🌻
美國聯準會(Fed)在美東時間22日下午2時(台灣23日凌晨2時)宣布利率維持在趨近零的水準,但暗示升息可能會比預期來得快一些,同時也大幅下修今年的經濟展望。
https://udn.com/news/story/6811/5764746
🌻Adobe(ADBE)電話會議內容讀後感
ADBE前兩天發表財報了.
這次ADBE在財報後下跌, 主要是兩個原因(如下). 不過個人覺得是瑕不掩瑜:
1. 因為之前已經漲了不少(投資人期望太高)
2. 因為Digital Marketing這部分的業務受到季節性的影響, 所以表現不是很突出(沒有比預期高出很多)
a. net new Digital Media ARR (3% beat vs guide, vs 15% beat in 2Q21 vs 35% beat in 3Q20).
b. 有分析師在問(“Maybe just -- can we double-click on the seasonality commentary in the quarter? Because if we look at the beat versus guidance on net new digital media ARR, it looks, at the same time you had the weakest beat, but then the strongest guide in the last three years, which kind of speaks to and confirm some of those seasonality comments that you made.)
i. 高層對此的回答是, 主要是疫情後, 加上正值夏季, 大家的日子回復到正常&放假外出, 所以這部分的業務有受到影響(I think going into the quarter, we had expected that the consumer with a little bit more return to normalcy as what's happening in the environment.)
ii. 高層又說了一些話, 不過重點就是他不認為這是甚麼大事”So, net-net, I would say that the growth prospects for that particular business and the growth drivers remain intact. But again, very much in line. And this is what we feel good about the insights that we're getting on the business.”
iii. 也提到, Q4通常會是digital marketing業務的旺季(表現會不俗的意思)
另外, 覺得這次令我印象深刻的是, 當高層與分析師提到這些事情:
• 常在一些公司的電話會議中提到omnichannel這個字(疫情後, 更明顯了). 這次高層也有提到. ADBE可說是omnichannel概念股:
o “I mean, a big part of that is more and more companies are thirdly doing the multi-channel omnichannel, whatever they want to call it. And I think that's only going to continue to be a driver of our Digital Experience Solutions. Because today that stable stakes and so we just look at it and say whether you're shopping in-store over they are shopping online. You need a solution that treats you like a customer that we know of.”
• 網路上影片(video)的興起, 以及串流影音, 有提高了Adobe的營收天花板(用句分析師的術語, 就是TAM (total addressable market) expansion.
• 當使用者製作了越來越多的內容, 內容管理(content management)的能力就越顯重要, 內容上的流程管理(workflow)也越顯重要. Adobe的產品能夠幫內容製作者解決這樣的問題.
• 而Adobe各產品間的相容性, 標準化, 整合能力, 是它的競爭優勢之一:
o And one of the things we did really well is what we called our named user deployment and how, you know, when we have these enterprise licensing agreements, we offer enterprises the ability to download and distribute within the companies. And the more we do training and evangelism of the products, that leads to adoption. So, I would say there's an element of standardization, there's an element of more content.
而最近ADBE有個新聞, 引起了我的注意, 就是它即將在自己的平台上, 提供付款服務(payment service). 根據之前研究SHOP的經驗, 這有可能會對股價造成一定的漲幅:
On Sept. 15, Adobe announced that it will add payment services to its e-commerce platform this year to help merchants accept credit cards and other ways of paying. The move will deepen Adobe's rivalry with e-commerce firm Shopify (SHOP).
For the service, Adobe has partnered with PayPal (PYPL), which will process a variety of payment types, including credit and debit cards as well as PayPal's own payment and buy-now-pay-later offerings.
https://www.investors.com/news/technology/adbe-stock-adobe-beats-fiscal-q3-targets/
接下來該怎麼辦? 對於基本面良好的公司如ADBE, 我能說的就是buy the dip(逢低買進)了. 供參.
🌻The Facebook Files
一個星期前, WSJ上面有個關於FB的大篇幅調查報導. 有興趣的可以看看.
The Facebook Files
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-facebook-files-11631713039
這篇文章挺長, 也沒有看到華爾街中文版本的完整翻譯, 不過可以看看這篇:
https://on.wsj.com/2ZmFimp
"《華爾街日報》的相關調查顯示,這家社交媒體巨頭心知肚明,其平台會傷害用戶,而且是以該公司常常完全了解的方式造成傷害。目前,全球近半數人口都是Facebook旗下平台的用戶。其中一些證據尤其令人不安:據《華爾街日報》報導,Facebook的內部研究顯示,在報告稱有過自殺念頭的青少年中當中,有13%的英國用戶和6%的美國用戶把這種念頭歸結於Instagram。"
另一篇相關新聞:
https://www.thenewslens.com/article/156683
"《華爾街日報》於13日揭露Facebook的XCheck系統,也就是內部系統中的VIP名單,數百萬名人、政治人物與記者等知名公眾人物都在特別的一份「白名單」之內。"
"這些「貴賓」在社群上發布的內容可以躲過一般的審查系統,即使發布明顯的不當內容,也不會立即被刪除。《衛報》報導,Facebook的獨立監督委員會表示,在閱讀該篇報導後,決定要審查XCheck系統,並要求Facebook對其進行報告與解釋。"
🌻我喜歡的Apple TV影集, "Ted Lasso", 是這次艾美獎的大贏家, 很多主要演員都得獎了.
很高興這兩年, 因為有這部戲的陪伴, 讓我撐過了疫情, 家人離世, 以及一些烏煙瘴氣的事情.
前幾天看演員的得獎影片, 一位娛樂記者問得獎的男配角(也是編劇之一)說, 你覺得這部片的核心思想是甚麼. 他說, be curious, not judgemental.
就像得獎的女演員在劇中一開始是很鴨霸很壞心的球隊主人, 但這樣做是因為被前夫傷透了心, 所以想要弄垮離婚後分到的財產(也是前夫的最愛--球隊); 外表看起來永遠陽光燦爛做啦啦隊的男主角, 在青少年時父親自殺, 造成了他心裡永遠的痛&障礙(讓他在球賽時, 會有突發恐懼症).
我們每個人其實都有很多面, 很多個故事. 尤其在社群, 大家都是萍水相逢, 對彼此的了解都是非常片面的; 而有時候在社群裡, 看到有人會因為只看到一個面向, 就去下斷語. 這其實是人之常情很難避免, 所以我們需要常用第二層思考去提醒自己. 社群裡需要更多的同理心.
“Be curious, not judgmental” – Walt Whitman(惠特曼)(美國詩人)
Picture來源:
https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2021/09/apples-global-hit-comedy-series-ted-lasso-sweeps-the-2021-primetime-emmy-awards-scoring-history-making-win-for-outstanding-comedy-series/
同時也有509部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過11萬的網紅Lukas Engström,也在其Youtube影片中提到,The first 1,000 people to use this link will get a 1 month free trial of Skillshare: https://skl.sh/lukasengstrm09211 Do you want to see MORE videos ...
「what if中文」的推薦目錄:
- 關於what if中文 在 貓的成長美股異想世界 Facebook 的最佳解答
- 關於what if中文 在 Eric's English Lounge Facebook 的最讚貼文
- 關於what if中文 在 D.A. Facebook 的最佳解答
- 關於what if中文 在 Lukas Engström Youtube 的最佳解答
- 關於what if中文 在 Lukas Engström Youtube 的最佳解答
- 關於what if中文 在 Lukas Engström Youtube 的最佳解答
- 關於what if中文 在 Re: [問題] 有板友讀過"What If?"中文版嗎?值得買嗎? 的評價
- 關於what if中文 在 if中文官網 的評價
- 關於what if中文 在 Community Guidelines strike basics - YouTube Help 的評價
what if中文 在 Eric's English Lounge Facebook 的最讚貼文
翻轉視界 18 Changing Perspective
There's not just one road to the destination, but many roads. You just need to take the little step that’s right in front of you, and then the next one, and a few years down the track, they will seem like massive achievements.
通往目的地的路不止一條,有很多路可走。你只需要邁出眼前這一小步,然後再邁出下一步,幾年下來,將會成為巨大成就。
文章來自於New Humans of Australia (有取得授權)
★★★★★★★★★★★★
I didn’t meet my father until I was 6 years old. My parents had a comfortable, middle-class life in Shanghai, or as close as you could get under communism. But they always wanted to live overseas, and just before I was born, my dad came to Sydney to set things up. I don’t know why, but in the end, my mother and I didn’t join him until I was 6.
•a middle-class life 中產階級生活
•set things up 打點一切
•live overseas 往海外生活
•in the end 最後 (表達在經過一段時間或一連串事件之後的結果)
直到六歲前我都未曾見過父親。我的雙親在上海過著舒適的中產階級生活,或著說,在共產階級下所能得到的最接近的生活。他們一直響往海外生活,就在我出生前,我父親來到雪梨打點一切。但不知何故,直到六歲那年我與母親才終於與父親團聚。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
Unfortunately, half a year after we arrived, he left us. That was a huge shock. Our transition had already been quite difficult, as we both didn't speak English. Also, as Shanghai was such a big bustling city, Sydney felt a bit like the countryside, especially on the weekends, as no shops were open back then!
•shock 令人震驚的事件(或經歷);驚愕,震驚 (come as a great shock 讓人倍感震驚)
•transition 轉變;過渡
•a bustling city 繁華都會
不幸的是,就在我跟母親抵達半年後,父親離開了我們。這是個巨大的打擊,因爲我們不會說英文,在適應過渡期本就已過得相當艱辛。此外,不同於上海的繁華都會,雪梨更像鄉下,尤其在週末,那時連商店都不開門。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
We were very much reliant on my dad, not only financially, but also as a conduit into the wider community. So to have that broken was quite distressing. I remember Mum crying a lot. As we had become socially isolated, we didn’t find out anything about Centrelink, so we survived on her savings for a while, and then got some help from her family back in China.
•be reliant on… 依賴...
•a conduit into 進入...的渠道
•distressing (adj.) 令人苦惱的,令人擔憂的
•become socially isolated 變得孤立於社會
•survive on her savings 僅靠的她積蓄過日子
我們相當依賴我父親,不僅是經濟,他也是我們進入更廣泛社區的渠道。因此,當局面被打破時令人相當痛苦,我還記得母親時常哭泣。由於我們孤立於社會,所以我們並不知道澳洲社會福利聯絡中心 (Centrelink)的任何資訊,僅靠母親的積蓄支撐了一段時間,然後從母親在中國的娘家得到一些幫助。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
Eventually, Mum moved us down to Melbourne, where we were able to make some new networks and family friendships. But I was bullied a bit at school about things like my food and clothing! Whenever someone bullied me, I would defend myself, but because I didn’t have the language skills to explain to the teacher why, I got in trouble quite a bit. I ended up having to move school 3 times before I came to Balwyn Primary School, which was relatively multicultural.
•be able to 能夠
•make new networks 建立新的人脈,關係網
•be bullied 被霸凌
•language skills 語言能力
•get in trouble 惹上麻煩
•end up 最後處於;最後成爲;以…告終
•relatively 相對地
•multicultural 多元文化的
最後,母親帶著我搬遷到墨爾本,在那我們能夠建立起新的網絡與家庭情誼。然而。我在學校飽受霸凌,例如我的食物及衣物。每當有人霸凌我,我會自我防衛,但我的語言技巧不足以向老師解釋事發原因,因此常常陷入麻煩。後來我不得不再三轉學,直到就讀相對多元文化的博文小學(Balwyn Primary School)。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
After that, I did alright. Music featured very prominently in my life. I had started learning the violin from the age of 2.5 years old and even with all the troubles that were going on in my life, had somehow still kept up with it. As a result, I got a music scholarship to Trinity Grammar School. But even there I used to get into quite a lot of mischief, and would often skip school to go to the movies.
•do alight 過得不錯,做的不錯
•feature (v.) 以…為特色;給…以顯著的地位
•prominently 重要地;著名地;突出地,顯眼地
之後,我便過得不錯。音樂在我生活中佔有重要的一席之地,我從兩歲半開始學習小提琴,儘管生活中事事不如意,我依然堅持不輟。因此,我獲得三一文法學校( Trinity Grammar School)的音樂獎學金。但即使在那,我也常惡作劇、逃學看電影。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
By the end of year 11, I was told I would have to either repeat the year, or consider going to another school, which was quite humiliating for my mum. I decided to move school and surprisingly, I ended up doing quite well in year 12! As a result, I ended up getting into a double degree in Law and Music at Monash.
•repeat the year 留級 ; 重唸一年
•humiliating 令人感到恥辱的,丟臉的
11年級結束時,我被告知要麽被留級,要麼考慮轉學,這對我母親來說相當丟人。我決定轉學,而令人驚訝的是,我在12年級的時候表現優異,最後錄取蒙納士大學法律與音樂雙學位。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
When I started, my first thought was that I didn’t belong because I had done so badly in school up to year 11 and everyone else seemed so smart. But I put my head down, got through it, and ended up getting a job in the legal department of a major manufacturing company, which was a different approach to what most law students do.
•do not belong 不屬於這
•put my head down 埋頭苦幹
•the legal department of ...的法律部門
•a different approach 不同途徑
•approach (思考問題的)方式,方法,態度
當我開始進入大學,最初的想法是我不屬於這,因為我在11年級前都表現不佳,而這裡的人似乎都聰明絕頂。但我埋頭苦幹,咬牙撐過,最後在一家大型製造公司的法律部門找到工作,這與多數法律系學生的途徑不同。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
I really enjoyed it. It was hard work, but I learned a lot of foundational business, legal and corporate communication skills. After that I worked in corporate governance in RMIT, then started to moonlight as a lecturer in the Law Faculty. Eventually, they asked me if I wanted to do a PhD and I blindly said yes! I next worked at Swinburne University, and then was head-hunted to lead the corporate legal team at the Commercial Passenger Vehicles Commission.
•foundational 基礎的
•communication skills 溝通技巧
•corporate governance
•moonlight (v.) (尤指瞞著僱主)從事第二職業,兼職
•headhunt (v.) 物色(人才); 挖角
•legal team 法律團隊
我非常喜歡這份工作,這是份辛苦的工作,但我學習了很多基礎商業、法律以及公司溝通技巧。之後我在皇家墨爾本理工大學( RMIT)從事公司治理工作,並開始兼職擔任法律系講師。後來他們問我是否想要讀博士,我便盲目地答應了。接下來,我在斯威本大學(Swinburne University)工作,再被挖角到商用小客車委員會領導法律團隊。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
I had a good life, but after a while, I realised I wanted a different kind of job. I could see my seniors were making a lot of money but that their family life was not that good. And looking at my own upbringing, I wanted to be the kind of father who could be present in my own kids’ lives. So I decided on dentistry. It would not only allow me to use the hand skills that I had developed from playing the violin, but also the analytical and reasoning skills that I'd developed in law. Plus it would be flexible, and offer me a stable income and the chance to meet different people every day!
•upbringing 教養
•decide on sth 決定某事或東西
•analytical and reasoning skills 分析和推理能力
•offer a stable income 提供穩定收入
我的生活很不錯,但一段時間後,我意識到自己想要一份不同的工作。我知道前輩們賺了很多錢,但他們的家庭生活並不美滿。看著自己的成長經歷,我想要成為可以在孩子生活中出席的父親,所以我決定改行當牙醫。這項職業能讓我使用從拉小提琴中發展出的手部技巧,也能運用我在法律中發展出的分析與推理技能。此外,這個職業相當靈活,能為我提供穩定收入,並有機會每天與不同的人見面。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
My now fiancée, who was my girlfriend at the time, was also applying for further study, and coincidentally we both got into university in South Australia, so we moved to Adelaide together a few years ago.
•fiancée 未婚妻
•at the time 當時
•apply for 申請
•further study 繼續教育,進修;進一步研究;深造
•coincidentally 碰巧地;巧合地
我的未婚妻,當時的女友,也申請繼續深造,巧的是我們都考上南澳大學(University of South Australia),所以幾年前一起搬到阿得雷德( Adelaide)。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
I was lucky to get a university job at Flinders University. Initially, I started out as a casual lecturer in the law school, but I’ve since transitioned into teaching health law and research, and I’m currently writing a few books on the intersection between law and medicine. And also, obviously, trying to finish my dentistry degree!
•start out as… 起初擔任...
•transition into… 轉變到...
我很幸運的在福林德斯大學(Flinders University)找到工作,起初我在法學院擔任臨時講師,但我後來轉換到醫事法教學及研究。目前我正撰寫幾本關於法律與醫學相接的書籍,並努力完成我的牙醫學位。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
Mum eventually retrained as a Chinese high school teacher, and she’s still teaching to this day. Like most first generation migrants, she struggled quite a lot, and invested heavily in my success. After we’re married, my fiancée and I are planning to have children, and I’m sure they will have it much easier than I did.
•retrain 重新培養;再培訓;再訓練
•to this day 至今
•first generation migrants 第一代移民
•struggle a lot 掙扎奮鬥許久
•have it much easier 過的比較輕鬆
我的母親最終重新接受培訓,成為一名中文高中老師並執教至今。如同大多數第一代移民,她掙扎奮鬥許久,並為我的成功投資甚多。我與未婚妻打算婚後生孩子,我確信孩子會過的比我輕鬆得多。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
Still, a lot of the failures that I’ve had in my life have really informed a lot of my successes. Looking back, I wouldn't really want to change that to have a smoother life.
•inform [正式] 影響某人的態度或意見
https://www.ldoceonline.com/dictionary/inform
•have a smoother life 有一個更順遂的人生
我的生活中的種種失敗確實為我的成功提供借鑑。回首過去,我不會想要改變那些坎坷經歷去擁有一個更順遂的人生。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
Over the years, I've learned that perseverance is very important. I hope that through telling my story, I can be an example to others who might be in a similar position as I was: to show that there's not just one road to the destination, but many roads. You just need to take the little step that’s right in front of you, and then the next one, and a few years down the track, they will seem like massive achievements.
•over the years 多年來
•perseverance 不屈不撓,堅持不懈
•be an example 成為榜樣
•be in a similar position 處於相似的處境
•down the road/line/track 將來(的路)
多年來,我學到堅持不懈是至關重要的。我希望透過講述自己的故事,能成為其他可能與我有相似處境的人的榜樣:向他們展示通往目的地的路不止一條,有很多路可走。你只需要邁出眼前這一小步,然後再邁出下一步,幾年下來,將會成為巨大成就。
有興趣的同學可以支持New Humans of Australia
www.patreon.com/newhumansofaustralia
Photographer: Paul Heinrich instagram.com/paulfheinrich
文章與圖片出處: https://bit.ly/2XJsciq
★★★★★★★★★★★★
翻轉視界: http://bit.ly/3fPvKUs
批判性思考問題大全: http://bit.ly/34rdtJ7
what if中文 在 D.A. Facebook 的最佳解答
-(中文版本往下滑!)
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More pics👉👉👉
-
蘿拉蜜思底妝特輯!
#鎖水藍管 煥顏凝露保濕款
舊版就是我的愛用~以我一個不常使用狀前產品的人來說,妝前對我最重要的目的就是保濕!畢竟妝前保濕的重要性真的不可或缺!底妝成敗的關鍵常常要看保濕做的好不好!如果奢侈一點也可以當保養品用啦🤣有好聞的香味,肌膚可以快速吸收並且留下保濕的觸感!
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色號對我來說偏深偏橘🍊了一點(雖然是我自己挑的🤣,會稍微氧化,大家可以的話還是靠櫃試一下顏色啊🥺)
有化妝品原料的味道,對味道敏感的人可以去聞看看~
我最喜歡的地方是用手就可以推均勻!
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如果想和高遮瑕的粉底混合使用也是可以的❤️
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這真的無人不知無人不曉吧!
經典產品!不會改變底妝顏色!
用之前有一點點擔心乾肌會不會太乾,但完!全!不!會!
粉真的超級細會飄~的那種~
妝感很美可以很完善的定妝!
乾肌真的一點也不用擔心!(尤其現在都戴口罩很悶熱蜜粉真的不可少!)
你們有用過lauramercier的彩妝嗎?
歡迎在留言區和我分享❤️
祝大家有美好的一天~~💕
更多照片👉👉👉
#makeupklever #化粧 #アイメイク #motd💋 #dailymakeup #아이메이크업 #메이크업아티스트 #오늘의화장 #눈화장 #makeupkontent #makeupidea #makeuptoday #100daysofmakeupchallenge #wakeupandmakeupsweeps #美妝 #美妝分享 #蘿拉蜜思 #夏日鎖水運動會 #煥顏凝露 #保濕潤色美妝蜜 #煥顏透明蜜粉 #lauramercier #settingpowder #tintedmoisturizer #primer #oilfree
what if中文 在 Lukas Engström Youtube 的最佳解答
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what if中文 在 Lukas Engström Youtube 的最佳解答
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The following is the gear I’m using when making my videos. I’m part of Amazon Services LLC Associates Program which means that I will get a small commission if you purchase anything via my links. Any commission I’ll be getting will go straight back into buying new gear for my future videos, so any kind of support is highly appreciated!
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Canon RF 15-35mm F2.8 L IS USM: https://amzn.to/3o4N8YZ
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what if中文 在 Lukas Engström Youtube 的最佳解答
Huge thank you to @lifeintaiwan and https://www.youtube.com/c/annieaiyo for joining this video podcast talking about everything from teaching in the US, raising kids in South Africa and being recognized in Taiwan!
#Podcast #外國人介紹台灣 #HotOnes
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Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lukas-in-taiwan-外國人介紹台灣/id1577985574
Spotify:
https://open.spotify.com/show/7mNfSG9wMVEP1NTI33scky?si=WhTOsIYDQv2oYQ6TRQKLzw&dl_branch=1
Please note that my Patreon now is inactive, but that you are welcome to support me there as well if my YouTube membership is not enough: https://www.patreon.com/LukasEngstrom
Please also follow me on:
Facebook: www.facebook.com/LukasTaiwan
Instagram: www.instagram.com/LukasEngstrom
If you want to send my something that might be shown in a future video, please send it to:
ATT: Lukas
RM. 2, 6F., NO.201, FUHE RD.,
YONGHE DIST., NEW TAIPEI CITY 23450,
TAIWAN (R.O.C.)
Business inquiries:
中文/English
創作者經紀人/Contact person: - Maggie
Line ID: @redi
Email: contact@lukasengstrom.com
The following is the gear I’m using when making my videos. I’m part of Amazon Services LLC Associates Program which means that I will get a small commission if you purchase anything via my links. Any commission I’ll be getting will go straight back into buying new gear for my future videos, so any kind of support is highly appreciated!
Cameras:
Canon EOS R (main camera): https://amzn.to/3fCbINR
Canon M50 (B-cam): https://amzn.to/2Tf998r
Insta360 One X 2 (Best 360 camera): https://www.insta360.com/sal/one_x2?insrc=INRAIR0
Insta 360 One R (Best 360/action cam combo): https://www.insta360.com/sal/one_r?insrc=INRAIR0
Lenses:
Canon RF 15-35mm F2.8 L IS USM: https://amzn.to/3o4N8YZ
Canon RF 24-70mm F2.8 L IS USM: https://amzn.to/34RDy1V
Canon EF 24mm f/1.4L II USM: https://amzn.to/2O0a62Y
Canon EF 50mm f/1.8 STM https://amzn.to/2O5DJA0
Canon EF-S 10-18mm f/4.5-5.6 IS STM: https://amzn.to/2X88oR7
Studio equipment:
2x Rode NT2A Microphone set: https://amzn.to/3fBoOuK
Ninja V recorder: https://amzn.to/36azTzR
SanDisk Ultra 3D 1TB SSD: https://amzn.to/36f1pfH
SanDisk Ultra 3D 2TB SSD: https://amzn.to/3fErckb
DJI:
Drone: DJI Mavic 2 Zoom: https://amzn.to/2Sak4CX
Mavic 2 Fly More Kit: https://amzn.to/2TlpLLT
Gimbal: DJI Ronin-S Handheld 3-Axis: https://amzn.to/2NG4L20
Other:
Microphone: RØDE VideoMic Pro+: https://amzn.to/2Tg9mbx
2x SanDisk Extreme Pro Memory Card (128GB): https://amzn.to/2Oi0CQX
Bag: Lowepro ProTactic BP 450 AW II:https://amzn.to/2NDbCsN
Canon EOS M Mount Adapter: https://amzn.to/2O1jH9I
Canon EF-EOS R Mount Adapter: https://amzn.to/2NDak0V
JOBY Gorillapod 3K: https://amzn.to/2S3GQfR
ADATA SD600Q SSD (240GB): https://amzn.to/2Wp28Tf
ADATA D8000L LED Power Bank: https://amzn.to/34MrlLY
Transcend ESD240C Portable SSD (480GB): https://amzn.to/2X5L7xW
Transcend ESD350C Portable SSD (480GB): https://amzn.to/32LBzeg
Transcend StoreJet 25MC HDD (1TB): https://amzn.to/2KekmUd
Transcend 128GB microSD: https://amzn.to/2tCkOmw
MacBook Pro 16”: https://amzn.to/3fElb77 Asus VP28UQG 28" 4K/UHD monitor: https://amzn.to/2CE5eeI
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what if中文 在 Re: [問題] 有板友讀過"What If?"中文版嗎?值得買嗎? 的推薦與評價
※ 引述《tomsonchiou (TC)》之銘言:
: 標題: [問題] 有板友讀過"What If?"中文版嗎?值得買嗎?
: 時間: Tue Jun 11 00:33:26 2013
: 逛書店逛到的,回家一查發現這套書過了十年還在印,已經出三種封面了
我好像有在我家對面的楓康超市看到過:p
: 看內容簡介還蠻有趣的
: 有些假設在板上已經是O經文了像是如果二戰沒丟原子彈
: 不過有些假設倒是蠻新鮮的
: 如果耶穌沒被釘死在十字架的話?
: 如果窩闊台多活幾年蒙古西征不撤軍?
: 如果馬丁路德被教廷處以火刑?
1517年10月31日,此君在威登堡眾聖堂大門上貼出95項論綱
最近也有德國學者認為,路德公開張貼之事全屬子虛烏有…但不管怎樣,他自己就抄寫了
好幾份給朋友;結果從南日耳曼回流時,回籠本已經變成印刷本了。
若非印刷術發明,路德的改革願望也很可能照樣步上失敗後塵。(早就有一堆先烈了)
這個時候,又是贖罪券最風行的時候,時機剛剛好,人心早就思變想改革。
日耳曼人一直也非常討厭義大利人來管自家的事。而教皇則是直接惹到薩克森尼選侯-我辦
的大學你居然直接來要抓人(教授)?!(類似警察進註台大,還隨便抓教授準備燒掉!?)
然後一堆亂七八糟的事(?),就全部擠在一起發生了。(雖然外面的土耳其人聲勢更旺)
據說路德曾表示:「我從來無意發展到這個地步」
(另外也娶了修女老婆,後來的更正教也打破了這個教士不娶的規條;或甚至乾脆就廢掉
教士階級,表面或表裡統統平等)
路德生前始終有薩克森尼選侯保護,不然按照前例,早就老命休矣。而且剛好死後次年,
薩克森尼選侯就兵敗被俘。(真剛好…)
不過八年後和平底定,信仰自由卻只能跟著統治的王公:或是公教或是新教。
不過人民可以各自『自由離開』
真正的個人精神,從夾縫中誕生了--如果是真的堅決不從。
路德本身擅音樂,據說作的詩歌比他本人更有影響力。因為很適合傳唱。
雖然同為更正教先鋒,不過路德(馬克思)跟喀爾文(列寧)的想法跟作法都不很相同。
但在某個程度上,喀爾文的確接續了路德一開始的氣勢。而且在日內瓦辦學院辦得有
聲有色。
馬克思死了,還有列寧;所以同理路德被提前火掉的話,喀爾文還是出現了。喀爾文再
被喀擦掉的話,還有一堆後起之秀…這火,一燒起來就停不下來了?
(據說現在在舊教本占大宗的巴西,新教的攻城略地到已經引起注意的程度了)
*********************************************
再提出個跟我們自己比較有切身關連的"What if"--既然在此板推過文討論過,也就拋出個
議題吧。
如果當初太平洋戰爭,美國海軍跟陸軍的戰略路線之爭,不是由陸軍最後取得參聯會的
認可:攻打呂宋,而是直接攻打台灣,那又會如何?
日本的形勢:仍由盟軍勝出,但仍然會是美國陸軍將領麥克阿瑟任盟軍最高司令嗎?
(據說杜魯門一直很討厭他-即使從來沒見過面,只是礙於他的聲望才不得不
任命他;後來也想用德國總督Lucius D. Clay取代他,不過Clay拒絕了。
因為Clay早就精疲力盡,1949年杜魯門諮詢他時,就提出辭呈退休去了)
那今日南北韓的形勢仍然會是今天的模樣嗎?
(仁川登陸後打到38度線以北,又撤回38度線;本來的總司令被老闆火了,
換Ridgway Matthew Bunker接手)
若是美軍當初一開始或後來整個撤出朝鮮半島,今日東亞的局勢又會如何?
(台灣電子業應該可以少掉南韓(三星)這個…可敬的對手 by 張忠謀 或XXX by 我上司)
(而金正恩真的是紅遍全球了XD)
: 想問板友有人讀過該兩本書嗎?值不值得入手呢?謝謝
: --
: ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
: ◆ From: 111.242.20.249
: 推 merelive:其實麥田出版社這系列有出3本 分別叫 WHATIF1 WHATIF2 06/11 00:52
: → merelive:第3本叫 假如日本不曾偷襲珍珠港 我3本都有買 但我覺得 06/11 00:54
: → merelive:前2集比較好看 因為第3本的作者不同人 連排版都不一樣 06/11 00:56
據說山本五十六從來沒想過珍珠港之役會變成一次不宣而戰的偷襲。
事後驚駭不已? 因為他本人留學過美國,相較下對老美比一些日本同袍還了解。
雖然偷襲成功了,但可能反而種下了最後敗北的關鍵起因。
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…我們這個年代,思想是如此寬容,心胸是如此開闊,意識形態是如此厭棄暴力…然而,
這類討人厭的事物若不加以揭露,對我們現代的思維與德性,就難以做全面的了解。
本人並非心儀王家主子,也不贊同迫害,或任何假定已為我們擺脫的邪惡弊病…我立意追求
史家超然的立場與悲憫的心情,因此單是應付自身先入為主的觀念,就忙得不可開交了。正
如蘭克所言,從神的眼裡看來,每個時代都站得住腳,因此在人眼中,至少也配得同情才是
有些事件、人物給我的印象,與他們過去一向的模樣不同,因此在下不免偶以自家看法發
言,並提出理由佐證本人的「異端邪說」…如果亨利.亞當斯讀來只是吉朋的回聲,誰會
看重這種模仿之作? <<從黎明到衰頹>> 巴森
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※ 編輯: xxxer 來自: 122.117.20.63 (06/12 05:50)
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