movement that I hope the world will remember.
I believe this mutual support transcends nationality or territory because the value of freedom does not alter in different places. More recently, Twelve Hongkong activists, all involved in the movement last year, were kidnapped by China’s coastal guard when fleeing to Taiwan for political refugee in late-August. All of them are now detained secretly in China, with the youngest aged only 16. We suspect they are under torture during detention and we call for help on the international level, putting up #SAVE12 campaign on twitter. In fact, how surprising it is to see people all over the world standing with the dozen detained protestors for the same cause. I’m moved by activists in Italy, who barely knew these Hong Kong activists, even took part in a hunger strike last month calling for immediate release of them. This form of interconnectivity keeps us in spirit and to continue our struggle to freedom and democracy.
Understanding Value of freedom in the university battle
A year ago on this day, Hong Kong was embroiled in burning clashes as the police besieged the Polytechnic University. It was a day we will not forget and this wound is still bleeding in the hearts of many Hong Kongers. A journalist stationed in the university at that time once told me that being at the scene could only remind him of the Tiananmen Square Massacre 31 years ago in Beijing. There was basically no exit except going for the dangerous sewage drains.
That day, thousands of people, old or young, flocked to districts close to the university before dawn, trying to rescue protestors trapped inside the campus. The reinforcements faced grave danger too, for police raided every corner of the small streets and alleys, arresting a lot of them. Among the 800+ arrested on a single day, 213 people were charged with rioting. For sure these people know there will be repercussions. It is the conscience driving them to take to the streets regardless of the danger, the conscience that we should stand up to brutality and authoritarianism, and ultimately to fight for freedoms that are guaranteed in our constitution. As my dear friend, Brian Leung once said, ‘’Hong Kong Belongs to Everyone Who Shares Its Pain’’. I believe the value of freedom is exemplified through our compassion to whom we love, so much that we are willing to sacrifice the freedom of our own.
Defending freedom behind the bars
No doubt there is a terrible price to pay in standing up to the Beijing and Hong Kong government. But after serving a few brief jail sentences and facing the continuing threat of harassment, I learnt to cherish the freedom I have for now, and I shall devote every bit what I have to strive for the freedom of those who have been ruthlessly denied.
The three episodes I shared with you today -- the courtroom, visiting prisoners and the battle of university continue to remind me of the fact that the fight for freedom has not ended yet. In the coming months, I will be facing a maximum of 5 years in jail for unauthorized assembly and up to one ridiculous year for wearing a mask in protest. But prison bars would never stop me from activism and thinking critically.
I only wish that during my absence, you can continue to stand with the people of Hong Kong, by following closely to the development, no matter the ill-fated election, the large-scale arrest under National Security Law or the twelve activists in China. To defy the greatest human rights abusers is the essential way to restore democracy of our generation, and the generation following us.
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同時也有3部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過8萬的網紅范琪斐,也在其Youtube影片中提到,美中最近感情不太好,任何一點風吹草動都可能擦槍走火,上個禮拜,兩國外交戰火差點又被一張照片點燃了!美國國務卿蓬佩奧(Mike Pompeo)上傳一張寵物犬梅沙(Mercer)的照片,地上還擺著牠最愛的玩具,但正中間這隻…扼…好像有點尷尬,「小熊維尼」近年被網友當成對岸領導人的惡搞化身,大家應該都不陌...
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nationality中文 在 范琪斐的美國時間 Facebook 的最讚貼文
美中最近感情不太好,任何一點風吹草動都可能擦槍走火,上個禮拜,兩國外交戰火差點又被一張照片點燃了!美國國務卿蓬佩奧(Mike Pompeo)上傳一張寵物犬梅沙(Mercer)的照片,地上還擺著牠最愛的玩具,但正中間這隻…扼…好像有點尷尬,「小熊維尼」近年被網友當成對岸領導人的惡搞化身,大家應該都不陌生,蓬佩奧恐怕也不會不知道,這張曬狗照就引發聯想了,難道是在暗指「咬殺維尼」嗎?怎麼不找個跳跳虎、米老鼠、不然凱莉的妹妹凱蒂貓都好啊?但偏偏是小熊維尼,這真的沒有故意嗎?還好那個梅沙看起來慈眉善目,年幼無知的樣子,要是換這隻來就更不得了。
而就在這張照片引發政治解讀的同時,美國又傳出,川普政府打算禁止所有中國共產黨員入境美國,再為美中關係投下震撼彈。美國聯邦法律「移民與國籍法」(Immigration and Nationality Act)裡面規定,如果美國總統覺得哪些外國人入境後,可能危害美國利益,就可以宣布禁止他們入境,禁多久也由總統自行裁量。川普2017年就曾經援引這條法律,對七個穆斯林國家發布旅遊禁令,雖然鬧上最高法院,但最後是被裁定合法喔~所以川普現在打算如法炮製,這次把目標換成中國共產黨員以及他們的家屬,已經在美國境內的人,取消簽證、驅逐出境!
《紐約時報》引述四位知情人士的消息爆料說,這紙禁令還在草擬階段,根據中國官方數據,中國共產黨員約有9200萬人,但美方估計,如果把家屬計算在內,禁令可能影響2.7億人。如此廣泛的禁令將是自2018年兩國貿易戰開始以來,美國對中國採取的最具挑釁性的行動!
中國全部人口突破14億,2.7億是20%的人口,平均每五人就有一人。而且人家臉上不會寫著「我是中共黨員」啊,美國政府要怎麼確認?真的要執行起來難度很高吧?
況且「入黨」可以說是中國人生活中再平凡不過的一部分,想要升官升學發大財,入黨者得優勢,但並不代表一定支持官方的意識形態呀;對川普這個舉動,中國外交部發言人華春瑩嗆聲說:如果報導屬實,只能讓人感到美國的「可悲」,但民間態度就不太一樣了。
不少中國網友表示,他支持!因為他們不爽高官捲款赴美安享晚年,還拜託川普「認真處理」,幫中國老百姓抓貪官。但專家認為,禁令一旦上路,勢必會引發中方報復,同樣拒絕美國公民入境中國,讓美中關係雪上加霜。全球最大的兩個經濟體,從跨海叫罵升級到相互制裁階段。這場新冷戰開打,美國真的挺得住嗎?還是一個修昔底德陷阱?
修昔底德陷阱是指一個新崛起的大國必然要挑戰現存大國,而現存大國也必然來回應這種威脅,這樣戰爭變得不可避免。所以美中真的會走向這條路嗎?
雖然「去中國化」已經成為川普競選連任的主打歌,但專家普遍認為,美國和中國翻臉百害無一利,還恐怕出現嚴重「戒斷症」。我們舉幾個例子,先拿禁中共黨員入境這件事來說,將直接衝擊到旅遊消費和房地產板塊。
在疫情爆發前,赴美外國旅客人數,中國排名第五,2019年共有280萬人次,雖然人數不是最多,但中國遊客卻是最會買的,他們停留期間平均會消費6700美元(約20萬台幣),比其他國際遊客多了50%,許多高檔精品店根本是靠中國遊客的荷包吃飯的。
另一份數據顯示,從2005年到2015年,中國在美國的旅遊支出增長了8倍,2015年中國遊客為美國經濟貢獻了270億美元;而許多中國高官雖然嘴巴上反美,但都私下在美國置產,拚命把小孩往美國送,根據全美不動產協會(NAR)的數據, 2018年中國人購買的美國房地產,總價值高達320億美元,其中10%是買給留學子女住,比例超過任何國際買家。
出口上,美國農業部門十分仰賴中國市場。根據統計,美國的三大出口國,冠亞軍是鄰居加拿大(18%)和墨西哥(16%),第三名就是中國,2019年出口額佔了6.6%,也是增長最快的市場。先前的美中貿易戰,就導致原本應該銷往中國的大批美國農產品賣不出去,2019年家庭農場破產案例比前一年增加近20%。
就算美國人能撂下狠話,說你中國人的錢我不賺了,問題還沒有解決。中國是世界工廠是叫假的?現在美國吃的穿的用的,連保險套都是Made In China。最傷感情的就是,川普天天在那邊Chinese virus,Chinese virus罵中國是病毒發源地,但美國還是跟中國買了一大堆醫療器材。從4月起陸續空運到美國,光是第一架就載了80噸,舉凡口罩,防護衣,手套,溫度計,呼吸器,測試劑全都要跟中國買,連挖鼻子做採樣的棉花棒,這麼基本的東西都要跟中國買。
但是中國的產品良率有問題啊,N95不是N95,只有N而已,no good。你當他不知道嗎?都知道,英國,西班牙,義大利,比利時,芬蘭,加拿大,都抱怨過了,美國怎麼會不知道?但不買行嗎? 你美國企業為了省錢,把所有的工廠搬過去一二十年了,美國國內自己根本都不產了。美國現在給COVID-19教訓了一頓,知道不能這樣搞,兩黨有共識,這些要救命的器材不能仰賴別人,要自己做。現在美國死了十幾萬人,確診病例快四百萬,夠急了吧?連這麼急的產業,據估計美國製造業能趕上進度,都要好幾年的時間,所以那些比較不急的,沒有一下子不會死的,像汽車,你覺得要花多少年製造業會搬回美國?
根據《日經中文網》的研究,中國的製造業生產每減少100億美元,對美國的直接和間接衝擊就高達650億美元,川普想要擺脫對中國的依賴,恐怕經歷多年陣痛期。而且中國其實是美國的海外金主爸爸喔,目前中國持有1.08兆美元的美國國債,僅次於日本(1.26兆美元)(第三名英國3935億美元),為美國預算赤字提供了大筆資金。
這波疫情讓美國經濟面臨「大蕭條等級」的經濟危機,目前經濟學家們分成兩派,一派認為美國為了自身利益,應該放棄貿易戰,想盡辦法挽救當前經濟,美中貿易戰只會兩敗俱傷;而另一派經濟學家則認為,美國應該繼續升級貿易戰,一方面向中國索討更多利益,同時也能報復中國的防疫不利,但其實兩派殊途同歸,都不能否認在疫情後,美國經濟對中國的需求勢必增加,不過隨著美國總統大選逼近,出於政治利益,預料美國將繼續攻擊中國,讓貿易戰持續升級。如果川普連任成功,「去中國化」可能成為第二任施政重點,就算民主黨拜登當選,在美國反中情緒高漲的氣氛下,也不至於貿然向中國靠攏,因此無論民主黨、共和黨誰執政,未來幾年內,美國很可能會在中國問題上採取更強硬的立場。
美中攜手發展經濟,已經20多年,短時間內想要無痛脫鉤,專家學者們都打了大問號。蓬佩奧坦言,美中經濟一體化程度高,中國外長王毅也說,美中關係發展至今已經很難「不顧實際強行脫鉤」。雖然美中不至於真的實質上開戰,但你認為這場貿易版的「修昔底德陷阱」,有可能避免嗎?
今天琪斐大放送的關鍵字是:
#美禁中共黨員
#脫鉤美恐重傷
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《#范琪斐的寰宇漫遊》每周四晚間8點55分在 #寰宇新聞台 播出,沒跟上的也沒關係,歡迎訂閱我們的 YouTube 頻道 🔔#范琪斐的寰宇漫遊 🔔https://reurl.cc/ZvKM3 1000pm準時上傳完整版!
nationality中文 在 林易瑩 台南市議員 Facebook 的最佳貼文
台灣,我們的國家,一直以來便以充滿自由、民主、多元、包容的價值而自豪,身為國際的一份子,即便不被他國認同,我們依然願意敞開大門、伸出援手,如同蔡英文總統說的Taiwan is helping,因為這是我們深信的價值,現在如是、未來亦如是。
我們已經把蔡總統的文章轉換成簡體中文了,請大家分享出去,讓FB上的 #外國朋友們,也能看到我們台灣人一直對自身所堅持的價值感到驕傲。
简体中文翻译:
对于今天台湾被指控在国际社会上发动种族歧视攻击的言论,我要表达强烈的抗议。台湾向来反对任何形式的歧视,我们长年被排除在国际组织之外,比谁都知道被歧视和孤立是什么滋味。
借着今天这个机会,我想要邀请世界卫生组织谭德塞干事长(Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus)访问台湾,感受一下台湾人民如何努力在遭受歧视和孤立之中,坚持走向世界、贡献国际社会。
在世界各地,包括谭德塞干事长的家乡在内,都可以看到台湾的医疗人员和志愿工作者无私奉献的身影,台湾人不会用肤色、语言去区分他人,所有人都是我们的兄弟姐妹。台湾,从来没有因为无法加入国际组织,就减少对国际的支持。
疫情期间,台湾倾全国之力防疫,成绩也受到世界瞩目。即使世界卫生组织因为政治的操弄将台湾排除在门外,我们还是扛起国际社会成员的责任,主动援助口罩等防疫物资,给疫情严重国家的医护人员。
#TaiwanCanHelp,而且Taiwan is helping,这一点,从来不会因为国度或种族而有差别。
自由、民主、多元、包容,是台湾人坚信的价值,我们不会接受利用种族歧视的言论,来攻击不同意见的人。如果谭德塞干事长能抵挡中国的压力,踏上台湾的土地,就能了解到我们对防疫的努力,并且理解真正受到不公平待遇的,其实是台湾人民。我相信只有台湾的加入,世界卫生组织的拼图才会完整。
英文原文:
I strongly protest the accusations today that Taiwan is instigating racist attacks in the international community. Taiwan has always opposed all forms of discrimination. For years, we have been excluded from international organizations, and we know better than anyone else what it feels like to be discriminated against and isolated.
I want to take this opportunity to invite Director-General Tedros to visit Taiwan and experience for himself how committed the Taiwanese people are to engaging with and contributing to the world, even in the face of discrimination and isolation.
Taiwan’s selfless medical workers and volunteers can be found around the world. The Taiwanese people do not differentiate by skin color or language; all of us are brothers and sisters. We have never let our inability to join international organizations lessen our support for the international community.
Taiwan has poured all of its efforts into stopping the spread of COVID-19, and our achievements have received a great deal of attention from around the world. Despite being excluded from the WHO due to political manipulation, we have shouldered our responsibility as a member of the international community and taken the initiative to donate face masks and other supplies to medical workers in countries hit hardest by the coronavirus pandemic.
#TaiwanCanHelp, and the spirit of Taiwan is Helping has never been influenced by nationality or race.
Taiwan is dedicated to the values of freedom, democracy, diversity, and tolerance. We do not condone the use of racist remarks to attack those with different opinions. If Director-General Tedros could withstand pressure from China and come to Taiwan to see Taiwan’s efforts to fight COVID-19 for himself, he would be able to see that the Taiwanese people are the true victims of unfair treatment. I believe that the WHO will only truly be complete if Taiwan is included.
nationality中文 在 范琪斐 Youtube 的最讚貼文
美中最近感情不太好,任何一點風吹草動都可能擦槍走火,上個禮拜,兩國外交戰火差點又被一張照片點燃了!美國國務卿蓬佩奧(Mike Pompeo)上傳一張寵物犬梅沙(Mercer)的照片,地上還擺著牠最愛的玩具,但正中間這隻…扼…好像有點尷尬,「小熊維尼」近年被網友當成對岸領導人的惡搞化身,大家應該都不陌生,蓬佩奧恐怕也不會不知道,這張曬狗照就引發聯想了,難道是在暗指「咬殺維尼」嗎?怎麼不找個跳跳虎、米老鼠、不然凱莉的妹妹凱蒂貓都好啊?但偏偏是小熊維尼,這真的沒有故意嗎?還好那個梅沙看起來慈眉善目,年幼無知的樣子,要是換這隻來就更不得了。
而就在這張照片引發政治解讀的同時,美國又傳出,川普政府打算禁止所有中國共產黨員入境美國,再為美中關係投下震撼彈。美國聯邦法律「移民與國籍法」(Immigration and Nationality Act)裡面規定,如果美國總統覺得哪些外國人入境後,可能危害美國利益,就可以宣布禁止他們入境,禁多久也由總統自行裁量。川普2017年就曾經援引這條法律,對七個穆斯林國家發布旅遊禁令,雖然鬧上最高法院,但最後是被裁定合法喔~所以川普現在打算如法炮製,這次把目標換成中國共產黨員以及他們的家屬,已經在美國境內的人,取消簽證、驅逐出境!
《紐約時報》引述四位知情人士的消息爆料說,這紙禁令還在草擬階段,根據中國官方數據,中國共產黨員約有9200萬人,但美方估計,如果把家屬計算在內,禁令可能影響2.7億人。如此廣泛的禁令將是自2018年兩國貿易戰開始以來,美國對中國採取的最具挑釁性的行動!
中國全部人口突破14億,2.7億是20%的人口,平均每五人就有一人。而且人家臉上不會寫著「我是中共黨員」啊,美國政府要怎麼確認?真的要執行起來難度很高吧?
況且「入黨」可以說是中國人生活中再平凡不過的一部分,想要升官升學發大財,入黨者得優勢,但並不代表一定支持官方的意識形態呀;對川普這個舉動,中國外交部發言人華春瑩嗆聲說:如果報導屬實,只能讓人感到美國的「可悲」,但民間態度就不太一樣了。
不少中國網友表示,他支持!因為他們不爽高官捲款赴美安享晚年,還拜託川普「認真處理」,幫中國老百姓抓貪官。但專家認為,禁令一旦上路,勢必會引發中方報復,同樣拒絕美國公民入境中國,讓美中關係雪上加霜。全球最大的兩個經濟體,從跨海叫罵升級到相互制裁階段。這場新冷戰開打,美國真的挺得住嗎?還是一個修昔底德陷阱?
修昔底德陷阱是指一個新崛起的大國必然要挑戰現存大國,而現存大國也必然來回應這種威脅,這樣戰爭變得不可避免。所以美中真的會走向這條路嗎?
雖然「去中國化」已經成為川普競選連任的主打歌,但專家普遍認為,美國和中國翻臉百害無一利,還恐怕出現嚴重「戒斷症」。我們舉幾個例子,先拿禁中共黨員入境這件事來說,將直接衝擊到旅遊消費和房地產板塊。
在疫情爆發前,赴美外國旅客人數,中國排名第五,2019年共有280萬人次,雖然人數不是最多,但中國遊客卻是最會買的,他們停留期間平均會消費6700美元(約20萬台幣),比其他國際遊客多了50%,許多高檔精品店根本是靠中國遊客的荷包吃飯的。
另一份數據顯示,從2005年到2015年,中國在美國的旅遊支出增長了8倍,2015年中國遊客為美國經濟貢獻了270億美元;而許多中國高官雖然嘴巴上反美,但都私下在美國置產,拚命把小孩往美國送,根據全美不動產協會(NAR)的數據, 2018年中國人購買的美國房地產,總價值高達320億美元,其中10%是買給留學子女住,比例超過任何國際買家。
出口上,美國農業部門十分仰賴中國市場。根據統計,美國的三大出口國,冠亞軍是鄰居加拿大(18%)和墨西哥(16%),第三名就是中國,2019年出口額佔了6.6%,也是增長最快的市場。先前的美中貿易戰,就導致原本應該銷往中國的大批美國農產品賣不出去,2019年家庭農場破產案例比前一年增加近20%。
就算美國人能撂下狠話,說你中國人的錢我不賺了,問題還沒有解決。中國是世界工廠是叫假的?現在美國吃的穿的用的,連保險套都是Made In China。最傷感情的就是,川普天天在那邊Chinese virus,Chinese virus罵中國是病毒發源地,但美國還是跟中國買了一大堆醫療器材。從4月起陸續空運到美國,光是第一架就載了80噸,舉凡口罩,防護衣,手套,溫度計,呼吸器,測試劑全都要跟中國買,連挖鼻子做採樣的棉花棒,這麼基本的東西都要跟中國買。
但是中國的產品良率有問題啊,N95不是N95,只有N而已,no good。你當他不知道嗎?都知道,英國,西班牙,義大利,比利時,芬蘭,加拿大,都抱怨過了,美國怎麼會不知道?但不買行嗎? 你美國企業為了省錢,把所有的工廠搬過去一二十年了,美國國內自己根本都不產了。美國現在給COVID-19教訓了一頓,知道不能這樣搞,兩黨有共識,這些要救命的器材不能仰賴別人,要自己做。現在美國死了十幾萬人,確診病例快四百萬,夠急了吧?連這麼急的產業,據估計美國製造業能趕上進度,都要好幾年的時間,所以那些比較不急的,沒有一下子不會死的,像汽車,你覺得要花多少年製造業會搬回美國?
根據《日經中文網》的研究,中國的製造業生產每減少100億美元,對美國的直接和間接衝擊就高達650億美元,川普想要擺脫對中國的依賴,恐怕經歷多年陣痛期。而且中國其實是美國的海外金主爸爸喔,目前中國持有1.08兆美元的美國國債,僅次於日本(1.26兆美元)(第三名英國3935億美元),為美國預算赤字提供了大筆資金。
這波疫情讓美國經濟面臨「大蕭條等級」的經濟危機,目前經濟學家們分成兩派,一派認為美國為了自身利益,應該放棄貿易戰,想盡辦法挽救當前經濟,美中貿易戰只會兩敗俱傷;而另一派經濟學家則認為,美國應該繼續升級貿易戰,一方面向中國索討更多利益,同時也能報復中國的防疫不利,但其實兩派殊途同歸,都不能否認在疫情後,美國經濟對中國的需求勢必增加,不過隨著美國總統大選逼近,出於政治利益,預料美國將繼續攻擊中國,讓貿易戰持續升級。如果川普連任成功,「去中國化」可能成為第二任施政重點,就算民主黨拜登當選,在美國反中情緒高漲的氣氛下,也不至於貿然向中國靠攏,因此無論民主黨、共和黨誰執政,未來幾年內,美國很可能會在中國問題上採取更強硬的立場。
美中攜手發展經濟,已經20多年,短時間內想要無痛脫鉤,專家學者們都打了大問號。蓬佩奧坦言,美中經濟一體化程度高,中國外長王毅也說,美中關係發展至今已經很難「不顧實際強行脫鉤」。雖然美中不至於真的實質上開戰,但你認為這場貿易版的「修昔底德陷阱」,有可能避免嗎?
今天琪斐大放送的關鍵字是:
#美禁中共黨員
#脫鉤美恐重傷
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《#范琪斐的寰宇漫遊》每周四晚間8點55分在 #寰宇新聞台 播出,沒跟上的也沒關係,歡迎訂閱我們的 YouTube 頻道 🔔#范琪斐的寰宇漫遊 🔔https://reurl.cc/ZvKM3 1000pm準時上傳完整版!
nationality中文 在 Birgitte Yuzhen Youtube 的最佳貼文
#学中文 #Mandarin #BeginnerChinese #learnchinese
This video is designed for Chinese learners of Chinese. If you are a student of Chinese HSK 1 or CEFR A1, this video will be perfect for you!
Learning topics:
Name, nationality, age
Please note: This video will be taught in German. If you are a non-German native speaker, remember to open the subtitles!
這個影片是針對中文的華語學習者設計的。如果你是中文HSK 1 或 CEFR A1 的學生,這個影片會很適合你!
學習主題:
名字 , 國籍 , 年紀
請注意:這個影片會用德語教授,如果你是非德語母語人,要記得打開字幕喔!
这个影片是针对中文的华语学习者设计的。如果你是中文HSK 1 或 CEFR A1 的学生,这个影片会很适合你!
学习主题:
名字 , 国籍 , 年纪
请注意:这个影片会用德语教授,如果你是非德语母语人,要记得打开字幕喔!
nationality中文 在 阿兜仔不教美語 Youtube 的最讚貼文
你覺得台灣人用外表來判斷人的國籍、母語或是行為嗎?(Do you think Taiwanese judge others nationality, language or behaviour by their appearance?)
想看更多的影片嗎?(Do you want more?)▶▶ http://pics.ee/gTP
【黑素斯series】
挖啥米?(Whasami?)▶▶ http://pics.ee/j~C
台灣人(People)▶▶ http://pics.ee/gSM
台灣地方(Places)▶▶ http://pics.ee/gSP
台灣人講話(Talk)▶▶ http://pics.ee/gSR
台灣特色(What´s up in TW?)▶▶ http://pics.ee/gSR
隨便(Whatever) ▶▶ http://pics.ee/gfn
阿兜仔X來賓(Collaboration)▶▶ http://pics.ee/gSO
怎麼念▶▶ http://pics.ee/gzl
【黑素斯web】
Facebook ▶▶ http://lnk.pics/cqM
訂閱 ▶▶ http://lnk.pics/csG
Youtube ▶▶ http://lnk.pics/cqK
Instagram ▶▶ http://lnk.pics/cqL
Twitter ▶▶ http://lnk.pics/csH
G+ ▶▶ http://lnk.pics/csF
【特別感謝 】
Annie Lin
Emily Chen
東森噪咖
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